๐งต Looking for a primer on the ๐ฆ๐บ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ฏ๐ต๐บ๐ธ Quad as the foreign ministers meet in Tokyo for their second meeting? I've got you covered: brook.gs/3jzZB52 1/
2/ The previous iteration of the Quad (2007) was short-lived. More details why: bit.ly/34v2ptF
3/ The current iteration of the Quad began in November 2017 with assistant secretary/joint secretary-level consultations on the sidelines of the East Asia Summit in Manila. Since then, it's met regularly & been upgraded.
4/ The Quad hasn't tended to release joint statements, but the countries' readouts & comments indicate the overlaps, the objectives (rules based order, favorable balance of power, deter Chinese aggressiveness, provide options), & agenda. Can also parse them to detect differences.
5/ Skeptics tend to fall into 2 categories: those who think the Quad is doing too much & those who think the Quad is not doing enough
6/ Despite expectations of its early demise, the Quad has nonetheless continued (w/ a major assist from China). There have been meetings in/on different domains.
7/ While people tend to focus on what the Quad as a whole has done (or not done), as important--if not more--are the constituent bilaterals & how they've evolved. This is just a glimpse of how India's defense ties hv developed with the others...
8/ Also significant are the trilaterals among the Quad countries & that some of them have with other like-minded countries
9/ In addition, the Quad constituents also participate via other platforms with like-minded partners across a range of issues...
10/ The Quad countries also engage with each other and with other partners in the defense sphere.
11/ For a sense of the interlocking bilaterals & trilaterals (w/ associated dialogues, agreements & exercises), as well as the quadrilateral, here are some of their activities in September alone.
12/ This -- + COVID-19 + Chinese assertiveness -- is the context for the Quad ministerial. If you're just focused on Australia in MALABAR or not, you might have missed some of this. So I thought I'd bring it to you in charts.
13/ Finally, a lesson that no (well, ok maybe 1 or 2) experience is a wasted one - I cld not hv done these w/o my graphics/website designing phase. Seems like a tangent on my resume, but not on a day like today.
And thx to @BrookingsFP COMM for their speedy help w/ this too!
โข โข โข
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
๐งต 1/ I know some of you really wanted a joint statement from the Quad ministerial, so you can create your own from the readouts, which give you a sense of what the countries covered (read them for more specifics too). This can get you started:
2/ What Australia, India, Japan & the US outlined as their visions for the Indo-Pacific
3/ Some of you were also really sad that most of the Quad didn't mention China, but, as always, read between the lines in what they said publicly.
And if you think they met in person in the middle of COVID19 & didn't talk about China privately, well, bless your heart
๐งต 1/ Fascinating chain of events. Taiwan rep. office in India places an ad in 2 Indian newspapers (Indian Express, Statesman) & a program on a news channel. Over the last few months there hv also been op-eds by no. of Taiwanese officials (incl FM Wu) in Indian newspapers
2/ Chinese emb. in India (routinely places ads & objects to Taiwanese op-eds) sends Indian media a letter telling them to "stick to" official ๐ฎ๐ณ position on Taiwan, what they can/cannot call Taiwan & Tsai Ing-wen & not to send wrong signals to the public
๐งต 1/ The readouts are emerging from the Quad ministerial in Tokyo. In this thread, I'll link to the official docs and later will add my assessments.
2/ This includes the stmts at the Quad ministerial of US SecState Pompeo, Australian FM Payne, & Indian EAM Jaishankar (below is a thread by him on his remarks, which again departs from the official GoI docs that don't use "Quad" state.gov/secretary-michโฆ
1/ Japanese ForMin Motegi says Tokyo will host the 2nd #Quad ministerial mtg on Oct 6; will hv bilats w/ his Australian, Indian, US counterparts. Hopes for "further deepening the collaboration among us & many more countries to realize the [FOIP] vision"
2/ Japanese Foreign Minister on the upcoming #Quad ministerial says the 4 nations "have the same aim on issues, which became prominent from the occurrence and expansion of COVID-19 & responses to regional situations" ๐ฆ๐บ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ฏ๐ต๐บ๐ธ
3/ India on Ext. Affairs Min. @DrSJaishankar's visit to Japan next wk for bilats w/ ๐ฆ๐บ๐ฏ๐ต๐บ๐ธ counterparts.
Also, 2nd Quad ministerial; agenda:
- post-Covid 19 int'l order, need for coordinated reax
- regional issues
- collectively affirm imp. of free, open & inclusive Indo-Pacific
๐งต 1/ A Chinese stmt claims Indian external affairs minister said Indian policy twd China has not changed. This might be wishful thinking or hope on Beijing's part.
While India's app ban has got a lot of attention, this thread lists the no. of other steps ๐ฎ๐ณ has taken or floated
2/ These Indian policies stem from concerns that COVID19 & the boundary crisis hv intensified re:
- economic overdependence on/exposure to China
- inroads that Chinese companies have made into certain sensitive sectors
- Chinaโs avenues of influence in India
3/ The announced & reported policy measures (if not reversed) will have the effect of restricting & scrutinize Chinese activities in a no. of Indian sectors
- economic
- technology
- telecommunications
- public diplomacy
- education
- civil society
1/ More on the issue/interest-based coalition front
After indication Australia-India-Indonesia trilat wld be upgraded to a ministerial, news of a Australia-India-France trilateral at the foreign secretary-level (trilat had met at 1.5 level in 2018)
๐ฆ๐บ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ซ๐ท