2/TMO expects to generate $4.5B of Covid-19 related revenues in FY2020, 17.6% of their FY2019 revenues
The Company is guiding to 13-16% y/y revenue growth in FY2020,
more than double their estimate of 5-7% organic revenue growth in the medium term
3/ The Company's response to Covid-19 demonstrates the breadth of their offerings
TMO produces test kits and machines,
supports vaccine development and manufacturing
and sells personal protective equipment
4/ The Company’s Life Science (LSS) segment and contract drug manufacturing (CDMO) services together form a full service partner to the drug development industry
Based on comparable company valuations, ~90% of TMO’s equity value is attributable to their LSS and CDMO businesses
5/ In June 2020, TMO announced a deal to lease CSL's biomanufacturing facility which The Company will operate within their CDMO business
CSL will be first customer, but TMO expects to attract additional clients
and that the facility contribute $300M in revenues by 2024
6/ The Company has increased revenues from high-growth and developing markets by ~33% since 2010
Revenues from China and Korea respectively have grown 16% and 14% p.a. from 2010-2019
7/ TMO spent $1.5B buying back shares in the first quarter of 2020, when many companies suspended their share repurchases
Shares were bought back at an average price of $331.76, ~21% less than current prices
8/ The Company projects spending 60-75% of their FCF on M&A going forward
Less than the ~130% of FCF spent on M&A in the last 10 years, but a similar dollar amount due to increased earnings
Thomas Barrack, Jr. formed Colony Capital in 1990 as a 43 year with a diverse curriculum vitae. After graduating law school in 1972, Barrack joined the law firm of Herbert M. Kalmbach, then President Nixon’s personal attorney. (1/13)
Two months into his time working for Kalmbach, Barrack travelled to Saudi Arabia on behalf of the firm and its client, the construction company, Flour. (2/13)
After a chance meeting over a squash game, Barrack resigned from Kalmbach to work as a representative for a cadre Saudi Arabian princes. (3/13)
2/ Paul Vogel was promoted to CFO in late 2019, succeeding Barry McCarthy, who joined SPOT from Netflix, $NFLX, and spearheaded The Company's direct listing
During its first two years as a public company, SPOT developed credibility from their investors
1/ Dr. Matthew Walker claims, “…evidence that makes clear all of the dangers…when sleep becomes short have not been telegraphed to the public. It is the most glaring omission in the contemporary health conversation” in his 2017 book, Why We Sleep
2/ 2-9% of adults in the U.S. suffer from abnormal breathing during sleep, known as Obstructive Sleep Apnea (“OSA”). Heart attacks, strokes and other chronic conditions are highly correlated with OSA. Resmed, $RMD, is the leading provider of Sleep Apnea care products globally
3/ Resmed sells continuous positive airway pressure, “CPAP”, mask systems used to treat OSA and as well as ventilators and portable oxygen concentrators used to treat Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease and other respiratory diseases
1/ In their 2019 paper, Complexity Investing, NZS suggests that, “products, services…can be optimized for RESILIENCE…cash generative businesses that...fund a series of OPTIONAL investments…”
2/ TMO uses cash generated from their resilient businesses, laboratory equipment, supplies and services as well as diagnostic instruments, and through a systemic M&A program, buys high optionality businesses serving the pharmaceutical industry
3/ The Company’s lineage begins with Fisher Scientific in 1902 and separately, Thermo Electron in 1956
By January 2004, Thermo finished simplifying their corporate structure, buying out minority shareholders of 22 subsidiaries spun out in the 1990s and divesting non-core assets
1/ Mark Leonard introduced me to vertical market software (VMS) in his yearly letters to Constellation Software’s shareholders. In his 2017 letter, he references an apex predator, Roper, $ROP, whose lineage @walshgb unpacks below
2/ Roper reports across four segments, two that provide VMS and contribute ~65% of earnings power and the other two offering industrial and medical devices. Over the next four tweets, I pair a thumbnail of each segment’s financial profile, with its description from ROP’s 2019 10K
3/ The Application Software segments provide VMS to a variety of enterprises and industries ranging from law, education, labs, govt. contractors, etc. Tyler Technologies, $TYL, who sells VMS to municipal govt. and Constellation Software are two somewhat similar businesses