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Another daily record has been set by #India's #Coronavirus #epidemic. Yesterday there were a whopping 78,761 new infections taking the total to above 3.5Million well on course for the 4 Million prediction by 5 September.
Over the last 5 days the compound daily growth rate has been 2.27% per day. That sounds tiny but such is the power of compound growth that at 2.27% per day the doubling time (to 7 million cases) is 30 days. So we COULD be looking at 7 Million by early Oct.
In the last 14 days we added almost a MIllion new cases (well 9.53 lakhs actually) That figure is more than the cumulative total number of infections in all countries except Brazil America, and by a narrow whisker, Russia.
The effect of all this, on the problems #India will face in getting back to some semblance of normality in business, work, education and economic activity is absolutely enormous. We need a clearly thought out strategy to deal with the biggest peace-time crisis.
Yes it is a global problem and every country is struggling, but many are pulling themselves out of it while India seems to be digging itself deeper. Ultimately the real strength of a country will be judged by how its society and politics responded to #Coronavirus.
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