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Magilla Gorilla 39 Profile picture
@39Magilla
Jun 24, 2020 • 15 tweets • 8 min read • Read on X
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(1) @GeoRebekah, aka Rebekah Jones, accuses Florida Governor Desantis government of deleting cases of #COVID19 from the FL DOH database.
(2) Earlier, Gov. DeSantis also gave a misleading presentation on Deaths in Florida by highlighting incomplete data.

(3) The chart implied Florida Deaths had dropped to near zero on May 13th.

The data behind the plot was actually incomplete for the last two weeks, creating the apparent, but false, downward trend.
(4) When the data filled, the death rate for 5/13 rose from 10 per day to 40 per day, only slightly lower than their apex.
(5) My Excess Natural Deaths (XND) analysis for Florida had shown that they were badly underreporting #COVID19 deaths due to misattribution of the Cause of Death. Actual Florida deaths are roughly twice what the state reported.

(6) The Rebekah Jones scandal broke about a month ago, when she was forced out of her job for not obeying instructions on how to control access to and modify the Florida Dept. of Health COVID19 dashboard.

(7) Rebekah found sponsorship and put up a Community Dashboard to keep the public informed.
(7) Rebekah found outside support and put up a Florida Community COVID19 dashboard, available here.

experience.arcgis.com/experience/757…
(8) That portal displays this warning regarding data from the Florida Dept. of Health (FL DOH).
(9) Here is the current Florida Department of Health data for Deaths attributed to COVID-19.

The last 2w from 6/09 to 6/23 are incomplete.

The last likely-full value is 28 death per day on 6/08.

Also, the value for 5/13, which Gov. DeSantis displayed as 10, has become 41.
(10) Of course Deaths lag Exposures by a average of 21 days, so the death count on 6/08 will correlate with exposures on 5/13.

The state reopened on 5/04. All the events from 5/14 to today are yet to be reflected.
(11) On May 18th, the Confirmed Cases count in Florida was plateaued at 750-900 cases per day, which corresponds to the 28 deaths per day we now see in the Daily Deaths plot for 5/13.

Since that time Confirmed Cases have quadrupled to 3,000-3,600 cases per day.
(12) At the present moment, Florida is setting a record for Daily Deaths, reporting 5,511 so far today. Daily Deaths have risen to 45 per day, but could be near 150 per day when the value corresponds to today's case counts.
(13) The worst outbreak in the US was in NYC. On its peak day, the state of New York reported ~12,000 new cases, but the 7d avg peaked at ~9,000.

Florida has reached ~60% of that level, still rising.

New York had already locked down.

Florida, don't hide statistics. Wake up!
(14) Credits and References:

cbs12.com
Data.CDC.gov/browse
@emrjackson
@DrEricDing
flgov.com
@GeoRebekah
@nytimes

flgov.com/wp-content/upl…

experience.arcgis.com/experience/757…

experience.arcgis.com/experience/96d…

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More from @39Magilla

Magilla Gorilla 39 Profile picture
Oct 1
(1) Video from behind Charlie Kirk shows that crowd near Charlie new displayed an "Acoustic Startle Response" during the high powered rifle shot, suggesting it was not shot at Charlie, but over the top of them.

(2) Background:
When a supersonic projectile passes nearby, it produces a shock wave that propagates a loud crack perpendicular to its conic front. Image
(3) That shock wave arrives at the target with the bullet. For people nearby the shockwave will be delayed, roughly by their distance from the shockwave divided by the speed of sound. Image
Read 19 tweets
Magilla Gorilla 39 Profile picture
Sep 30
(1) Top Threads by Detective Magilla 39:

Acoustic Startle Response Analysis (No Supersonic Crack)

Link:
Why top: The frame overlays and Wikipedia reflexes dump went viral in replies—Zeb Boykin engaged here indirectly via the warfighter tags.
(2) Top Threads by @39Magilla

Sniper Hide in FG 201A (Jamb Bore Vector)
Link:
Why top: Warfighter tags (@ZebBoykin, @ValhallaVFT) sparked replies; the repurposed diagram and wound correction got Zeb's like on a related reply.
@ZebBoykin @ValhallaVFT (3) Top Threads by @39Magilla

Directional Analysis Overlay (Losee Center Supersonic Origin)
Link:
Why top: @MichaKobs collab on the plot/map tie-in pulled in mapping nerds; solid follow to the hide thread.
Read 11 tweets
Magilla Gorilla 39 Profile picture
Sep 30
(1) Does the Disabled Veterans National Foundation (DVNF) T-Shirt Scream "Blind Meet"? Image
(2) When people meet on the Internet and then decide to rendezvous, they often use their clothing to identify themselves - a "Blind Meet".

Tyler Robinson's T-shirt was not inconspicuous, but it may have been the signal to the person that lured him to the Losee Center roof. Image
(3) But get this: Yesterday's X buzz exploded when Ryder Corral (that 19-y.o. TPUSA memorial trasher) got pinched in the exact same eagle-flag black long-sleeve—down to the gold accents—while chucking Kirk tributes in Phoenix. Image
Read 8 tweets
Magilla Gorilla 39 Profile picture
Sep 28
(1) Deep Dive: AI Enhanced Photo of the potential shooter in Room 201A of the Brandon D. Fugal Gateway (FG) Building Image
(2) Viral @RangeDayBro video tried to locate the Sniper who shot Charlie Kirk in the right side.

That video, shared with others, had a frame that showed a suspicious person in Room 201A of the Fugal Gateway (FG) Building. Image
Image
@RangeDayBro (3) This is an AI Enhanced view of the suspicious figure alone in Room 201A of the Brandon D. Fugal Gateway (FG) Building during the Charlie Kirk Event: Image
Read 8 tweets
Magilla Gorilla 39 Profile picture
Sep 27
(1) @MichaKobs directional analysis demonstrates that the supersonic bullet likely originated from the Losee Center (LC). Great job, Micha!

I overlaid his plot on a map to make this figure. Image
(2) @MichaKobs entire analysis was top notch. He placed the range at 128 m (151 yds), and had the most likely direction at 57 deg azimuth (ENE):

@MichaKobs (3) @MichaKobs also placed the average bullet velocity at 720 to 760 m/s (2,362 to 2,493 ft/s).

Read 9 tweets
Magilla Gorilla 39 Profile picture
Sep 27
(1) Seeking warfighter insights:
@paramounttactcl @ValhallaVFT @ZebBoykin

If the professional sniper (who framed Tyler Robinson as a patsy) is world class, where's the real sniper hide?

Please look at FG 201A? A lone actor was seen in the room by the window jamb during the event.

Image
(2) Unlike the theoretical and exposed sniper positions proposed in earlier theories, Brandon D. Fugal Gateway (FG) Building, Room 201A had a lone occupant during the rally.

(3) Repurposing this diagram developed by @Discordeus, I've added the shot vector from FG Room 20A to the photo and an indication of the entry vector on the victim. Image
Read 15 tweets

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