THREAD: I've been talking to the climate and fire scientists who know better than anyone about what's happening on the West Coast. They are deeply upset, but not surprised. And they warn that this is not the "new normal." It's likely to get worse.
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
2/ The numbers are astonishing. In California, where I live, we've blasted through the record for area burned in a single year.
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
3/ But what's so alarming about 2020 isn't the total area burned. It's that this happened so quickly in less than a month. The fires now include the first, third, and fourth largest in state history.
fire.ca.gov/media/11416/to…
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
4/ The intensity with which some of these fires have taken off has astonished even seasoned fire-watchers. Here's the Creek Fire, exploding from nothing to a catastrophe that required 200 people to be rescued by military helicopter
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
5/ Here are major fire incidents in California since 2010, as circles scaled by the area burned. The overlapping large circles in the past month are unprecedented.
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
6/ There are no easy fixes. And we will probably have to fight fire with fire, vastly increasing prescribed burns to reduce the fuel load in unnaturally dense forests.
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
7/ Before the European settlement of California a greater area burned on an annual basis than this year. But these were much lower-intensity fires that left the biggest trees alive, rather than destroying everything in their path.
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
8/ Getting back to anything like a "natural" fire regime won't be easy, and it won't be comfortable. "Skies were likely smoky much of the summer and fall in California during the prehistoric period," this paper warned back in 2007.
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
9/ But one way or another, more fires are coming, for good or bad. There is no going back to the West Coast we once knew. "We are going to have to embrace more fire on the landscape," @Weather_West told me.
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
10/ @Weather_West also spoke of the grief we're all feeling on the West Coast. "This is horrible. It is very hard to process. Personally, I’m exhausted by all of this."
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…

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More from @paldhous

31 Jul
THREAD: It's been a brutal week for #COVID19 deaths in the US.
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
2/ This week's rise in #COVID19 deaths was driven in part (but not entirely) by Monday spike due to change in reporting in Texas, which switched to working from death certificates rather than reporting from local health authorities. Texas daily death counts from @nytimes data:
3/ Here's a good thread on the change in #COVID19 deaths reporting in Texas:
Read 6 tweets
4 Jul
THREAD: I spent almost a decade fighting a libel action to bring you this story. I hope it helps prevent further harm.
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
2/ In December 2010, after an investigation spanning more than a year, I published this story @newscientist detailing problems with a prenatal paternity test offered by a company called the Health Genetic Center in Toronto, Canada
newscientist.com/article/mg2082…
3/ I spoke to women who’d been given results contradicted by tests run subsequently by accredited testing labs. Their lives were upended. One came close to aborting her fetus, based on an incorrect result.
Read 18 tweets
24 Jun
THREAD: #BlackLivesMatter protests have not led to clear spikes in #COVID19 transmission. What does that mean?
1/ Here are trends in new cases (7 day rolling average) for some counties with large protests
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
2/ Mask wearing and the outside setting may have helped, but experts warned not to leap to the conclusion that all outside gatherings are safe
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
3/ Other possible factors include relative youth of the protesters, and the fact that, even given the large size of many protests, most people in those cities were not crowded together
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
Read 6 tweets
11 Dec 19
THREAD: I've been reporting on DNA testing and scrutinizing my own genome for more than 10 years. Here's an end-of-decade perspective
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
After 23andMe, deCODE, and Navigenics burst on the scene with genome scans for health risks, many experts were skeptical of the value of their reports
newscientist.com/article/dn1793…
This was driven home for me when deCODE wrongly concluded I have a 40% lifetime chance of developing Alzheimer's. (That was when it reanalyzed my 23andMe data in a marketing stunt.)
web.archive.org/web/2010012517…
Read 15 tweets
30 Sep 19
In this story on Jeffrey Epstein's close ties to John Brockman's Edge Foundation, I called @edge a "boys club." Thread with some context on that, starting with the Twitter account 1/
buzzfeednews.com/article/petera…
@edge 2/ Recent media from John Brockman's @edge account. All of these things are like the others.
@edge 3/ ~80% at edge.org/people are men. But it's a legacy list, maybe diversity has increased recently? Not judging from tweets in June this year, when Brockman shared contributors' suggestions for a final @edge question
Read 9 tweets

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