1/ The shift from mostly INDIVIDUAL retail investors to concentrated institutional over last two generations––and the growing shift back to INDIVIDUAL retail investors

is underappreciated strutural phenom of inflows/outflows

We make fun of the RobinHood, TradeRepublic...
2/ And the vast majority of them will LOSE their money and GAIN experience––

and get exploited by more cunning investors + mgmt teams
(front-running quants, huckster CEOs)

But the capital formation it is fueling + will fuel (at a time of already low rates) is scary large...
3/ Consider ANT Financial

China funds raised just for the IPO sold out in days––raising $9 billion from 10 million RETAIL INVESTORS.

Many institutions wouldnt touch this company for gigantic glaring interparty + accounting issues.

But ANT will get to keep the money.
4/
21,000 retail investors “copytrade” this 32yr old allocating ~$40M into stocks

1st reaction: aghast

2nd reaction: why not?
His popularity will ebb + flow––not with hype––but whether he makes good investments (or gets lucky)

Like any celeb investor
trib.al/2sWYdmQ
5/ Morgan Stanley now owns ETrade + Eaton Vance (acquired for $7B)
...

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More from @wolfejosh

5 Oct
1/ Announcing something NEW @ Lux.

We are committing very big money
to a very big opportunity ahead.

(Led by my brilliant partner + cofounder @peterjhebert)

Here's what + here's why👇👇👇 Image
2/ We will be investing a BIG part of $1B of newly raised capital at the intersection of a HEALTH + TECH megatrend.

Forget buzzwords of "AI & machine learning, robotics + automation + machine vision"

––they only matter if they enable attractive high-growth business models...
3/ Here's WHY––

Today' medtech industry hasn't kept pace with the rate of innovation + value creation of TECH companies

VC-backed medtech has produced only a HANDFUL of innovative companies with large cap valuations since the turn of this century...
Read 12 tweets
4 Oct
1/ Some unsolicited advice.

A few people I admire and mentor were obsessed with the current news cycle––distracted + distraught with disbelief almost daily.

My advice was THIS: 👇👇👇
2/ Stop hitting refresh 🔘 on the news like an addicted caged rat looking for a hit of joy 😃or anger 😡

With so much to lose for so many in power––there is NO UNCERTAINTY. 

You know this: there is total CERTAINTY that there will be total chaos daily for weeks to come...
3/
You know this:
that few maybe none of those events are in your control. 

You know this:
you can control only what is in your control

1. voting (unless or until you can’t)
2. where you direct your attention + focus
3. how you choose to feel...
Read 9 tweets
3 Oct
1/ PERFECTION.

Can’t listen to pop music.

Can listen endlessly to this—4 note progression (for 0:55) with harmonic synth building to a crescendo bridge of explosive dissonance + thrashing emotional release.

A few of my favorite new tracks.
This is “Genesis” from @deftones.
2/ This is called “This Link is Dead” by @deftones

The tempo switch from melodic calm— to a bit of the old chaotic thrash.
3/ This is “Pompeji” by @deftones

Same structure of calm to chaos—and back again...
Read 4 tweets
30 Sep
On Diversity––and cognitive diversity.

10 people who look different but think alike are NOT diverse. The real value of diversity is that diverse backgrounds + life experiences most typically lead to diverse thinking.
2/ A predictably necessary warning: Please do not lazily distort or misrepresent my words nor project preconceived bias

Diversity trumps ability + the basis for that diversity is people thinking differently + they think differently often because of their experience/identity—
3/ Two papers that empirically and scientifically support this (and say nothing giving any Boards or companies any kind of out for avoiding diversity)

1. PNAS
sites.lsa.umich.edu/scottepage/wp-…
Read 5 tweets
29 Sep
1/ WOW.

Make no mistake––I know as an atheist (who does not believe in existence of supernatural forces or gods) how easy it is for me to judge or trivialize this as:

‘Country leader sentences 13yo boy to 10yrs prison for insulting invisible character in argument w/friend’––BUT Image
2/ What should the Nigerian President do?

If he pardons the boy, he creates precedent + backlash likely leading to his ousting from religious believers.

If he doesn’t he faces backlash from breaking with constitution of Nigeria which entitles freedom of thought + expression.
3/ I know religion has done much to unify communities, provide moral templates, do philanthropy––but this one for me is in the bucket of:
more reason
more critical thinking
less tradition
less dogma
reduce human suffering + let this 13yr old child be free
PLEASE
Read 4 tweets
22 Sep
1/ It is generational arbitrage.

Human nature is this: the masses are mostly credulous steerable sheep—🐑 many lost, needing to be led.

The WISE and the CLEVER break—first from the herd (with differing confidence)—and then from each other (with differing ethics)😇👿...
2/ This is true first in religion & politics—where indoctrination happens very young (emulating parents) and the chains of belief are too WEAK to be felt until too STRONG to be broken—pain of being social ostracized is horrible.

And a "biological trap" for many—how?...
3/ A "biological trap" is like the moth in the fridge. 🦋

A moth is trapped in a fridge.
Open the door to free it—
But it cannot leave.
Because— the 💡

Show most the light and the binds of the tribe triumph tightly over truth that can free..
Read 10 tweets

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