We live in an era of predictable instability. "...on a variety of instability indicators ...trends for almost all of them went up after 2010. Here’s the result for the incidence of riots in six major Western countries:" Via Peter Turchin. 
"Focusing on the United States and looking over a longer time period, we see that the current wave of instability has already reached similar levels to the previous one, which peaked in the late 1960s:"
"The nature of such dynamical processes is such that it can subside tomorrow, or escalate; either outcome is possible. What is much more certain is that the deep structural drivers for instability continue to operate unabated..."
"...even after the current wave of indignation, caused by the killing of George Floyd, subsides, there will be other triggers that will continue to spark more fires—"
Minneapolis Police Department’s 3th Precinct on fire. .
Minneapolis Police Department’s 3th Precinct on fire. .
"as long as the structural forces, undermining the stability of our society, continue to provide abundant fuel for them." Peter Turchin. peterturchin.com/cliodynamica/t…
@threadreaderapp unroll please
