Volatility based Stoploss in day trading
Why closing based SL is fraud idea?
when u day trade with chart analysis,
u need to use OHLC charts
That means u use bar charts or candlestick charts.
U should never use line chart for that
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This is quite obvious and everyone knows that
But the question is why is that?
Pls read on
In OHLC charting,
High and Low of every candle denotes the volatility in that time period.
This parameter is of atmost important in day trading as
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this determines the stoploss for the trade
If a trader measure the volatility of every bar properly,
he is well informed about how much price can swing
away from a certain price point at any given period of time.
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He just needs to keep his stoploss
just a few points away from that max volatility limit.
If u use line chart,
there is no way to assess the volatility in the price
and
u are literally running blind with zero idea about the volatility in the market.
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Another important point to add here is that
to fix the Sl in LTF trades,
volatility is the main parameter,
not the signal candle high/low or swing bigh/ swing low.
Often newbies place SL just below the recent swing low,
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or below day low or even below the low of the signal candle for a long trade.
This is a dangerous method as far as the risk management methods are concerned.
Without knowing volatility in the price, how would one know that this SL is safe?
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anytime a swing would come to takeout ur SL.
This is the reason why
u should always use candle stick charting which give a multi-dimentional view of what price is doing.
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Now, having read all this
how do u feel about
the trading recommendations u see in twitter with daily closing basis, or weekly closing basis SL??
Each and every one of them posts a candlestick chart
which means that he showed
how valatile the price is in that time frame.
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And yet came up with closng basis SL.
He himself showed he had studied voaltility in the market as he showed the OHLC chart.
And suddenly came up with the idea of ditching his own analysis
and
skill as a chartist
to preach about a "closing basis SL"
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Its easy to find who knows and who 'pretends to know' from what they speak in public.
Its ur responsibility to find out the 'wolf in sheep's clothing'
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Often u would find a struggling person talks philosophy
Bcz, that's easy
Kind of accepting what's happening as inevitable
It's fate & u r bound to take it
But very few guys,
refuse philosophy
decide to fight
Make a plan
start from scratch
&
persist with hard work
Relate it with trading
Each and every successful trader was a struggling trader once
It's just becoz he decided to keep philosophy aside and worked upon his core weaknesses,
he became what he is now
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Behind his present success, there would be lots of painful experiences and sacrifices wold be there
which he committed to fullfil his ambition.
That's the solo route to success in trading career
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thr exists no way of building conviction on ur trading process
except "backtesting"
Its not just about the response in price after the chart set up is formed,
scaling in potential
Volatility risk
Impact of demand etc etc
thr r lot many important parameters to b quantified.
All the trading decisions u take in ur trading
has to be backrtested for the last min 5 years data.
Suppose u havent done any backtesting, and u have position which goes against u
u would be just holding it based on ur emotions.
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u dont have any idea about what are the chances for price to regain all the losses
But if u have done the BT, then u will have an exact point of price beyond which there is no hope for any recovery.
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psychology behind attempting to find and trade tops/bottom is quite straight forward.
suppose price is going up and near resistance
conceptually trade here is short
if the price fell from resistance and confirmed trend reversal,
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one needs bear a bigger SL here
trend reversal point after confirmation being quite far
So we would wait for pullback so that risk would be lesser
When pullback actually happens,
he assess it as correction and assume the previous trend strength is lost already
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Now, when price completes pullback and resumes falling again
he find himself in the same dilema, that SL quite wide as price fell already
Amateur traders find its solution as picking the top
so that he would be quite close to the SL level when making the entry
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Right Trading Psychology - Role of conviction on ur process & practical way to build it
In my early days
trading wasn’t making progress
I had no idea if my approach would work
Does it have a high probability or not
Took a big leap when I started to learn coding
Thread 1//22
Once I started coding,
I started mechanically checking the set ups I use
Surprisingly I found that I oversee majority of the failure set ups
& end up understanding am playing on low probability set ups
I was betting more on hope than on fact.
2//22
That forced me to test everything before executing
becz
I knew I tend to see what am looking for
Not what actually was there in front of me.
Suppose ur portfolio worth 1 Lakh at the time of investment.
You have seen lot of updates on twitter/telegram/fb etc. that many traders comes up with posting 5% up/10% up kind of updates on their timeline everyday.
thread 1//10
You are being a beginner,
just looking for a paltry 1% increase in worth every day for the next 1 year (almost 250 trading days)
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Here comes the reality
Investment = 1 lakh
Interest = 1%
Interval = daily
Time span = 250 days (trading days)
Final amount = 12, 03,215/-
12 Lakh 3 thousand 2 hundred and 15 rupees !!!!!!!!!!!!!
thats 1100% return !!!!!!!!!!!!!