Thread by @FLAHAULT

1/21. Jul 28 to Aug 03 - #COVID19 Daily Epidemic Forecasting in 209 countries and territories (20 of them detailed below) Risk maps for July
Data: @ECDC_EU coronavirus.jhu.edu ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
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2/21. Switzerland reported 110 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (1.29/100,000 pop), daily growth rate 0.4%. With 120 new cases/day forecast for the next days, the country is back to its safety zone. R-eff.=1.11
85,459 tests/1M pop; 199 deaths/1M pop; CFR=5%

3/21. Italy reported 254 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (0.42/100,000 pop), daily growth rate 0.1%. With 260-300 new cases each day forecast in the next days, the country remains in its safety zone. R-eff=1.13
105,103 tests/1M pop; 582 deaths/1M pop; CFR= 14.3%

4/21. Portugal reported 209 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (2.03/100,000 pop), daily growth rate 0.5%. With 240->230 new cases/d in the next days, the country is plateauing at low level close to its safety zone. R-eff=0.95
145,190 tests/1M pop; 167 deaths/1M pop; CFR= 3.4%

5/21. Greece reported 27 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (0.25/100,000 pop), growth rate 0.7%. With 27 new cases/day forecast, the country is in its safety zone. Reprod Rate (R-eff) 1.03
41,879 tests/1M pop; 19 deaths/1M pop; CFR= 4.8%

6/21. Germany reported 340 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (0.41/100,000 pop), growth rate of 0.2%. With 500 new cases each day forecast in the next days, the country is in its safety zone. R-eff=1.01
88,547 tests/1M pop; 110 deaths/1M pop; CFR= 4.4%

7/21. The United Kingdom reported 745 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (1.12/100,000 pop), growth rate 0.2%. With 680 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the country is in its safety zone. R-eff=1.04
121,622 tests/1M pop; 686 deaths/1 M pop; CFR=15.3%

8/21. Turkey reported 927 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (1.13/100,000 pop), growth rate 0.4%. With 925 new cases/day forecast, the country is in its safety zone. R-eff=0.99
52,206 tests/1M pop; 68 deaths/1 M pop; CFR=2.5%

9/21. Israel reported 1,278 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (15/100,000 pop), growth rate 2.5%. With 1,500 new cases/day forecast, the country remains at high level of its epidemic activity. R-eff=0.92
159,435 tests/1M pop; 55 deaths/1M pop; CFR= 0.8%

10/21. Saudi Arabia reported 1,968 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (5.74/100,000 pop), growth rate 0.9%. With 2,100->1,900 new cases/d, the country is coming back slowly towards its safety zone. R-eff=0.9
81,225 tests/1M pop; 79 deaths/1M pop; CFR= 1%

11/21. Pakistan reported 1,176 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (0.54/100,000 pop), growth rate 0.5%. With 1,300->1,200 new cases/d, the country is the country is in its safety zone. R-eff=0.83
7,881 tests/1M pop; 27 deaths/1M pop; CFR= 2.1%

12/21. India reported 49,931 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (3.65/100,000 pop), growth rate 3.6%. With 52,000->65,000 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the country is in exponential phase of its epidemic wave. R-eff=1.19
10,670 tests/1M pop; 24 deaths/1M pop; CFR=2.3%

13/21. South Africa reported 11,233 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (19.2/100,000 pop), growth rate 2.8%. With 11,900 new cases/day forecast, the country is plateauing at high level. R-eff=1
42,775 tests/1M pop; 116 deaths/1M pop; CFR=1.5%

14/21. Russia reported 5,765 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (3.95/100,000 pop), growth rate 0.7%. With 5,740 new cases/d, the country is the country is plateauing at medium level. R-eff=0.97
176,136 tests/1M pop; 91 deaths/1M pop; CFR= 1.6%

15/21. The USA reported 55,993 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (17/100,000 pop), growth rate 1.6%. With 65,000 new cases/d, the country is experiencing high level (see map and details

https://twitter.com/elisa_manetti/status/1286715938142855168

) R-eff=0.99
142,671 tests/1M pop; 447 deaths/1M pop; CFR=3.5%

16/21. Canada reported 355 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (0.95/100,000 pop), growth rate 0.4%. With 445->420 new cases/d in next days, the country is in its safety zone. R-eff=0.95
95,825 tests/1M pop; 238 deaths/1M pop; CFR=7.8%

17/21. Mexico reported 5,480 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (4.3/100,000 pop), growth rate 1.7%. With 6,700 new cases/day in the next days, the country is plateauing at medium level of epidemic activity. R-eff=1
5,881 tests/1M pop; 342 deaths/1M pop; CFR=11.2%

18/21. Brazil reported 24,578 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (11.7/100,000 pop), growth rate 1.8%. With 40,800->42,000 new cases/day in the next days the country is plateauing at high level of epidemic activity. R-eff.=1.06
11,933 tests/1M pop; 412 deaths/1M pop; CFR=3.6%

19/21. Chile reported 2,198 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (11.6/100,000 pop), growth rate 0.7%. With 2,280->2350 new cases/day in the next days, the country is plateauing at high level of its epidemic activity. R-eff=1.01
75,631 tests/1M pop; 481 deaths/1M pop; CFR= 2.6%

20/21. Peru reported 4,913 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (15.1/100,000 pop), growth rate 1.2%. With 4,500 new cases/day in the next days, the country is plateauing at high level of its epidemic activity. R-eff=1.07
10,145 tests/1M pop; 561 deaths/1M pop; CFR= 4.7%

21/21. Australia reported 453 new #COVID19 cases on July 27 (1.8/100,000 pop), growth rate 2.8%. With 400->440 new cases/day forecast, the country is facing a second winter wave, remaining close to its safety zone. R-eff=1.14
136,333 tests/1M pop; 6 deaths/1M pop; CFR= 1.1%

22/21. As Spain, France and Iran did not communicate their data to the ECDC in one of the last 3 days, they have been replaced by Portugal, Greece and Pakistan in the meantime.