Kyle Lamb Profile picture
8 Sep, 10 tweets, 5 min read
Reminder what the "experts" had to say about the science of masking from ~March/April. A thread

-1-

Dr. Fauci
A veritable feast from former CDC director Tom Friedman, written the first week of April in his 'Science Weekly' journal on preventepidemics.org

-2-
U.S. Surgeon General Jerome Adams was adamant about masks...

-3-
Of course there is Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden who all believe masks are pointless and do not mandate them.

-4-
WHO did not support mask wearing very strongly in March, either

-5-
Neither did a number of science journals, including one study in April in the NEJM

-6-
And like everyone else, the CDC stated very strongly masks did not stop the spread of viruses. Surgical masks were for prevention and protection against the wearer from bacteria and *large* droplets. After all, a 3 micron mask is not meant to prevent small 0.1 micron virus.

-8-
As of April 3, OSHA agreed. Surgical masks were not meant for aerosol protection.

-9-
Did the science on years of masking studies change? 'Experts' can't cite why/how the science on how 3 micron masks suddenly became effective overnight stopping .1 viruses but some say the science changed. Others say they were merely lying to save H/C workers. Which is it?

-end-
*Tom Frieden. Sorry just realized I typed Friedman for some reason.

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More from @kylamb8

10 Sep
Dr. Anthony Fauci on Jan. 26 on AM 970, NY, with John Catsimatidis

"The American people should not be worried or frightened by this. It's a very, very low risk to the United States, it isn't something that the American public needs to worry about or be frightened about."

1/3
Dr. Fauci on Feb. 29 on the Today Show

"Right now, at this moment, there is no reason to change anything you're doing on a day by day basis. Right now the risk is low."

2/3
So how is it the POTUS, having the same intel as Dr. Fauci (remember they were meeting in January already) gets raked over the coals for trying to keep the public from panicking, but Dr. Fauci gets a pass for doing the same?

Is there any intellectual consistency left?

3/3
Read 4 tweets
2 Sep
Below is an example of a death certificate from the Nat'l Vital Statistics System (NVSS), a CDC branch that is in charge of D.C. collection/reporting. This is a quick explanation of how Covid-19 deaths are reported and where the "6%" came from and why it isn't important.
Generally, NVSS guidelines suggest any death caused by Covid be listed in Part I, which lists all causes in the chain of events leading to death right up to the final underlying cause (Line A). Any death Covid is listed in Part I is supposed to be lowest line (underlying cause).
Pneumonia, for instance, is frequently brought on by both Covid and the flu. So a person could have PN listed on Line A as being the immediate cause, but CV would be the UCOD below it. This would be the same as the flu, except we don't actually confirm flu like we do this.
Read 8 tweets
28 Aug
Herd Immunity. I'm devoting this thread to it because it's a possible way out. There are a lot of Herd Immunity Threshold (HIT) deniers out there over theories that the virus is burning out at 15-20%. I'm about to throw some cold water in the faces of the deniers.

1/2
I can't prove, and won't attempt to suggest I can, that we are reaching herd immunity in the U.S. However, after seeing the data I have to offer, anyone would be cray to dismiss the possibility out of hand. First, let's discuss what herd immunity actually is.

2/3
Let's explain herd immunity from an excerpt found on the Mayo Clinic website:

3/4

mayoclinic.org/diseases-condi…
Read 13 tweets
16 Aug
A new and improved CDC provisional death chart by date of death and date added with all necessary indicators attached. I have a key to explain each column in the second tweet. I will update this at the end of every week as the indicator data is usually updated Friday.
Here is the key and explanation of columns
Pay close attention to all indicators but especially look at CLI and Hosp columns two weeks behind "predict." The 6,975 projection under predict for Aug. 8 will correspond to 25,898 in "Hosp" for July 25. That has decreased to 22,138 projected and 16,320 projected last 2 weeks.
Read 4 tweets
14 Aug
Aug. 8 indicators have been updated. My new Covid Indicator Trend Index shows substantial fall. This is 20% CDC lab pos% by week, 20% PCR test by collection/test date, 30% CLI as % of ER Visits and 30% hospital occupancy per 1 million residents. Will have region totals later. Image
CDC Lab, PCR and CLI are all rates for those weeks compared to total national average for all weeks whereas the hospital occupancy is just average daily covid-19 hospital occupancy that week on a per 1 million basis compared to total for all weeks.
This is what the trend index looks like on a graph Image
Read 14 tweets
11 Aug
So here is a look at the incredible symmetry (especially last two months) in rate of positive PCR tests (by lab collection/test date rather than when reported) and pct. of ER visits showing CLI symptoms. Sources: CDC/HHS PCR timeseries and NSSP CLI data.

National total
HHS Region 1, New England states

ME, VT, NH, RI, MA, CT
HHS Region 2: New York and New Jersey
Read 13 tweets

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