Since mortality.org have very kindly compiled weekly all-cause deaths data for a bunch of countries, here is a plot of excess death *rates* by age group and country.
England & Wales a big outlier along w/ Spain, but *particularly* in 15-64 year olds.
England & Wales a big outlier along w/ Spain, but *particularly* in 15-64 year olds.
Here's a version of that plot focusing on just 15-64 year olds.
And here's them all on top of each other, highlighting England & Wales in red and Scotland in blue.
As a smaller country, you'd expect more noise in the Scottish data, so although the peak looks similar to England, it's less unprecedented (if that makes sense).
As a smaller country, you'd expect more noise in the Scottish data, so although the peak looks similar to England, it's less unprecedented (if that makes sense).
Code for these plots is here: github.com/VictimOfMaths/…
It's quite long, but a lot of it is faffing about to get the UK data (which comes from ONS, NRS and NISRA) sorted to align with the nice tidy mortality.org data.
It's quite long, but a lot of it is faffing about to get the UK data (which comes from ONS, NRS and NISRA) sorted to align with the nice tidy mortality.org data.
And there's a much bigger version of the 1st plot here, since it doesn't render too nicely on a wee Twitter picture: github.com/VictimOfMaths/…
