BREAKING: Another WH rose garden #COVID19 positive case—Pastor Greg Laurie of Harvest Christian Fellowship in Riverside, California who was at both the Prayer March on the Mall with Mike Pence and Franklin Graham and #SCOTUSNomination event same day. That makes 31, 4 new today.
2) they are all testing positive now because the typical incubation time range of ~2-14 days is hitting right smack in the middle of that range from that previous weekend of #SCOTUSNomination event.
3) And yes, you can be INFECTIOUS even before you either show symptoms or before you test positive, which has maximum test positive likelihood when you first show symptoms. But you can be contagious before before any of these.
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“🇸🇪 authorities actively discouraged people from wearing masks, they said would spread panic, can provide a false sense of safety. Some doctors who insisted on wearing mask at work were reprimanded or fired.” 🧵 sciencemag.org/news/2020/10/i…
2) “Until last month, Sweden’s official policy stated people without obvious symptoms are very unlikely to spread the virus. So instead of being quarantined or asked to stay home, family, colleagues, & classmates of cases had to attend school & show up for work, unless symptoms.”
3) “Testing in Sweden still lags behind many other countries, and in many districts infected people are expected to notify their own contacts—in contrast to, say, Germany and Norway, where small armies of contact tracers help track down people who may have been exposed.”
📍TROUBLING. “Danny Altmann, professor of immunology at Imperial, guesses recovered patients from #COVID19 have perhaps 90% protection for a “fair while”. But how long? “I would bet my house on you being safe for possibly a year but not much longer” 🧵 theguardian.com/world/2020/oct…
2) “The problem is that whenever an immunologist says anything about Covid immunity to a journalist, it’s right for about two weeks and then it’s completely wrong.”
3) “It’s really hard to find a pattern right now,” said Akiko Iwasaki, @VirusesImmunity, a professor of immunobiology at Yale University who has been following cases of reinfection closely. “Essentially every case is different.”
D Trump
M Trump
*2x military aides to DJT
K McEnany
K Leavitt
C Gilmartin
G Laurie
H Hicks
K Conway
C Christie
M Lee
T Tillis
R Johnson
R McDaniel
J Jenkins
B Stepien
N Luna
1x WH jr staffer
3x reporters
11x Ohio debate staff
2) The reason they are appearing now is the incubation period, typically 5-6 days but can be 2-14, up to 21 days.
(Note: 2 other WH residence staff tested positives weeks ago; Claudia C not a first degree exposure).
3) And indeed, you can be INFECTIOUS even before you either show symptoms or before you test positive, which has maximum test positive likelihood when you first show symptoms. But you can be contagious before before any of these.
BREAKING—Twitter has now also slapped a warning ⛔️ label against Trump’s tweet for #COVID19 misinformation. Facebook just did as well this morning. #TrumpCovid19
BREAKING—holy crap—Trump WH is now blocking the FDA proposed guidelines for the emergency release of a coronavirus vaccine. Basically WH has vetoed tougher safety/efficacy standards for a vaccine! #COVID19 🧵 (repost) nytimes.com/2020/10/05/us/…
2) Essentially, FDA had inserted a vaccine minimum efficacy standards that would have almost certainly guaranteed that no vaccine could be authorized before the election on Nov. 3... but now Trump WH has now OVERRULED & BLOCKED it. Thereby Trump HHS now has no such restrictions.
3) “The conflict began almost as soon as the Food and Drug Administration submitted the guidelines to the White House budget office on Monday, Sept. 21. The next day, Dr. Stephen M. Hahn, the F.D.A. commissioner, briefed Mr. Azar on the matter.”