Thread by @Hricho151

Sweden thread.

Covid-19 is extremely complicated and there is a great deal of speculation and curiosity from the public of how to deal with it.

So many people and some scientists have touted Sweden as the solution.

On the face of it, it sound good.
No lockdown
People stay active
Less economic hit
More freedoms

However, when we get the graphs out, a different story has been practised.

Pretty much level with the UK and US in deaths per million.

5,865 individually.

According to politico, the estimate for antibodies in Sweden is only 14%, below the estimate needed for herd immunity of around 50-70%.

There is no statistical way that there can be herd immunity below 50%.

Now onto the economy, Sweden's economy shrunk 8% in the first quarter of 2020 which was on par with lockdown Germany and more that Denmark, Norway and Finland who all went into lockdown.

And this article from March shows that (although schools on the who stayed open) some did close and guidelines were put in place.

Their cases have fell recently but with no immunity, they can go up again just like the rest of Europe.

With confirmed reports of re-infections now, this plan is a failure.

1. The no lockdown policy got many killed.
2. Lives were still restricted (but less so)
3. They sacrificed their elderly for their economy.
4. They economy took a worse hit than their neighbours.
5. Herd immunity is not a magic threashold.

#lockdown
#lockdownUK
#Sweden
#HerdImmunity