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Dr Arvind Virmani (Phd) Profile picture
@dravirmani
Aug 22, 2020 • 3 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
My latest projections indicate that India's economic power will be 55-60% of China's in 2050. This is lower than I had projected in, "Fall and Rise of India", Working paper No. WsWp 1/2013, October 2013 (docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&pid…)
2/for a record of my "global economic power" analysis & forecasts see (& download) articles at sites.google.com/site/drarvindv…
2/vip My measure of economic power is the #VIPP index I devised. It is currently at ~25 % of China's now, and is projected to go up to 55%-60% .(this is a preliminary estimate. still working on formal written paper) sites.google.com/site/drarvindv…

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More from @dravirmani

Dr Arvind Virmani (Phd) Profile picture
Aug 5
#Hinduphobia is not defined in English dictionary so it doesn't exist. Only #Islamophobia & #AntiSemitism are real!
2/HP 🍉🍉🍉"Data/facts are irrelevant! We recognise Islamophobia when we see it!"
3/HP "Western Woke intellectuals, media and politicians (🍉🍉🍉) exaggerated random lynchings and over-generalized from few hate speeches; we should not follow their despicable example"
Read 11 tweets
Dr Arvind Virmani (Phd) Profile picture
Jun 30, 2023
Upside potential & downside risks have been more or less equal since the start of the financial year (in April 2023) ecoti.in/u6n-Ub
2/IndEc A ringing endorsement👍🏼 for FDI into India by US & EU(+UK) MNCs, by four professors, in the Harvard Business Review (#HBR) 👌🏼 hbr.org/2023/06/does-y…
3/IndEc The more that US business, entrepreneurs & professionals learn about Indian infrastructure, digital economy, financial system and Green ambitions, the more #FDI will flow into manufacturing.
Read 63 tweets
Dr Arvind Virmani (Phd) Profile picture
Jan 28, 2023
One should be inured to the pro-China, anti-India, bias of the Anglo Saxon world, & its subalterns [ jstor.org/stable/30030642 ], but sadly after 50 yrs, one is still not!
2/ir #India’s #rise is causing deep disquiet in the #Anglo #Saxon #World and among its subalterns. #Information #War will intensify in next 3 years, and won’t subside till India becomes the third largest economy in (current) USD.
3/ir Great slogan for the #Information #War on India
Read 5 tweets
Dr Arvind Virmani (Phd) Profile picture
Jan 28, 2023
As a National Security Strategist * find it a little difficult to interpret such statements by Senior officers of the US armed forces, in the broader context of the PRC threat!
2/nss Sweet spot for PLA aggression: #Elections in raucous democracies. => Lesson: Armed forces in threatened countries, should have more operational autonomy during election period.
3/nss Post script: #India’s general election is also in 2024
Read 4 tweets
Dr Arvind Virmani (Phd) Profile picture
Jan 28, 2023
#Perspective #Planning anyone (🙈🙉🙊) ?
2/res Ths who’ve never done #research in lifetime find it difficult to understand, why this is critical, for directing commissioning & using, good policy relevant research [An internal core of researchers is key to success]. For them ideas & analysis can be bought like software📦
3/res Any org that merely reacts to media headlines, & questions raised by critics, is like a consultancy organisation, not a think tank. It can never anticipate problems, nor create imaginative new solutions. Worlds top consultancy orgs. reward salesmanship not analysis… 4/res
Read 5 tweets
Dr Arvind Virmani (Phd) Profile picture
Jan 5, 2023
#Emedicine, #Telemedicine can/will revolutionise (high quality) #health delivery not only in #India’s rural and remote areas, but also in rural areas of much richer countries!
2/tmed #Telemedicine #Egalth
3/tmed #Telemedicine
Read 6 tweets

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