Ali πŸ–€πŸ•Š Profile picture
Jul 18, 2020 β€’ 14 tweets β€’ 5 min read β€’ Read on X
Day 141 and 142 - #COVID19 in Iran

A brief update on the critical situation

Picking up from two days ago:
With the hope that COVID-free days are coming soon and we all go back to what we do best. Until then, I will carry on:

[Current Outlook/1]

There is no sign of let-off. Official daily deaths at record level, number of critical cases keep creeping up. Some minor restrictions applied but frankly COVID is just one of the many fronts people are battling in.
[Current Outlook/2]

Rocketing prices and the currency in free fall, widespread corruption and sheer incompetence, political tensions and hopelessness all contributed to a situation where COVID as deadly as it is, looks like a side issue. And the government completely given up.
#IMPORTANT after reports from Tehran, health officials from Kurdistan confirming that they are seeing significant number of reinfection. [Sadly nothing more than anecdotal report, no mention of whether the first infection was verified by PCR]

Meanwhile authorities from the Health Ministry rejecting these reports saying reinfection has never been confirmed anywhere in the world attributing to longer episode.

My take:
1- Iran is the guinea pig, if we see it, we will see it in Iran first
....

...
2- Attributing to longer episode (up to 60 days) not meaningful, these cases seem to be roughly 3-4 months difference.

3- I think for proper verification we have to wait for reports from Spain and Italy. But increasingly it looks like a possibility.
Today President Rouhani announced that 25M Iranians (~30%) have contracted #COVID19.

Frankly I do not see much basis to this claim. I am sure >30% infection rate exists in some areas but in many places still 10-15%. 10M or 25M does not change anything.

We have conflicting reports from Khuzestan (4.7M). The province itself is still red, yet the governor claiming considerable reduction in cases.

What is clear is that there has been stabilisation possibly even improvement which is good considering no meaningful lockdown.
Meanwhile the situation in Qom (1.2M), the original epicentre, just gets worse by the day. Number of hospitalised cases just jumped from 200 to 240 in a matter of a few days.

Also number of hospitals allocated to COVID jumped to 3 - same as the 1st wave.

Province of Mazandaran (3M) which was severely impacted during the first wave has been focus of new attention as the cases keep rising fast, possibly now worse than the 1st wave.

Dr. Farid Jalali @farid__jalali back in April provided a hypothesis on COVID's hyper-coagulability. This is now something that is commonly seen among COVID patients.

After CVA, Iranian doctors found DVT in COVID patients.

Remember these WWII style makeshift hospitals?

Authorities are now finding lack of proper ventilation caused the entire staff of one of these "hospitals" contacting COVID.

Image
OK, that is all I have for tonight.

Stay safe, and good night.

β€’ β€’ β€’

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
γ€€

Keep Current with Ali πŸ–€πŸ•Š

Ali πŸ–€πŸ•Š Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @aliostad

Oct 29, 2022
Back in 1994, a bombing in Mashhad's holy shrine of 8th Shia Imam killed 25 and injured 70.

This bombing was attributed to MEK, a terrorist organisation that back then was reinventing itself as a political opposition.

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Imam_Reza…
It then, however, turned out to be the work of Islamic Republic's own intelligence ministry. They finally accepted that an "autonomous cell" within the ministry led by Saied Emami had gone rogue and planned and executed the attack. Image
With that in the back of Iranian minds, terrorist attack on Shah Cheragh shrine in Shiraz was immediately dismissed as the work of the Islamic Republic itself, especially considering the timing (protests).

But it is undeniable that ISIS has claimed responsibility and released πŸ‘‡ Image
Read 4 tweets
Oct 29, 2022
43rd day of #IranProtests following the killing of #MahsaAmini

I am not sure even where to start.

Today, dozens of cities around the world will witness human chains of Iranians extending for miles.

This has been planned for London too, sadly I do not feel well enough to go. Image
After weeks and weeks of reactive handling of the protests in the hope of them fizzling out, today the regime is planning to use today's burial procession of Shiraz terrorist attack victims to take the initiative back again.

IRGC Commander again declared the end of protests. ImageImageImageImage
As you can see from the images above, even for a neutral event where everyone would condemn such cowardly terrorist attack (and I do too), the regime failed to bring masses to the street.

Believe me I chose busiest pics, check them for yourself.

tasnimnews.com/fa/media/1401/…)
Read 27 tweets
Oct 27, 2022
41st day of #IranProtests. The world has now heard our voice.

✌️✌️✌️✌️✌️✌️✌️✌️✌️
β€οΈβ€οΈβ€οΈπŸ€πŸ€πŸ€πŸ’šπŸ’šπŸ’š

#IranProtests2022 #MahsaAmini #IranRevolution #Ω…Ω‡Ψ³Ψ§_Ψ§Ω…ΫŒΩ†ΫŒ Image
Today the situation was very tense in Kurdistan after the processions for burying a man who had been shot dead in Mahabad.

Protesters on their return captured governor building and there were tense clashes in all of Kurdistan and several others have been shot dead. Image
There are protests in several towns and cities across Iran.

Borujerd, Lorestan province

Chanting "Freedom, Freedom, Freedom!"

#IranProtests2022 #MahsaAmini #IranRevolution #Ω…Ω‡Ψ³Ψ§_Ψ§Ω…ΫŒΩ†ΫŒ

Read 13 tweets
Oct 27, 2022
#BREAKING The country is in turmoil and it feels like the regime is losing the grip - which is not necessarily good news since this might mean we enter a military phase.

People are reported to be in control of Town of Mahabad in Kurdistan

#MahsaAmini #IranRevolution #Ω…Ω‡Ψ³Ψ§_Ψ§Ω…ΫŒΩ†ΫŒ
Last night a protester was killed in Mahabad (168K) and today seems like most the population were on the street

#IranProtests2022 #MahsaAmini #IranRevolution #Ω…Ω‡Ψ³Ψ§_Ψ§Ω…ΫŒΩ†ΫŒ

Meanwhile security forces clashed with the mourners who had come for the 40th of Nika Shakarami

#IranProtests2022 #MahsaAmini #IranRevolution #Ω…Ω‡Ψ³Ψ§_Ψ§Ω…ΫŒΩ†ΫŒ

Read 4 tweets
Oct 26, 2022
#BREAKING

Inconsistencies around the story on attack to Shah Cheragh in Shiraz have been discovered.

First of all, ISIS statements is dated 30th of Rabi Al-Awwal month yet it has only 29 days! Today is 1st of Rabi Al-Thani

Image
Funny thing is that taghvim.com website used commonly by Iranians says today is 30th of Rabi al-Awwal. All other calendars say today is 1st of Rabi-ali-Thaani.

It cannot be ISIS! Image
My Arab followers, can you please tell me what day it is according to Hijri calendar?

Some calendars I found say 28th, some 29th, some 1st ...
Read 4 tweets
Oct 15, 2022
#IranProtests2022 5th week of incessant protests (29th day) starting today with reports of ongoing protests in Karaj, Rashst, Hamedan and Shahinshahr.

It is 1:30 PM local time.

This is students today in Sanandaj.

In Ardabil where a high school student was allegedly beaten to death (we have not yet been able to confirm or disprove) protesters have clashed with the security forces.

#MahsaAmini #NikaShakarami #IranRevolution #Ω…Ω‡Ψ³Ψ§_Ψ§Ω…ΫŒΩ†ΫŒ

Students in Tehran University now

Read 56 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(