I Disagree with both parts of👇🏼statement by former NSA "Trade boycotts .. will not restore status quo on border or ... increase Indian leverage in dealing with China. India has options ranging from quid pro quo strategies to other options on the ground ") indiatoday.in/magazine/cover…
2/ #Private#boycotts of China goods & Govt bans on hardware/software(which undermine national security), send a credible message of resolve by willingly bearing costs. Option of Tit for tat response on ground was available till May, but retd generals say it's no longer an option
3/nsa Did I mis-read earlier critique ~month ago, in which general (former Northern commander), wrote that the option of counter action in a place of our choosing is now closed?
16/tariff Steel, Aluminium & Dairy products.
US import weighted tariff are already the highest in the world; how much higher can they go.
Ans: If exchange rate appreciates they can keep going up, but not if it depreciates for other reasons (than tariffs)
18/tariff Effective Tariff on China is only 37%. Its only real economic competitor is being threatened with 50% tariff. Incredible😵💫 way to challenge a rival, who is determined to dominate the Indo-Pacific! 🥴
3/HP "Western Woke intellectuals, media and politicians (🍉🍉🍉) exaggerated random lynchings and over-generalized from few hate speeches; we should not follow their despicable example"
#PIP asks: “Is ISI eliminating the Jehadis it has created and nurtured for 50 years, who are internationally known to have committed terrorist crimes, as a prelude to re-entering SAARC (w/o publicly announcing its toning down cross-border terrorism)”
Upside potential & downside risks have been more or less equal since the start of the financial year (in April 2023) ecoti.in/u6n-Ub
2/IndEc A ringing endorsement👍🏼 for FDI into India by US & EU(+UK) MNCs, by four professors, in the Harvard Business Review (#HBR) 👌🏼 hbr.org/2023/06/does-y…
3/IndEc The more that US business, entrepreneurs & professionals learn about Indian infrastructure, digital economy, financial system and Green ambitions, the more #FDI will flow into manufacturing.
One should be inured to the pro-China, anti-India, bias of the Anglo Saxon world, & its subalterns [ jstor.org/stable/30030642 ], but sadly after 50 yrs, one is still not!
2/ir #India’s #rise is causing deep disquiet in the #Anglo#Saxon#World and among its subalterns. #Information#War will intensify in next 3 years, and won’t subside till India becomes the third largest economy in (current) USD.
As a National Security Strategist * find it a little difficult to interpret such statements by Senior officers of the US armed forces, in the broader context of the PRC threat!
2/nss Sweet spot for PLA aggression: #Elections in raucous democracies. => Lesson: Armed forces in threatened countries, should have more operational autonomy during election period.