To understand options, three concepts are required: 1. Intrinsic / Extrinsic value 2. Time / Theta Decay 3. Implied Volatility
Option Value = Intrinsic + Extrinsic (Value)
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@rohit_katwal Intrinsic Value - Value of Option if it were exercised today at CMP.
Extrinsic Value - Total Value of time in the option.
ATM and OTM options are 100% extrinsic value. ITM options have more intrinsic and less extrinsic value.
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@rohit_katwal ITM Options: Intrinsic Value = Price of Underlying Asset -
Strike Price
For eg.
Nifty is at 11,416. 11400 CE of 29 Oct 2020 is at 224.40/-.
Intrinsic Value is = 11416-11400 = 16
Extrinsic Value is = 224.40-16 = 208.40.
208.40 is time value.
...3/n
@rohit_katwal Similarly, for ITM Options: Intrinsic Value = Strike Price - Price of
Underlying Asset
Nifty is at 11,416. 11500 PE of 29 Oct 2020 is at 232/-.
Intrinsic Value is = 11500-11416 = 84.
Extrinsic Value is = 232-84 = 148
148 is the time value.
...4/n
@rohit_katwal Points to remember for Time / Extrinsic Value:
Lower as we go ITM.
Highest in ATM.
Lowest in OTM.
Time value is rate of decline of price in option with passage of time. In Greeks we call it Theta Decay.
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@rohit_katwal If underlying is kept constant, option loses value as it approaches maturity near expiry.
For eg If Nifty stagnates at 11416 till 29 Oct 2020, then 11400 CE priced at Rs. 224.40 will lose value every day. When only 13 days are left, decay will be maximum to 16.
6/n
@rohit_katwal I would delve a little deeper into Greeks now.
Delta is rate of change in price of options with respect to Rs. 1 change in price of underlying.
Image shows greeks of 11400 monthly Call 1. Theta is -3.8264 2. Delta is 0.5398
If Nifty stagnates at 11416 till
...7/n
@rohit_katwal expiry, then Option will 3.8264 in time value every day. With every rise of 1 Rs. in Nifty will result in gain of 0.5398 in call option.
Days to expiry are 28. So 28 X 3.8264 = 107.1392
But wait, we calculated time value to be Rs. 208? ....8/n
@rohit_katwal It is because time decay is exponential and not linear. When 13 days to expiry are left, theta decay accelerates exponentially. Hence the difference.
Any long option is negative theta i.e. it loses value everyday. Two things we understand from this is as follow: 9/n
@rohit_katwal 1. As option goes from OTM to ITM, value transitions from Extrinsic to Intrinsic. 2. Theta Decay slows once it becomes ITM. So option buyers should focus on buying ITM liquid options to guard against Theta Decay.
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@rohit_katwal For eg. at 11220, I bought 11000 CE at 240 with only 20 as time value. Next day, I squared it off at 275. Based on this few things can be concluded: 1. If you are buying Options, do not hold after 13 DTE. 2. After 13DTE, try to be ITM. 3. Sell ATM Options.
...11/n
@rohit_katwal Now coming to Implied Volatility.
IV is expected volatility of the underlying over the life of an option.
It represents demand and supply.
High IV = High Demand
Low IV = Low Demand
That is why if IV is low, option prices are less and vice-versa.
...12/n
@rohit_katwal Volatility is mean reverting. This is why it is important in Options. If after you buy an option and IV decreases, price of the option will decrease. If you sell an option &IV increases, the price of option will increase. For now beginners, try to grasp this.
13/n
@rohit_katwal In my Saturday Thread next week, I will share:
How to determine High IV / Low IV?
How to create position using Greeks neutrality?
So Retweet for maximum reach for beginners in #OptionsTrading and stay tuned...
Happy Trading
Comments for discussion welcome.
I am not an expert in Option Greeks so tagging along @SarangSood and @sanjufunda to help of I am stuck somewhere for advanced queries.
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Going forward, I am extremely cautious on BANKNIFTY.
I really was rooting for BANKNFITY to be bullish in coming days. Break of 39700 will take BANKNIFTY towards 37500 levels.
This is 1 Month Chart of BANKNIFTY. Break of 39700 (Support) will push prices further down.
On Daily Charts, we are standing at a support and gave a dead cat bounce. COI did not recede from this point but as you can see there has been continuous selling. At support, either this gives a bounce or indicative of incoming sell off.
MACD and ADX on Hourly Chart at support are getting sideways. Not bullish but just sideways.
Below 0 Line, MACD bullish is still a sideways market. ADX receding from 40-50 level below its EMA again a sideways sign.
At support, I will create positions will slight caution!
And yes, I am rightly worried. Its a neighbouring state.
This has been happening for past few months now. My immediate question was, what is the central government doing? I have no expectations from AAP. Or uprising of people of Punjab against such elements, as people themselves chose AAP. Many I talked with are regretting it now.
Today AAP might be the biggest threat to National Security. With Jammu and Kashmir stabilized, AAP might open a new frontier for Indian Government.
But no news media is showing this. Or Algorithms are not even picking it up. Why? Vested interest? But again back to question 1...
William's Alligator is probably the most underrated indicator in moving average category.
Alligator follows the premise that market is sideways for 70% of the time and trending only 30% of the time.
This is where William's Alligator can be a great tool for traders.
Why William's Alligator can be a great tool for traders?
It can identify Bullish, Bearish and Sideways market pretty easily. Problem is, traders don't know how to use it effectively. Alligator has three lines:
1. Lips - Fastest Line 2. Teeth 3. Jaws - Slowest Line
Book Interpretation is when Lips Crosses above Jaws, it's a buying opportunity and when below its a shorting opportunity. And when three lines are crisscrossing, instrument is sideways.
BUT this does not make it a tradeable indicator in practice. Here is what should be done.
I have no sympathies for #Scammers who were duping people with lakhs and crores of screenshots.
At first, I along with friends of mine were in awe of how they were generating this much return. For almost, 2 years I worked a lot and tried to break the code.
Do read and retweet.
A lot of ideas were worked upon on Amibroker may it be ITM Selling of Option, Option Doublers in 2 - 3 days, Intraday Option Buying, Future Holygrail and what not. In the process we were able to make Option Chain on Amibroker, calculate option greeks on Amibroker and what not.
But no definite system was built.
If we cracked up Option Buying or burst moves, it was difficult to ascertain position-sizing. For eg. position sizing average size, doesn't make the profit so lucrative. And if the position-size is big, loss could be 70% in 3 trades.
To understand options, three concepts are required: 1. Intrinsic / Extrinsic value 2. Time / Theta Decay 3. Implied Volatility
Option Value = Intrinsic + Extrinsic (Value)
Intrinsic Value - Value of Option if it were exercised today at CMP.
Extrinsic Value - Total Value of time in the option.
ATM and OTM options are 100% extrinsic value. ITM options have more intrinsic and less extrinsic value.
ITM Options: Intrinsic Value = Price of Underlying Asset -
Strike Price
For eg.
Nifty is at 11,416. 11400 CE of 29 Oct 2020 is at 224.40/-.
Intrinsic Value is = 11416-11400 = 16
Extrinsic Value is = 224.40-16 = 208.40.