[How do you envisage the legislative elections in Sep?]
1/ A worse scenario will be like: Beijing will dissolve the existing LegCo & disqualify all 70 lawmakers once pro-democracy camps win the majority. One of the references is recent statement by China’s office on HK Affairs.
1/ A worse scenario will be like: Beijing will dissolve the existing LegCo & disqualify all 70 lawmakers once pro-democracy camps win the majority. One of the references is recent statement by China’s office on HK Affairs.
2/ The office unprecedentedly accused pro-democracy lawmakers of violating LegCo oaths when they use procedural tactics to block the controversial national anthem and national security legislation. In the eyes of Beijing, LegCo can only serve as a rubber stamp.
3/ Otherwise, councillors fail to "show their allegiance to the central governments” and "serve dutifully” as the oath states. In other words, HKMAO is paving the way for a large-scaled disqualification before and after the election.
4/ After the dissolution, Beijing will probably set up a pseudo-legislature & directly appoint members. That's not a crazy imagination since Beijing has done once in 1997! After HKers won a majority during 1995-1997, Beijing set up a Provisional LegCo.
5/ Beijing directly appointed members and held meetings in Shenzhen. Therefore, history may repeat. However, Hongkongers will still strive for a parliamentary majority since Beijing has already put its most controversial agenda, the national security legislation, on the table.
6/ The parliamentary majority is the only way for us to block this evil law. If, at the end, Beijing really dissolves the LegCo and disqualifies all elected lawmakers, it means Beijing is shutting down all peaceful mechanism to resolve political problems and grievance.
7/ More importantly, this move will put the so-called promised autonomy under the 1Country2Systems formula to the test. When even the legislature is a rubber stamp, it Is doubtful whether Hong Kong can still maintain its special status as an independent tariff zone.
8/ The latter will carry significant implications for international investors. On the street level, it is foreseeable that more protests will erupt, especially when Beijing starts to disqualify all pro-democracy candidates before the election.
