Pitfall of analyzing any Scheme on Point to Point returns basis is that it only tells you the opportunity which was available at the time of investment.
It does not tell you of future potential of the same scheme. One needs to see current data to understand future potential.
Please see current macro factors whether they are showing +ve or -ve triggers for debt to analyze future potential
Liquidity up(+),
Credit offtake down(+),
Current Account Surplus(+),
Fiscal deficit up(-),
Govt ratings down(-),
Crude down(+),
Recession up(+)
Compression(+)
Then compare yields on your chosen investment vehicles, past spreads and current compression possibility and Credit Quality & liquidity of underlying securities.
Some hits & misses in the Budget presented by @nsitharaman :
Hits: 1. Sticking to Fiscal consolidation path, this year 4.9% of GDP going down to 4.5% next FY 2. Youth employment, skill development, internship program - to benefit 1 cr youth 3. Infra spend of 11.11 lac cr by Govt
4. Economy to grow at 6.5 to 7% - highest among global economies 5. Direct & indirect taxes collection buoyancy to continue
Misses:
1. No steps to boost slowing consumption 2. Personal tax slab tinkering to give only 17.5k in hands of tax payers
3. To curb trading & F&O, they have not only increased STT but also increased STCG & LTCG 4. This will dissuade financialization of household savings & investing in markets 5. Cannot compare with developed economy and follow them blindly 6. Very limited impact on tax collections
MisterBond's #RollOfHonour for various #Debt scheme categories for the year ending on March 31'2023.
#IHR - Investor High Returns Score - Higher Returns in Higher Bands #IER - Investor Experience Returns Score - IHR divided by Std Deviation #BI - Beating Industry Average
MisterBond's #RollOfHonour for various Equity scheme categories for the year ending on March 31'2023.
#IHR - Investor High Returns Score - Higher Returns in Higher Bands #IER - Investor Experience Returns Score - IHR divided by Stabd Deviation #BI - Beating Industry Average
Hybrid category will start becoming popular with more than 36% in Equity.
Expect more such offerings from #AMCs. Brace for more #volatility in New offerings.
No implications if you continue to hold your existing #DebtPortfolio. Only if you invest fresh funds post 1 April 2023, there will be only STCG like #BankDeposits.