Eric Escobar Profile picture
Sep 15, 2020 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
The number of cases per week continues to increase. 1/ #covidbc Image
The current wave started with the young (20-29), but it is expanding to other age demographics 2/ Image
Assuming that the current second wave started on June 1st, the cumulative cases point to a doubling time of ~20 days 3/ Image
This is the first full week of school for the kids. Is it safe? From the Harvard guideline for school reopening they recommend to look at the new cases per 100k per day (globalepidemics.org/wp-content/upl…) 4/ ImageImage
last week we were at around 3-4 new cases per 100,000 per day in Vancouver and Fraser, but it is rising. 5/ Image
Hospitalizations are going up 6/
datawrapper.de/_/uSrlh/ Image
Let's do what we can to bend the curve. We did it once, we can do it again. 7/7

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Eric Escobar

Eric Escobar Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @eresc79

Dec 18, 2021
1. Models by Dean Karlen from the @bcCOVID19group. Models from December 16.🧵

BC Total
pypm.github.io/home/docs/stud…
2. Various regions.
3. Northern and parameters used.
Read 14 tweets
Dec 18, 2021
1. The uptick in cases continues, as #omicron takes hold in BC. #covid19bc

Graphs from @vb_jens 's site.
2. The lot plot shows clearly that Vancouver Coastal is leading the way this time.
3. And it is Vancouver and North Shore where the increase are most pronounced.
Read 11 tweets
Dec 17, 2021
1. Some back of the envelope estimates on what is to come if we follow current course. 🧵 Image
2. We know that BC had its first cases at the end of November.

3. And we know that BC had 10 cases of omicron by November 27.

Read 10 tweets
Dec 16, 2021
1. #covid19bc in BC are starting to rise now. 🧵
Charts from @vb_jens 's site Image
2. Log plot per HA. Vancouver Coastal is where cases are rising the fastest. Image
3. Although Vancouver Island also has significant increases (UofVic outbreak?) Image
Read 10 tweets
Dec 3, 2021
1. A new sobering update on the #OmicronVarient (variant) from the HA in South Africa moments ago. Two main things stand out. The case numbers are growing much faster than before, and the demographics of hospital admissions is changing.



#covid19bc
The first thing that @Dr_Groome presented was the rapid growth in case numbers.
Slides: sacoronavirus.co.za/2021/12/03/cov…
3. A better representation would've been to use a log scale in the y-axis, as you can see that by doing that you can clearly see the difference in growth rates between previous waves and this one. I added US as comparison, adjusting by population. You can see the problem here.
Read 18 tweets
Apr 8, 2021
1. Updated numbers from #COVID19BC situation report (bccdc.ca/Health-Info-Si…) 🧵

2837 #B117 (vs 3122 predicted), new Rt is still 1.6.
872 #P1 (vs 879 predicted), new Rt is 3.2.

2. The estimated Rt values for P1 have been consistent for three weeks now.
3. New numbers from today fit beautifully an exponential growth curve
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(