Several significant elements to this domestic terrorism plot pointing to why it’s much bigger deal than the one off guy plots “F.B.I. Says Michigan Anti-Government Group Plotted to Kidnap Gov. Gretchen Whitmer” nytimes.com/2020/10/08/us/…
1- MI-Whitmer plot more than just 1, 2 people, dozen or more arrests so far, scale sizable and increasingly appears to be multi-state beyond Michigan
2- MI-Whitmer plot advanced far past “guy with bad thoughts, posts & some ideas”. See here a specific objective, defined time, deliberate recruitment, planning, reconnaissance, weapons testing ...way more advanced than most plots
3- #whitmer - MI plot - potential employment of a diversion, analyzing police response times, fundraising for explosives - not the typical sophistication of plots. Concerned about where that’s learned, or gained in a network
4- #whitmer - MI plot & mentions of civil war, targeting law enforcement points to many elements of online groups like Boogaloo, election mobilization talk.
5- #whitmer - MI plot: recent history of mobilizations against lockdowns in April, US leaders allegations of voter fraud and specific targeting of Whitmer with comments - incitement leads to dangerous violence
6- #whitmer - MI plot: also points to the iceberg theory of terror plots. The more arrested, the bigger the support network sub-surface & supporters online warontherocks.com/2015/11/what-p…
7- #whitmer - MI: FBI did great job on this case despite President constantly deriding & undermining them. Let’s hope these arrests don’t kick off other extremists to mobilize in the way we’ve seen with international terror networks
8- #whitmer - MI plot: also interesting contrast from international terror days where question would be “is it AQ or ISIS” when in the west plots usually some of both. Same here - group sees to pull lots of different domestic extremist threads - indicative social media era
9 -#Whitmer - MI plot: Michigan affidavit confirms "Boogaloo" matching social media from those arrested that suggested the same. michigan.gov/documents/ag/A…
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Seems we’re going to do the plot line of every episode of 7 seasons of the West Wing as a reality show in 2020
I’m young enough to remember when President Bartlet wasn’t completely honest about his MS diagnosis & Stockard Channing totally covered for him.
I also remember how the Presidential line of succession works because John Goodman, the Speaker of the House, briefly became President when the 25th amendment was invoked (also how I learned about the 25th and then refreshed during Homeland Season 7)
Disinfo Disaster scenario “2. One or both candidates contract COVID-19
- Until the coronavirus is brought under control, we have a serious challenge ahead regarding the danger COVID-19 poses to 2020’s presidential candidates.” July 30, 2020
“As Election Day approaches, both candidates will be pressured to pursue more public appearances and in-person campaign events. President Trump largely refuses to wear a mask, and members of his inner circle have tested positive for the virus...” fpri.org/fie/disinforma…
“Every cough, sniff or misstep at a microphone, and at their ages they’ve both had many, could be exploited by their opponent and amplified from afar as a sign of COVID-19.”
This DHS report is accurate and correct “Russia is 'amplifying' claims of mail-in voter fraud, intel bulletin warns - ABC News” abcnews.go.com/Politics/russi…
If you want to see what Russia says about mail-in ballots, @FPRI@rjchernaskey has been tracking it, links to stories included. Make your own Intel assessment fpri.org/fie/mail-in-ba…
Ratcliffe statement again illustrates why not qualified to be DNI. Question at hand is election interference 2020 and Russia is clearly pursuing more election interference and democratic subversion at the moment than China
Ratcliffe statement conflates broader strategic aims, capabilities & limitations of Russia/China vis-a-vis US. Much to do to counter growing China, but has little to do with election in November
China spending about 1/10 energy on election 2020 as compared to Russia. Meanwhile, China expanding aggressively around the world in the absence of US leadership. Russia biggest issue for election 2020, China biggest challenge for US/World for next decade.
Having spent much time working countering terrorism, remarkable similarities QAnon growth, Boogaloo, etc In beginning, tendency by most to say,”don’t worry, just a bunch fringe goof balls”, then few years later, a bomb goes off, a mass shooting perhaps. nytimes.com/2020/08/20/us/…
Politicians trying to play it both ways, near term trying to embrace it at arms length, win an election and ignore, oh no, won’t work, when zealots don’t get their desires, they’ll turn on those politicians.
"7 Potential Disinformation Disasters Headed into Election 2020" - our #FIE2020 team has been monitoring disinfo the last 18 months and headed into election day. No surprise on what #1 is, reinforced this morning America needs to prepare via @FPRI fpri.org/fie/disinforma…
#1 is Mail-in ballot conspiracies - domestic and amplified by foreign actors. This is killing our democracy during the pandemic. Kremlin outlets are running wild with it already. fpri.org/fie/mail-in-ba…
#2 is health concerns regarding the candidates. Had to update this morning as seen by 'Stroke' trending on Twitter, and Herman Cain sadly passing away. Devastating lines of disinfo during the pandemic.