Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Jul 8, 2020 11 tweets 8 min read Read on X
"We've seen a string of egregious #Russia|n military & intelligence operations across the globe" - #election interference in US, propping up #Assad in #Syria, etc, @USArmsControl Envoy Marshall Billingslea tells #EUDefense

Russia's track record on arms control "equally abysmal"
"#Russia stands in violation of nearly every agreement we have with them" per @USArmsControl
"Even more concerning is what #China's up to" per @USArmsControl

"While it wants the world to believe that it maintains only a handful of weapons...it is in fact pursuing a dangerous & destabilizing nuclear weapons build-up w/the intent of ultimately seeking nuclear parity"
"For too long, #Russia & #China have been arms racing & we have not" per @USArmsControl

"We intend to establish a new arms control regime w/Russia & China to prevent an unprecedented 3-way arms race"
"The next agreement, simply put, must control&restrain all warheads" per @USArmsControl

"Any future agreement must be meaningfully verifiable..There is no longer a 'trust but verify' w/a cheating #Russia & a secretive & nontransparent #China. There is only verify &verify again"
"We're beginning to see some positive indications of evolution in the Chinese position" per @USArmsControl
#Russia|n actions dating back to 2007 large part of reason for "the erosion of arms controls" in #Europe, per @GERMANYonUN Commissioner for Disarmament and Arms Control, Amb Susanne Baumann
"We are back to an extremely difficult relationship w/#Russia, a Russia which is more assertive & shows a significant military build-up" per @GERMANYonUN
"To be fair, I think we also have to look into the #Russia|n perspective" per @GERMANYonUN "From this Russian perspective, @NATO's enlargement & its open door policy are considered a threat, as are missile defense, outer space or long-range conventional capabilities"
Disruptive technologies like #ArtificialIntelligence, #hypersonics "demand new and intelligent arms control instruments" per @GERMANYonUN
"We have to include #China more strngly into the arms control architecture" per @GERMANYonUN "We are concerned"

But she adds, "the involvement of China cannot come at the expense of existing arms control regimes, notably the new START Treaty"

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More from @jseldin

Jun 4
Some nuggets from @FBI Dir. Christopher Wray's appearance Tuesday before the Senate Appropriations Subcommittee on Commerce, Justice, Science, and Related Agencies...
#ArtificialIntelligence & #Election2024-"We are, of course, seeing & I've been warning about this for some time, the role of AI to enhance efforts that our foreign adversaries have already been engaged in" per @FBI's Wray
"It's not that it [#ArtificialIntelligence] changes fundamentally what it is our adversaries want to do...it allows them to amplify to do it, to make it more sophisticated, more deceptive, cheaper, faster" per @FBI's Wray
Read 18 tweets
Mar 11
HAPPENING NOW - US intelligence chiefs testify before the Senate Intelligence Committee:

@ODNIgov Dir Avril Haines
@CIA Dir William Burns
@FBI Dir Christoper Wray
@NSAGov Dir Gen Timothy Haugh
@DefenseIntel Dir LtGen Jeffrey Krause
@StateDept Asst Sec for Intel Brett Holmgren Image
Noting that the current era is as challenging as ever, with a wide variety of threats, Senate Intelligence Committee Chair @MarkWarner calls for "redefining what we think of" when it comes to national security Image
@MarkWarner "We are no even seeing the possibility of foreign adversaries weaponizing space" in ways that could be detrimental to US way of life, per @MarkWarner
Read 73 tweets
Feb 29
NEW: @FBI joins White House, Senate intelligence committee chair in sounding alarm about foreign interference in #Election2024

"This election cycle, the US will face more adversaries, moving at a faster pace & enabled by new technology
per Dir Christopher Wray at @INSAlliance
#ArtificialIntelligence advances "lowering the barrier to entry-making it easier for both more & less-sophisticated foreign adversaries to engage in malign influence" per @FBI's Wray

"Making foreign influence efforts by players old and&new more realistic & difficult to detect"
@FBI Where are US adversaries focused?

“The attack surface for the bad guys is the private sector” per @FBI's Wray "The intelligence that we need is in the hands of the private sector, often”
Read 10 tweets
Feb 25
NEW: US worried about #Russia seeking to interfere in #Election2024

"Of course there are concerns" White House Nat'l Security Adviser @JakeSullivan46 tells @MeetThePress
"There's plenty of reason to be concerned" per @JakeSullivan46

"There is a history here in presidential elections by the #Russia|n Federation, by its intelligence services" he says

"We are going to be vigilant"
Concerns about #Russia|n interference in #Election2024 "not about politics" per @JakeSullivan46

"This is about national security. It is about a foreign country, a foreign adversary seeking to manipulate the politics & democracy of the United States of America."
Read 14 tweets
Feb 6
NEW: US confirms #Houthis using "various #Iran|ian-origin missiles & unmanned aerial vehicles" in their attacks on shipping in the #RedSea #GulfofAden

Conclusion based on new analysis by @DefenseIntel
The assessment is based on information current as January 2024 - including a "comparative analysis of publicly available images of #Iran|ian missiles & UAVs to those displayed & employed by #Houthi forces in #Yemen to attack commercial shipping" per @DefenseIntel
US @DefenseIntel on #Iran|ian drones in #Houthi arsenal:
-Sayad (Sammad) - range of 1800km
-Shahed-136 - range of 2500km
-Waid-1 (version of the Shahed-131) - range of 900km Image
Read 13 tweets
Feb 1
NEW: #alQaida expanding in #Afghanistan

AQ "established up to 8 new training camps in Afghanistan, including four in #Ghazni, #Laghman, #Parwan & #Uruzgan Provinces w/a new base to stockpile weaponry in the #Panjshir Valley" per new @UN report
The new #alQaida camps appear to be "conducting suicide bomber training for TTP [Tehrik-i-Taliban #Pakistan]" per the @UN report
Intelligence provided by @UN member states also notes #alQaida is operating madrasas in #Laghman, #Kunar, #Nangarhar, #Nuristan & #Parwan provinces

AQ also "maintains safe houses to facilitate the movement between #Afghanistan & the Islamic Republic of #Iran"
Read 16 tweets

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