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Charles Gaba ✡️ Profile picture
@charles_gaba
Sep 17, 2020 • 24 tweets • 21 min read • Read on X
📣 Thread: FUNDRAISING UPDATE: I'm just $245,000 away from raising $2 MILLION to elect Democrats & flip seats up & down the ballot! Use this thread to donate TODAY! 1/ #DemCast
📣 MICHIGAN: In 2018 we flipped 5 House seats and need just 4 more to #FlipMIHouseBlue. Donate to these races today! I strongly recommend Julia Pulver, Kelly Breen, Nicole Breadon, Barb Anness and Jody LaMacchia: 2/ #DemCast #DemCastMI
secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
📣 IOWA: Dems are also just 4 seats away from taking control of the state House! Boosting down-ticket enrollment also helps our federal candidates and #BidenHarris with their races! Help #FlipIABlue by donating to these races today. 3/ #DemCast #DemCastIA
secure.actblue.com/donate/flipiab…
📣 MINNESOTA: Democrats already hold the state House, but if we flip just 2 more seats in the Senate we’ll have a trifecta! Help #FlipMNSenateBlue by donating to these races today! 4/ #DemCast #DemCastMN
secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
📣 ARIZONA: Democrats have a good chance of flipping BOTH the state House (2 seats) *and* Senate (3 seats). 5/ Donate to #FlipAZBlue today! #DemCast #DemCastAZ
secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
📣 KANSAS: NEW! By popular demand, I've added 2 dozen of the most competitive KS state house races! It also helps Barbara Bollier flip the Senate seat. If you want Medicaid expansion, donate to these races today! 6/ #DemCast #DemCastKS
secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
📣 FLORIDA: The legislature has been a GOP lock for a long time, but the state Senate is within reach. Plus, boosting turnout for state races helps #BidenHarris win the state as well! Donate to these races today to help #FlipFLBlue: 7/ #DemCast #DemCastFL
secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
📣 GEORGIA: The odds are long on the GA legislature, but w/the right candidates & a lot of support we have a shot! Boosting state race turnout also helps #BidenHarris, Jon Ossoff, Rev. Warnock etc. Donate to help #FlipGABlue today! 8/ #DemCast #DemCastGA
secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
📣 NORTH CAROLINA: Democrats have a real shot at flipping BOTH the House *and* Senate this year! They need to flip 6 House and 5 Senate seats to #FlipNCBlue and PASS MEDICAID EXPANSION with Roy Cooper! Donate to these races today: 9/ #DemCast #DemCastNC
secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
📣 OHIO isn't gonna be easy, but with great candidates, some luck and your support, we can bring it back from the brink. Help #FlipOHBlue by donating to these races today! 10/ #DemCast #DemCastOH
secure.actblue.com/donate/flipohb…
📣 PENNSYLVANIA: Flipping the PA *Senate* will require nabbing 5 seats. The PA *House* is a larger job (9 seats) but both are doable. Donate to these races to help #FlipPABlue today! 11/ #DemCast #DemCastPA
secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
📣 SOUTH CAROLINA: The SC state Senate is IN PLAY! Dems need to flip 5 seats to take control of it...and with Jaime Harrison giving Lindsey Graham a run for his money, we could pull it off! Donate to #FlipSCSenateBlue today! 12/ #DemCast #DemCastSC
secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
📣 WEST VIRGINIA: Even more amazing, the WV state Senate could be flipped if everything goes right. Help make that happen and #FlipWVSenateBlue by donating to these races today: 13/ #DemCast #DemCastWV
secure.actblue.com/donate/flipwvb…
📣 TEXAS: THE BIG ONE! Democrats are poised to take control of the state House, which has major implications for redistricting and would get a foot in the door for #ACA Medicaid Expansion. Donate to these races today! 14/ #DemCast #DemCastTX
secure.actblue.com/donate/bluewav…
📣 WISCONSIN: Wisconsin's horrific gerrymandering makes it a tough nut to crack, but Dems have a narrow chance at flipping the state Senate and can make gains in the state House. Donate to #FlipWIBlue today! #DemCast #DemCastWI 15/
secure.actblue.com/donate/makewib…
This year has reminded us how vitally important GOVERNORS (#COVID19 response), ATTORNEYS GENERAL (defending the #ACA) and SECRETARIES OF STATE (protecting voting rights & election integrity) are! Donate to elect #MoreDemExecs today! 16/ #DemCast
secure.actblue.com/donate/gov_ag_…
Onto the CONGRESSIONAL races: Democrats flipped the U.S. House in 2018. Now we have to make sure to KEEP control of it! These are the 40 most vulnerable House Dems; donate today to #KeepTheHouseBlue: 17/ #DemCast
secure.actblue.com/donate/keepthe…
📣 We flipped 40 U.S. House seats in 2018, but left *dozens* more on the table, coming up just a few hundred votes short in some cases! Donate to these swing district races to #ExpandTheBlueHouse today! 18/ #DemCast
secure.actblue.com/donate/expandt…
📣 There are *other* House races which are a much tougher grind, but with the right candidates, a lot of luck and your support (financial or otherwise), we could pull off a few surprises! Donate to help Dems #CompeteEverywhere today! 19/ #DemCast
secure.actblue.com/donate/compete…
📣 As long as I'm at it, we should really #LeaveNoDemBehind! These candidates are running in the deepest red districts, but they shouldn't be abandoned. Donate today! 20/ #DemCast
secure.actblue.com/donate/compete…
FINALLY, #FLIPTHESENATE! Some of these candidates are already swimming in money; consider other great candidates like Jaime Harrison, Al Gross, Barbara Bollier & M.J. Hegar as well...& don't forget incumbents like Doug Jones and Gary Peters! 21/ #DemCast
secure.actblue.com/donate/retakes…
📣Oakland County, MI: While I'm at it, here's a shout-out to some local races! Donate to great candidates like Karen McDonald for Oakland County Prosecutor and Kelly Dillaha for County Commissioner District 12! #DemCastMI 22/
secure.actblue.com/donate/blueoak…
📣 Speaking of which, if you happen to live in Oakland County and want a high-quality #BidenHarris lawn sign, donate $25 to the OCDP. if you live in my neck of the woods I might even deliver it personally! 23/ #DemCastMI
secure.actblue.com/donate/ocdpbid…
P.S. Aside from normal ActBlue/credit card processing fees, 100% of these donations go to the candidates themselves. I receive nothing. If you'd like to support my work in ACA/healthcare policy data analysis & advocacy, you can do so here, thank you! /END
acasignups.net/donate

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More from @charles_gaba

Charles Gaba ✡️ Profile picture
Jun 29
ELECTIONS. HAVE. CONSEQUENCES.

WE SCREAMED ABOUT SCOTUS FROM THE TOP OF OUR LUNGS IN 2016 AND Y'ALL SHRUGGED IT OFF.

NOW WE'RE FACING THE CONSEQUENCES.

Biden is appointing judges at a furious pace, but our ONLY shot at fixing SCOTUS is to re-elect Biden & keep Senate control.
"So if we do that, Biden fixes SCOTUS?"

I said it's our only *chance* of doing so. It would also require, within the next 4 years, either:

1. Both Alito & Thomas retire (hah) or pass away.

Or...

2. Congress passes legislation to either expand or otherwise modify SCOTUS.
Even THEN, the damage done by the SCOTUS majority (half of which appointed by Trump) *until* either of those things happens would still take YEARS or DECADES to repair.

And some of it can never be repaired.

...all because some of you refused to vote for Hillary in 2016.
Read 6 tweets
Charles Gaba ✡️ Profile picture
Jun 27
🚨 STATE BY STATE: How much more will YOU pay if enhanced #ACA subsidies aren't extended? (Massachusetts - Missouri):

acasignups.net/24/06/27/state…
The original ACA subsidy formula was decent at low incomes, stingy at moderate incomes & nonexistent at middle class incomes.

ARPA/IRA had solid subsidy upgrades, bringing them up to where they should have been in the first place...but they're scheduled to revert in 2026. 2/
If the upgraded subsidies are allowed to expire at the end of 2025, up to *20 MILLION* #ACA enrollees will see their net premiums spike dramatically.

Many will no longer be able to afford this & will be forced to either downgrade to far worse plans or drop coverage entirely. 3/
Read 12 tweets
Charles Gaba ✡️ Profile picture
Jun 27
As someone pushing HARD for folks to donate to Democrats up & down the ballot, I’d like to note something about the AIPAC money brouhaha re NY-16.

Yes, money CAN make a significant difference in a race, but only up to a point. After that there’s diminishing returns. 1/
My guess is the first few million dollars AIPAC spent on the NY-16 race probably helped Latimer by a point or two. After that, however, it probably didn’t make much difference at all & may have even hurt him a bit due to residents getting sick of the constant ads/mailers etc. 2/
As a different example, in 2020, the poster child for throwing money down the drain was Amy McGrath for Senate in KY. She raised an insane $90 million & lost by 20 points. Even more insane is she probably would have lost by about the same margin if she’d spent 1/10th as much. 3/
Read 14 tweets
Charles Gaba ✡️ Profile picture
Jun 10
🧵 EV Infrastructure Update:

I just returned from my 4th road trip from Detroit to DC & back over the past 2 years. Since it's the same route each time I have a pretty apples to apples comparison on EV public chargers over time. 1/
The good news is that it looks like Electrify America, which makes up most of the chargers along the route (I-275/280, I-80/90 (OH Turnpike), I-70/270 (PA Turnpike), seems to be in the process of upgrading their charging stations; the newer ones seem to be more reliable. 2/
The bad news is that they've raised their prices substantially, at least at the stations along this route--they were usually $0.35/kWh 2 years ago; now they're charging $0.56/kWh.

By comparison, residential electricity in Oakland Cty, MI is around $0.18/kWh. 3/
Read 28 tweets
Charles Gaba ✡️ Profile picture
Jun 3
Since partisan COVID death rates are back in the news again today, a reminder that ~150,000 *more* Trump voters died of COVID between the 2020 - 2022 elections than Biden voters due *specifically* to GOP/FOX/MAGA pushing antivax/anti-mitigation narratives.
acasignups.net/22/09/17/eleph…
Re. electoral impact, there was only one statewide race in which the GOP COVID Death Cult factor made a decisive difference:

In AZ, 900 - 4,100 more Trump voters died of COVID between Nov. 2020 - Nov. 2022.

AG Kris Mayes won her race by 280 votes.

acasignups.net/22/12/29/updat…
It did *NOT* make a decisive difference in any of the *House* races, however, though it came close in a few.

That's because while 150K is a lot of people nationally, the bulk of the gap was in areas which are deep red to begin with.

acasignups.net/22/12/13/updat…
Read 9 tweets
Charles Gaba ✡️ Profile picture
Jun 1
🎉 MAY DEM FUNDRAISING PROJECT REPORT: Donations up 341% for the month & 89% overall vs. the same point in 2020!! 🧵
blue24.org/24/06/01/may-2…
As I teased the other day, by the end of May 2020 I had raised $303,000 for Democrats up & down the ballot. For the 2024 cycle, as of last night, I had raised over $573,000! 2/ Image
Just as noteworthy is the *breakout* of donations: At this point in 2020, STATE LEGISLATIVE races only made up 10% of the total I had raised.

This cycle state legislative races make up *40%* of the total! 3/
Read 13 tweets

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