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Rohit Katwal Profile picture
@rohit_katwal
Sep 24, 2020 • 4 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
What are your views on the daily chart of #IndiaVix?

I keep an eye on it alongside #Nifty. I will share my views also on how I plan to trade my carry forward positions based on it. Please post a chart with your logic. Image
What I see is #IndiaVix increasing from here. Not tomorrow. But as US elections are approaching, Vix will increase. Historically it does. During Indian General Elections, it went up to 30+ in anticipation.
It does not necessarily mean a fall, but a lot of volatile swings. 1/n...
...Furthermore, we had a 500+ point sell off which has turned us from sideways to bearish. Tomorrow being Friday, I am expecting a trap.
1. Vix is at resistance. So might be a bull day with an inside bar so vix cooles a but. Not conclusive of any thing but a bull trap. 2/n...
2. Any further movement can only be expected post Monday. So I am not creating any over night positions on Friday also.

I might look for Intraday Opportunities in some other stock but not over night.

Accumulation/Distribution>Trend>Repeat

So waiting for right moment.
3/n

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More from @rohit_katwal

Rohit Katwal Profile picture
Feb 25, 2023
Going forward, I am extremely cautious on BANKNIFTY.

I really was rooting for BANKNFITY to be bullish in coming days. Break of 39700 will take BANKNIFTY towards 37500 levels.

This is 1 Month Chart of BANKNIFTY. Break of 39700 (Support) will push prices further down.
On Daily Charts, we are standing at a support and gave a dead cat bounce. COI did not recede from this point but as you can see there has been continuous selling. At support, either this gives a bounce or indicative of incoming sell off.
MACD and ADX on Hourly Chart at support are getting sideways. Not bullish but just sideways.

Below 0 Line, MACD bullish is still a sideways market. ADX receding from 40-50 level below its EMA again a sideways sign.

At support, I will create positions will slight caution!
Read 4 tweets
Rohit Katwal Profile picture
Feb 24, 2023
Attack on Police Station by mob has me worried since last few day. Morning I read the news of attack on #Punjab Police by extremists.
timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/chandigar…

Do watch.

And yes, I am rightly worried. Its a neighbouring state.
This has been happening for past few months now. My immediate question was, what is the central government doing? I have no expectations from AAP. Or uprising of people of Punjab against such elements, as people themselves chose AAP. Many I talked with are regretting it now.
Today AAP might be the biggest threat to National Security. With Jammu and Kashmir stabilized, AAP might open a new frontier for Indian Government.

But no news media is showing this. Or Algorithms are not even picking it up. Why? Vested interest? But again back to question 1...
Read 10 tweets
Rohit Katwal Profile picture
Jan 14, 2023
William's Alligator is probably the most underrated indicator in moving average category.

Alligator follows the premise that market is sideways for 70% of the time and trending only 30% of the time.

This is where William's Alligator can be a great tool for traders.
Why William's Alligator can be a great tool for traders?

It can identify Bullish, Bearish and Sideways market pretty easily. Problem is, traders don't know how to use it effectively. Alligator has three lines:

1. Lips - Fastest Line
2. Teeth
3. Jaws - Slowest Line
Book Interpretation is when Lips Crosses above Jaws, it's a buying opportunity and when below its a shorting opportunity. And when three lines are crisscrossing, instrument is sideways.

BUT this does not make it a tradeable indicator in practice. Here is what should be done.
Read 11 tweets
Rohit Katwal Profile picture
Dec 3, 2022
I have no sympathies for #Scammers who were duping people with lakhs and crores of screenshots.

At first, I along with friends of mine were in awe of how they were generating this much return. For almost, 2 years I worked a lot and tried to break the code.

Do read and retweet.
A lot of ideas were worked upon on Amibroker may it be ITM Selling of Option, Option Doublers in 2 - 3 days, Intraday Option Buying, Future Holygrail and what not. In the process we were able to make Option Chain on Amibroker, calculate option greeks on Amibroker and what not.
But no definite system was built.

If we cracked up Option Buying or burst moves, it was difficult to ascertain position-sizing. For eg. position sizing average size, doesn't make the profit so lucrative. And if the position-size is big, loss could be 70% in 3 trades.
Read 14 tweets
Rohit Katwal Profile picture
Nov 30, 2022
When price is at all-time-high, retailers want to sell. When price is at all-time -ow, retailers want to buy.

This is where they fall into a trap.

"Upar chala gaya hai aur kitna upar jayega"
"Niche gir gaya hai aur kitna girega"

Do yourself a favour and follow these steps...+ Image
Put an Alligator on at least 1HR time Frame. If

1. Low of Candle is above Alligator Lips, price is bullish
2. High of Candle is below Alligator Highs, price is bearish

Check example of HUL and BANDHANBNK...+ ImageImage
Understand a little price action. If
3. Price is in upper right corner, it is bullish.
4. Price is in bottom right corner, it is bearish.

Consider example of TATAMOTORS and BATAINDIA. So if you are new to the market, follow market and not what you think "mujhe lagta hai"...+ ImageImage
Read 5 tweets
Rohit Katwal Profile picture
Nov 5, 2022
Thread on #OptionBasics for #Nifty #BankNifty or #Stocks for beginners

To understand options, three concepts are required:
1. Intrinsic / Extrinsic value
2. Time / Theta Decay
3. Implied Volatility

Option Value = Intrinsic + Extrinsic (Value)
Intrinsic Value - Value of Option if it were exercised today at CMP.
Extrinsic Value - Total Value of time in the option.

ATM and OTM options are 100% extrinsic value. ITM options have more intrinsic and less extrinsic value.
ITM Options: Intrinsic Value = Price of Underlying Asset -
Strike Price
For eg.
Nifty is at 11,416. 11400 CE of 29 Oct 2020 is at 224.40/-.
Intrinsic Value is = 11416-11400 = 16
Extrinsic Value is = 224.40-16 = 208.40.

208.40 is time value.
Read 14 tweets

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