📣 Fundraising update: We’re just $370,000 away from raising $2 MILLION to elect Dems and flip seats up & down the ballot! 1/ Image
Usually I start with my #FlipTheSenate page or state legislative pages...this time, I want to give a shout-out to some OAKLAND COUNTY, MI races! (especially Karen McDonald for Prosecutor and Kelly Dillaha for Commissioner District 12!) 2/
Speaking of which, if you happen to live in Oakland County and want a high-quality #BidenHarris lawn sign, donate $25 to @OaklandDems...if you live in my neck of the woods I might even deliver it personally! 3/
Here in Michigan, we flipped 5 House seats in 2018 and need just 4 more to #FlipMIHouseBlue. Donate to these races today! I strongly recommend @VotePulver, @voteKellyBreen, @VoteBreadonMI43, @JodyLamacchia and @barbanness2020. /3 #DemCast #DemCastMI 4/
Dems are also just 4 seats away from taking control of the Iowa state House! Help #FlipIAHouseBlue by donating to these races today! /5 #DemCast #DemCastIA
Democrats already hold the Minnesota state House, but if we flip just 2 more seats in the Senate we’ll have a trifecta! Help #FlipMNSenateBlue by donating to these races today! /6 #DemCast #DemCastMN
In Arizona, Democrats have a good chance of flipping BOTH the state House (2 seats) *and* Senate (3 seats). 7/ Donate to #FlipAZBlue today! #DemCast #DemCastAZ
Wisconsin's horrific gerrymandering makes it a tough nut to crack, but Dems have a narrow chance at flipping the state Senate and can make gains in the state House. Donate to #FlipWIBlue today! #DemCast #DemCastWI 8/ secure.actblue.com/donate/makewib…
Ohio isn't gonna be easy, but with great candidates, some luck and your support, we can bring it back from the brink. Help #FlipOHBlue by donating to these races today! 9/ #DemCast #DemCastOH
Florida's legislature has been a GOP lock for a long time, but the state Senate is within reach. Plus, boosting turnout for state races helps #BidenHarris win the state as well! Donate to these races today to help #FlipFLBlue: 10/ #DemCast #DemCastFL
The odds are long on the Georgia legislature, but w/the right candidates & a lot of support we have a shot! Boosting state race turnout also helps #BidenHarris, @ossoff, @ReverendWarnock etc. Donate to help #FlipGABlue today! 11/ #DemCast #DemCastGA secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
Democrats have a real shot at flipping BOTH the House *and* Senate in North Carolina this year! They need to flip 6 House and 5 Senate seats to #FlipNCBlue and PASS MEDICAID EXPANSION with @RoyCooperNC! Donate to these races today: 12/ #DemCast #DemCastNC secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
Flipping the Pennsylvania *Senate* will require nabbing 5 seats. The PA *House* is a larger job (9 seats) but both are doable. Donate to these races to help #FlipPABlue today! 13/ #DemCast #DemCastPA secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
Amazingly, the South Carolina state Senate is IN PLAY! Dems need to flip 5 seats to take control of it...and with @harrisonjaime giving Lindsey Graham a run for his money, we could pull it off! Donate to #FlipSCSenateBlue today! 14/ #DemCast #DemCastSC secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
Even more eyebrow-raising, the West Virginia state Senate could be flipped if everything goes right. Help make that happen and #FlipWVSenateBlue by donating to these races today: 15/ #DemCast #DemCastWV secure.actblue.com/donate/flipwvb…
📣 JUST ADDED: KANSAS! That's right, by popular demand, I've added 2 dozen of the most competitive KS state house races! I'm still tweaking this list so there may be a few changes, but if you want Medicaid expansion, donate today! 16/ #DemCast #DemCastKS secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
This year has reminded us how vitally important GOVERNORS (#COVID19 response), ATTORNEYS GENERAL (defending the #ACA) and SECRETARIES OF STATE (protecting voting rights & election integrity) are! Donate to elect #MoreDemExecs today! 17/ #DemCast secure.actblue.com/donate/gov_ag_…
OK, onto the CONGRESSIONAL races: Democrats flipped the U.S. House in 2018. Now we have to make sure to KEEP control of it! These are the 40 most vulnerable House Dems; donate today to #KeepTheHouseBlue: 18/ #DemCast secure.actblue.com/donate/keepthe…
We flipped 40 U.S. House seats in 2018, but left dozens more on the table, coming up just a few hundred votes short in some cases! Donate to these swing district races to #ExpandTheBlueHouse today! 19/ #DemCast secure.actblue.com/donate/expandt…
There are dozens more House races which are a much tougher grind, but with the right candidates, a lot of luck and your support (financial or otherwise), we could pull off a few surprises! Donate to help Dems #CompeteEverywhere today! 20/ #DemCast secure.actblue.com/donate/compete…
As long as I'm at it, we should really #LeaveNoDemBehind! These candidates are running in the deepest red districts, but they shouldn't be abandoned. Donate today! 21/ #DemCast secure.actblue.com/donate/compete…
FINALLY, Of course we need to #FlipTheSenate! Some of these are already swimming in money; consider other great candidates like @harrisonjaime, @BarbaraBollier, @DrAlGrossAK and @mjhegar as well...and don't forget @DougJones and @GaryPeters! 22/ #DemCast secure.actblue.com/donate/retakes…
P.S. Aside from the normal ActBlue processing fees, 100% of these donations go to the candidates themselves. If you happen to feel like supporting my work in ACA/healthcare policy data analysis & advocacy, you can do so here, thank you! /END

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More from @charles_gaba

23 Sep
Excellent. The only quibble I have is this: “Overnight, if the Affordable Care Act is eliminated, we will return to the health care system of 2010.”

It’d actually be far worse.
Pre-ACA, there were various state/local programs set up which tried to mitigate at least some of the suffering of those without coverage. Many of those programs are gone, rendered unnecessary by the ACA. They couldn’t be simply dusted off and reinstated at the drop of a hat.
Even if the funding for those programs was reinstated (in the middle of a major recession w/states already cash-strapped?), there’s all sorts of logistical challenges which would take time to ramp back up again.
Read 6 tweets
22 Sep
I think it’s time to repost my Stearn-by-state, district-by-district thread about just how much federal funding would be lost if the ACA is struck down...and this was BEFORE #COVID19 hit.
ALABAMA: Via analyses by @UrbanInstitute and Center for @AmProg (latter of which I co-wrote w/@EmilyG_DC & @NicoleRapfogel), if the #ACA is struck down, 186,000 AL residents would lose coverage & the state would lose at least $1.15 BILLION in federal funding per year.
⚠️ NOTE: The *coverage* losses have been updated for the #COVID19 era; the loss in *federal funding* is from last year. Assuming the increase in lost funding is proportional to the increase in coverage losses, you'd have to tack on another 30% for Alabama. This % varies by state.
Read 60 tweets
22 Sep
Just a reminder to those who couldn’t bring themselves to vote for Hillary Clinton in 2016 that if Trump pulls this off, he’ll have seated a full 1/3 of the U.S. Supreme Court in less than 4 years.

Plus over 200 other Federal judges.

For life.
As Michelle Obama said at the DNC less than a month ago: “If you don’t think it can get any worse...it can.”
Oh, and for the “Why won’t Nancy Pelosi/Chuck Schumer DO SOMETHING?” crowd: She ALREADY impeached the morherfucker, and every Dem voted to remove him from office. What exactly are you proposing she do now?
Read 5 tweets
21 Sep
📣 Right after the 2018 midterms, I decided to see if I could raise $250,000 by Nov. 3, 2020 to help elect Democratic candidates up & down the ticket. Minutes ago the total broke 10x that amount...with 43 days left to spare.

Let's keep it going! (THREAD) 1/
📣 First, here's a new page as a "one-stop shop" for *federal* races: Help #FlipTheSenate (10 seats), #KeepTheBlueHouse (14 seats) & #ExpandTheBlueHouse (26 seats) while also gaining the state Congressional delegation advantage in one shot!
secure.actblue.com/donate/final_f… 2/
📣 Since the death of #RBG, 90% of donations thru my pages have been to #FlipTheSenate. While I strongly advise focusing more on the 10 races above, I also have this page which includes *every* GOP-held seat (plus Doug Jones & Gary Peters, who need help):
Read 9 tweets
21 Sep
Yup. Have cancer? Here's a policy that will cover you if you break your arm, but not your chemotherapy.

From an actuarial POV, medical underwriting might make sense. From a human decency POV, not so much.
Note that the ACA didn't ENTIRELY eliminate premium variances, but it dramatically reduced their scope. Premiums can vary by age...but only by a 3:1 range instead of 5 or 6:1. They can vary by geography w/a state (defined rating areas). And smokers can be charged up to 50% more.
Even within the ACA, some states restrict it even more:
--NY & VT don't allow *any* age variance (1:1 range); MA allows 2:1
--Some small states like DE only have 1 rating area anyway
--Some states don't allow a smoker surcharge or have a smaller cap
Read 7 tweets
21 Sep
⚠️📣 NEW! I've raised nearly $2.5 million for hundreds of candidates. In response to several requests, here's a new page for those who want to narrow their donations down (I'll explain below). Donate to these races TODAY! #BlueTsunami2020
SENATE: I've deliberately avoided the "marquee races" which are receiving so much buzz (Kelly in AZ, Gideon in ME, McGrath in KY, etc.). They're flooded w/$ already. Instead, I'm focusing on "2nd tier" races which are very winnable but need the $ more.
HOUSE: This page includes ~30 races (incumbents & challengers) which are rated "toss-ups" by the Cook Report, plus 10 which will be CRITICAL if the Presidential election gets thrown to the U.S. House (a real possibility this year!), like AK-AL, MT-AL, etc:
Read 5 tweets

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