Thread by @luki_brunner

🌦️ How will #ClimateChange affect future temperature and precipitation in #Europe?

We have collected 8 different methods looking into this question! Check out our new @AMSJCLi paper for a comparison and discussion 👇
doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D…

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Main takeaway: 🌡️ Under a high emission scenario we have to expect 2-3°C of additional warming in #Europe by the middle of the century.

🌍However, exact numbers across methods vary in several regions (such as Northern Europe)!

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Our paper confirms earlier results finding a drying 🌧️☀️ in the Mediterranean but at the same time the divergence between methods is considerable and needs additional research!

Read more here 👇👇
doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D…

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So why do the projections differ?

Our @AMSJCLi paper compares method properties ⚙️🧮 and underlying assumptions such as the uncertainties covered to better understand relevant factors.

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Are you a user of #climate information? Do you have to deal with diverging information coming from different methods?

In our paper, we warn against simply using one method in case they do not agree and provide guidance for users!⚠️

Read more here:
doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D…

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This work was a huge collaborative effort by many people and funded by the @EUCP_H2020 project in the frame of 🇪🇺 @EU_H2020. Thanks to everyone who contributed to this!! 🙏 @CarolMcSweeney @BallingerAndrew @Rita_Nogherotto @Knutti_ETH @GeertLenderink @AurelienRibes @SabineUndorf