Thread by @chrisvanderveen

FRIDAY #COVID19Colorado thread

Headline: Hospital numbers not in... maybe they will be by the time I'm midway through this... Anyhoo... We're ok... But things are not getting better

(how's that for a long headline?)

TESTING: Wow (more than 10K for first time)

#9news

(MORE)

POSITIVITY:

We're nearing the 5% barrier... Really want to stay below this line... (my fancy black line below)

3 day average:

7/9 4.62%
7/2 4.11%

CASE COUNTS:

(*Always take these with the proverbial grain of salt... as more testing WILL lead to more cases)

If you just use the ONE-DAY count (which isn't the best indicator BTW)

7/9: 583 (most since April 29)
7/2: 367

CASE COUNTS
(three day average... better... but still not perfect)

7/9: 439 (Most since May 8)
7/2: 349

HOSPITALIZATIONS
(hey look, they're starting to come in too)

7/9: 211
7/2: 147

Blue line heading up is even more obvious today

211 is the most we have seen in this state since June 5.

This is a story, folks, even if you don't like the ramifications of it.

Colorado is seeing increasing rate of spread. There is no doubt.

Is it manageable? Right now. Yes.

Will it remain that way? I hope so.

BUT...

there is some reason for concern (not "the sky is falling" concern, but concern nonetheless)

Epi curves are headed up in a number of areas.

Link: covid19.colorado.gov/data/incidence…

Bottom line:

Yeah, sure, cases were bound to go up with a record number of tests being processed

(CDPHE says a backlog got a bit unjammed today and that's partially why)

And... don't let reporters get away with "Most Cases Since Blah, Blah, Blah" without that context

Colorado is proving that once you start to reopen, you WILL see more activity

We knew that going in... This isn't a virus that wants to just disappear

The question is... what happens now?

Here's where we need to at least do some minimal things to help out.

Wash your hands... like you did back in April...

Keep an eye on vulnerable populations.

Be kind to one another... (as long as they aren't trolls :)

And, yeah, consider wearing a mask when around strangers inside.

As always, be safe. And enjoy the weekend... within reason

One SIDENOTE:

Just saw this... VENTS... Note last day movement...

Any explanation @CDPHE or @COHospitalAssn?