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Tim Hogan 浩勤

@TimInHonolulu

Apr 22

https://twitter.com/officejjsmart/status/1782180293773762966

1. Trying to imagine what would be so urgent as to cause Putin to rush to the Kremlin on Sunday night. A quick survey of Russian press and I found one report that confirmed something that I had thought might happen now that the aid money and weapons are certain to come in days.

https://twitter.com/officejjsmart/status/1782180293773762966

2. Ukraine had to be holding a cache of weapons for a massive Russian offensive. Things like ATACMS, HIMARS, 155 mm smart munitions, Javelins & Stingers. They would be limiting offensive operations and focused waiting to hold the line from and offensive. I think they went all in.

2. I found this report buried in Tass. that sounds like a report of an army that's facing a sudden broad-front offensive. "Units of Russia’s Battlegroup West moved to more advantageous positions in the past day, tass.com/defense/1778291

Read 7 tweets

Tim Hogan 浩勤

@TimInHonolulu

Apr 21

https://twitter.com/KurdistanWatch/status/1761766554201432432

1. In February the KRG PM visited DC. No official meeting with @POTUS @Joebiden. At the time I wondered if the Barzani family relationship with Erdogan might have them on the outs with DC.

https://twitter.com/KurdistanWatch/status/1761766554201432432

2. This cold shoulder contrasted with the recent meeting between the US President and the Iraqi PM.

Erdogan arrives in Erbil Monday at same time he's reported to have begun attack on Northern areas of Iraqi Kurdistan in violation of Iraqi sovereignty.

c-span.org/video/?534931-…

3. Erdogan is no longer hiding his affection for Islamist terrorists that was long suspected but now fully embraced by Erdogan. And Barzani connection to Erdogan can't be considered a positive factor in KRG's relationship with the Biden administration.

Read 6 tweets

Tim Hogan 浩勤

@TimInHonolulu

Apr 2

1. Random facts occasionally haunt me. A recent report that I think I heard on MSNBC said that Trump was not spending on a Michigan ground game. That struck me as so odd it lingered in my mind while I ponder to find some way to explain it.

2. Tonight on @11thHour I think I may have heard something that may explain what Trump is planning. If this pans out, the good news is that he thinks he's going to lose and is preparing for his next grift. On @SRuhle's hour there was discussion of Trump rallies and how they

3. have changed. He goes off script at the end of the rally that turns into a what was describe as something similar to a religious gathering. My first thought was it was the antitheses of the kind of general election play that expands the voter base but then it hit me.

Read 4 tweets

Tim Hogan 浩勤

@TimInHonolulu

Mar 31

1. I find it unlikely that people like Scott Perry, who I think was part of a military coup plot, did not raise presidential immunity in the grand jury. I've watched several dockets in the DC Cir and I think at least one or two have made it to SCOTUS based on the

2. timing of sealed filings in the DC record. Could there already be a full discussion of the POTUS immunity in a sealed opinion? SCOTUS would all be aware of the case that might explain the liberals remaining quiet while the court as a whole moved the case slowly to conclusion

3. at the end of the term. They may want to announce it and get out of town fast when the MAGA horde goes off its rocker. I'm starting to think that the case that may be lurking is the kidnapping and/or assassination of Mike Pence. Pence made his tepid denouncement of Trump on

Read 6 tweets

Tim Hogan 浩勤

@TimInHonolulu

Mar 24

1.Since 2014, I have consistently expressed my belief that Russia and ISIS (nka Daesh) were connected. Today, Daesh thrives in an area of Syria that is protected from US strikes due to a US deconfliction agreement with Russia.

2. Let's watch and see if Russia does anything to disturb Daesh in this area. The reporting on the attack and the fact that AMAQ is reporting in the manner it has not previously reported is consistent with my view that Russia and Daesh are at least tacitly affiliated.

3. Putin's clumsy attempt to claim this as a Ukrainian operation despite the fact that the US raised the alarm is consistent with this conclusion. It also may evidence that Putin is becoming increasingly desperate and turning to dangerous poorly planned operations to gain

Read 5 tweets

Tim Hogan 浩勤

@TimInHonolulu

Mar 23

1. Bankruptcy is often used to perform the function of orderly liquidation of debtor assets to pay creditors through a process optimized to keep costs of liquidation low. Take a hotel that cannot be reorganized but needs to be sold. If a judgment creditor holding a huge

2. judgment levies execution and sell it on the courthouse steps it often gets a pittance where the sale is subject to senior liens and encumbrances. But in a bankruptcy section 11 USC 363(f) sale, the property can be marketed and, best of all, be sold free

3.and clear of any liens or encumbrances. For Trump to simply roll over and allow the AG to start selling his properties is totally insane. I can think of a few reasons why he might cave and the first may be that the scrutiny that bankruptcy brings might expose the real source

Read 8 tweets

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