Thread by @tomiahonen

Speculation Thread about Trump Stepping Down 1/20

Jon Cooper cc @joncoopertweets wrote "GOP source w/ White House ties: Trump is being advised to resign in honor rather than leave in defeat."

I am 100% certain Trump is getting such advice. Let's consider what could happen..

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 2/20

If you remember Ross Perot, an 'eccentric Billionaire', who has most successful third party run for President of past century, getting 19% of vote in 1992 (Clinton-Bush). When Perot saw he was definitely going to lose, he dropped out of race

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 3/20

But Perot later returned. Typical eccentric weirdness. Anyway. It is not unusual for a candidate who is destined to lose, to quit running. ESPECIALLY if the campaign is broke (& to add, Trump owes $1.1 Billion in debt, needs to pay interest)

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 4/20

Trump is delusional & has lived inside a bubble, BUT even his trusted public sources like Rasmussen polls & Fox news are saying he's losing. Nothing Trump has tried as his desperate October surprises (so far) has worked. I am certain that

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 5/20

I am certain that BEFORE Trump went to hospital for Covid-19, he was REMINDED of UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson's hospitalization, and how Boris's popularity ROSE when he was in hospital. I am sure Trump CONSIDERED that as 'benefit'

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 6/20

So Trump's sudden willingness to be hospitalized, was at least partly driven by Trump's belief that he'd gain same kind of 'polling bump' like Boris Johnson, which obviously didn't come. I don't doubt Trump HAS Covid, but part of it was stunt

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 7/20

Trump does understand (regardless of his bravado) that he is going to lose in November, and lose so badly, his claims of stolen postal votes will not be enough.

I am 100% certain some are suggesting Trump should resign, rather than lose

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 8/20

Trump will ALWAYS prefer the exit than the loss. Any 'normal' loser in Trump's position would take the exit now. And of course such a play puts Pence as POTUS 46 through January. Without Trump, Pence+? would lose catastrophically in November

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 9/20

Of course Trump would demand a 'full pardon' for his own crimes, from Pence. Pence would likely promise it, not sure if he'd actually sign such a pardon. Before Trump stepped down, he'd of course pardon selectively his then-current 'friends'

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 10/20

Problem with this scenario is Trump STATE crimes, thanks to New York Attorney General (& tax crimes = Deutsche Bank etc), stemming from Mueller, via Michael Cohen & Stormy Daniels. NY taxes. What Eric was just testifying to on Monday

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 11/20

Mueller farmed out a dozen criminal cases, at least some involving Trump. At least one of those is the New York state taxes case. (others in Illinois, California, Florida, etc). These are GUARANTEED prison time. Pence cannot pardon them away

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 12/20

The people 'advising' Trump do not know Trump personal finances, or his tax crimes pending in New York etc. So they're giving advice that would SEEM sane, to most normal non-criminals. If Trump steps down, he goes STRAIGHT to New York prison

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 13/20

Whatever Trump does, he cannot 'stop being President' else New York comes and tosses Trump into Prison, and Trump is IMMEDIATELY processed for a SERIES of crimes (as well as his family) in New York first, other states later. Trump knows this

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 14/20

BUT those advising Trump do not know how deep shit Trump is in. They WILL continue to push 'the sane way' out.

Trump MAY WELL pick the non-existing middle road

What is this. Yes. the worst possible path..

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 15/20

Trump could pick worst possible outcome for GOP: drop off the race BUT NOT RESIGN as President. And do this, now, weeks from election day. That way Trump could try to claim, he didn't 'lose' the rigged election, he 'dropped out'

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 16/20

By remaining President, Trump would delay NY state prosecutors for a couple of months. But by dropping out of race, his Maganutters would not show up to vote on Nov 3, turning 45/55 election into 30/70 wipe-out of GOP.

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 17/20

Trump feels betrayed. The more he is 'explained' the various scenarios, and if Trump feels 'Republicans' like Mark Meadows, John Cornyn etc are now 'betraying him' - Trump could find this 'revenge' appealing - against the GOP, his 'enemy'

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 18/20

NOTE: many of Trump's most trusted are infected by Covid: Chris Christie, Kellyanne, Hope Hicks, Stephen Miller, (Melania). Several more probably have Covid & are sick: Bill Barr, Giuliani, Ivanka.. So Trump doesn't have his normal support

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 19/20

Trump is an imbecile mentally, a child. He was paranoid already before Dr Feelgood pumped Trump full of Dexamethasone which is like giving him LSD. He's raging with mood swings & delusions

Trump could easily do something MORONIC, while high

Speculation Trump Stepping Down 20/20

My guess? Trump won't resign before Nov 3. But Trump might drop out of race before Nov 3. He'd delay that announcement as long as possible, and do it in dramatic way (like during live debate)

Stay tuned! 4 more weeks