I dont actually think wider school openings are a distraction from the #cummmings story, though many other relaxation of lockdown might be
Gov spent more time briefing school plans to media than they did the unions
2 weeks into lockdown sources started briefing dates to media
After Easter holiday
1st of June
All were floated while DfE refused to engage in meaningful consultation
How likely are children to be infected?
How likely are they to transmit infection?
Social distancing will be difficult perhaps impossible
Infection rates are too high
We need TTI first
SAGE multi scenario modelling all predicted a noticeable impact on RO roughly 0.3
Unions had said effective social distancing in schools required serious consideration and wanted to collaborate with gov to plan how to manage this as happened in other countries
Set out guidence that social distancing wasnt needed in primary schools, problem solved as far as they are concerned.
SAGE said TTI was essential before easing lockdown. Gov suddenly announce it would be ready to start on 1st of June. Convenient?
Government moved the release date forward, now this could also have been useful to try and divert the media narrative around Cummings
2 birds 1 stone
They have abandoned that the moment it became inconvenient
Gov decided on receptions and year 1, year groups most likely to prevent parents going to work if the students arent in school. The vital need for these year groups goes counter to the Danish and other countries the ..
SAGE and the unions both said rotas would be safer and could also allow more students the chance to have face to face teaching, however this doesn't help parents get back to work
Its quite clear the decision was made quite a while ago and regardless of the science they have warped every fact moves every goalposts to get what they want regardless of the risk. It appears they still dont care about experts
The economic and educational arguements for the governments plans are a false economy, a 2nd peak means more lockdown and economic and educational damage than waiting a few weeks
Soon there will be no more lockdown
Get everyone back to work, the ppl can take the risk and schools were always going to be key to that
Scientists dont agree-how many have come out with the same full throated agreement as those SAGE members have spoken out against the government?
Some media sources still claim children dont transmit to adults at all
Blunkett said the disadvantage gap has grown by 10 years, this is now quoted as fact but I havent seen an evidence base
Will they reverse the real terms £14billion cuts to education?Invest in communities?
Full explanation of austerity marketisation and corruption here⬇️(warning its long)
education svstem that sees rising
mental health issues in staff and
students and for reversing cuts to
CAHMS, the government's response
has been even more high stakes testing and excessive
Facts on SATs⬇️
That's pretty hard to quantity and model in a thread I will link later there is research of recessions through out the world from past 100+ years. Recessions dont kill people, poor policy choices by politicians in response do.
GDP is a crude measure, rises mainly detached from real living standards however it measures economic activity not money in the system.
Doesnt matter how much money ..
Article below is old but current estimates are around £23trillion is stored in tax havens. This is more than the global cost of the Covid crisis.
How did we get to this point?
Consent was manufactured and heres how I said it would be done⬇️
How close was my prediction?