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Tomi T Ahonen Ruthlessly

@tomiahonen

11 Oct

Quick election update 1/12

This thread is NOT suggesting ANY let-down of our effort. We need a MASSIVE blue wave, to ensure there is no doubt, Joe Biden wins it on election night.

And we need the Senate, or else nothing gets done for 2 years. So we need HUGE wave.. but update

Update thread 2/12

We are 3 weeks from the election. We made it through 4 years of the Trumpomess. We will make it through these last 23 days. Hang in there, do not let up, we're ahead, they're behind. We will prevail. But let's take quick look at the main races...

Update thread 3/12

Biden had held a solid but steady, essentially immobile lead of 7 points for MONTHS up to first debate. The RCP average (Real Clear Politics) had Biden at 7 points, at WORST 6, at best 8. Steady 7 point lead, solid but immobile. An Obama-John McCain level win

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Tomi T Ahonen Ruthlessly

@tomiahonen

11 Oct

Lets talk SCOTUS & Judges

#MoscowMitch McConnell started with Merrick Garland delay, and also denied over 100 Obama district court nominees. He has altered the balance of the courts in unfair manner. That needs to be corrected. Duh. It also will be. And here's the how...

First SCOTUS. As Merrick Garland & now RBG are #MoscowMitch McConnell cheating of the system, they need to be redressed. After the election, as long as Joe Biden wins AND also DEMs take the Senate, then it is really easy to fix the current unfairness. Enlarge the Supreme Court

There is ZERO legislation restricting SCOTUS to 9 Justices. Because GOP cheated, it needs to be fixed. Two bogus Justices, enlarge the court by 4 to 13. all 4 of those DEM Senate appoint liberal justices, balance flips as it was SUPPOSED to with Obama and Merrick Garland

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Tomi T Ahonen Ruthlessly

@tomiahonen

10 Oct

Oh.. let's get back to the SDNY story ie resignation & pardon. So SDNY is not New York state. Their pardons don't stop NY State from prosecuting Trump for state crimes so Trump will land in prison

Trump KNOWS this. He would not resign. He'd only DROP OUT OF the ELECTION

My feeling is, IF Trump makes this kind of move, it is not resignation. It is stepping out of election (with whatever excuse including 'covid complications') - but NOT RESIGNATION. Trump doesn't want to lose. He'd prefer not to be on the ballot. Then he can blame others...

So Trump could suddenly announce 'I will not seek re-eleciton, Pence can represent the GOP from 2021 if he wins in November. GOP can nominate a Veep for Pence and I recomment Ivanka'

This move is totally Trumpish, and would be worst possible move to GOP, demoralizing GOP voters

Read 5 tweets

Tomi T Ahonen Ruthlessly

@tomiahonen

10 Oct

BTW on that SDNY / Pardon story. I told you before, it is 100% certain that Trump is being asked by REPUBLICANS to step down, to resign, to hand over the Presidency to Pence. Note, these GOP know they'd still lose with Pence on top, but Trump damage would stop...

But as I said..

But as I said, only Trump knows the full extent of all of his crimes. Nobody 'sane' who comes to suggest any transition to Pence including pardons, knows what all crimes await Trump in New York State.

And that is NOT SDNY. SDNY is FEDERAL crimes, prosecuted via NY federal office

As we know, Mueller farmed out about a dozen lawsuits. They are all CRIMES (or series of crimes). Most but not necessarily all, involve Trump. We KNOW there are several STATE TAX laws including New York, Illinois, California & Florida. Pence CANNOT pardon those (and are not SDNY)

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Tomi T Ahonen Ruthlessly

@tomiahonen

9 Oct

@JustAManic2020

Then rallies RT @JustAManic2020
Replying @tomiahonen
If he does have a rally maybe he'll tire himself out before the next debate. Media will start asking if he is still on steroids but he can lie. Not worth the public health risk. Even if Trump is better, rallies are dangerous

I agree with you. Trump rallies are super-spreader events and should be outlawed. No. Not outlawed, simply that the Covid-19 rules should be CLEARLY and forcefully enforced. Social distancing (empty seats in between) and mandatory masks.

As you see, the small crowd behind Trump

In pix of his rallies, that small crowd behind Trump will always wear masks and has a stunning mix of women (Trump rallies are 80% men) and non-white people (Trump rallies are 5% non-white)

But lets talk about those rallies. Trump WANTS the rallies. Because he is addicted to it

Read 5 tweets

Tomi T Ahonen Ruthlessly

@tomiahonen

9 Oct

@9monthsyourgone

Yes. a parallel to Mondale 1984 & DEMs RT @9monthsyourgone
Replying to @UES82624940 @1stKiersten

It’s time for sanity in America vote Joe Biden about an overwhelming numbers it’s not over we have to make sure we send a clear message pack your bags and go home

So these kinds of directional mistakes happen in all democracies, over time. In the USA, the Democrats got ever more lost in the late 1970s and 1980s, leading to 1984 Mondale loss where he took about 40% of the vote

After that DEMs regrouped, noticed they need NEW DIRECTION

What Mondale era DEMs were offering was 'classic' socialism ('lite', Europeans would add). When Bill Clinton came with a centrist and more business-friendly view, suddenly DEMs were again popular. It is a question of going too far to one edge. The GOP did this with Newt Gingrich

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