“Democrats are on track to win big in Arizona next month — from the presidential election to the state House. And Republicans fear it won’t just be a one-time event but the start of long-term Democratic dominance in the state.
“It’s a shift that’s been coming since before President Donald Trump’s election but has only been further accelerated over the past four years by his divisive presidency and the Arizona GOP’s evolution from the party of John McCain to that of Trump.
“Now, Republicans are reckoning with signs that the party has taken on a direction that won’t play well in Arizona in 2020 — or ever. With that, Democrats could cement control of state politics, as they have in other suburban-heavy states, like Colorado and Virginia.”
“A win by Democratic Senate nominee Mark Kelly would put both of Arizona’s seats in Democratic hands after decades of GOP control.
“All Democrats need is two seats in the state House and three seats in the state Senate to flip the state legislature. Turning both chambers would be a first for Democrats in more than 50 years.”
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The Founders were men of property and eighteenth-century views. In his book,’The Framers’ Coup: The Making of the United States Constitution,’ from 2016, Michael J. Klarman, a professor at Harvard Law School, explains …
“that they ‘had interests, prejudices, and moral blind spots. They could not foresee the future, and they made mistakes.’ Largely drawn from the landed class, they had little interest in empowering the common man, and no interest at all in empowering women and Black people.
“But, unlike many latter-day ‘constitutionalists,’ they were aware of their own shortcomings. Although they tussled long and hard over the system they created, they didn’t consider it a perfect solution …
“Using data from earlier in the election campaign, Professor Kim estimated that at least 20% of all suspicious activity (activity that doesn’t appear to come from a real individual) …
“could be directly traced to Russian groups that US intelligence agencies have confirmed are engaged in misinformation.
“It’s impossible to be certain exactly how active they are in Wisconsin, but Kim observes that Wisconsin is one of the most targeted states for this type of content.
An excellent rundown of federal court cases involving allegations of vote by mail fraud by Buzzfeed News. buzzfeednews.com/article/zoetil…
“In Montana, US District Judge Dana Christensen dismissed a lawsuit brought by the Trump campaign, RNC, and state Republicans challenging Gov. Steve Bullock’s decision to allow counties to carry out the November election by mail-in ballots.
“Christensen noted that at a hearing in the case, lawyers for the campaign and Republican challengers ‘were compelled to concede that they cannot point to a single instance of voter fraud in Montana in any election during the last 20 years.’
“On the campaign trail and online, President Donald Trump is pushing debunked and unsupported claims that mail-in voting leads to widespread fraud.
“But in court, far from the bluster of his rallies and Twitter rants, a growing number of judges have examined the evidence he’s presented to back those claims and found it unconvincing.
“[I]n the federal court cases brought by Trump’s campaign challenging statewide policies around mail-in voting in Montana, Nevada, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania, …
“Money, of course, does not guarantee victory. Mr. O’Rourke lost his race, and Mr. Graham still has a good chance of winning this one. Two of the three most prominent election forecasters —
“Inside Elections and Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia — say he is slightly favored to win, while the third, the Cook Political Report, calls the race a tossup.
“But Mr. Harrison’s enormous fund-raising total, a majority of which came from out-of-state donors, speaks to the intense Democratic energy nationwide that has enabled him to run a competitive race in what would, in a normal year, have been a safe Republican state.