In response to Twitter's policy of banning heterodox opinions about the efficacy and relative costs of COVD-19 responses, I have one word to say:

Homeopathy
Homeopathy has got to be one of the dumbest, most ascientific medical theories that exists in the modern world (except perhaps from some shamanistic beliefs of an untouched aboriginal tribe in the Amazon).
Created in 1796, it is just absurd to imagine that diluting an active ingredient to ratios of approximately one molecule in a volume of water the size of an ocean has anpotential healing qualities beyond the placebo effect.
I have fun mocking it from time to time, but if I really wanted to get on my high horse, I could easily make the argument that it is wrong to tell people with serious, potentially life-threatening conditions that they can be solved with homeopathy. I could urge twitter to ban it
But I have not done this. In fact, one thing you have NOT seen most of the critics of homeopathy do is to advocate removal of pro-homeopathy messaging from social media as dangerous to public health. Like all this crap: #homeopathy. You deal with this stuff by refuting it.
But now, I find that Twitter is banning what I consider to be reasonable critiques of COVID-19 responses. I am not an expert, but there were a LOT of mainstream studies before 2020 essentially saying not to do exactly what we have been doing.

thefederalist.com/2020/10/18/whi…
Twitter's rational is that it is dangerous and a public health threat to undermine public trusts in COVID responses (lockdowns, meeting bans, masks, school closures, etc) and the public cannot be allowed to see blasphemous opinions that might undermine their faith & compliance
I don't agree. But I will say this to @jack and Twitter -- if this is really your consistent decision rule about discussions of medical care standards and public health, then I better not see another thing on this platform about homeopathy.

@boriquagato @ElonBachman
By the way, by including the #homeopathy hashtag I have guaranteed myself days of angry tweets about how someone's mother's aunt's gynecologist had some mystery condition cured by homeopathy. But let me at least say one thing -- homeopathy is not the same as natural medicine
I know a zillion people who get those two confused. It is fine to treat the prescriptions from doctors with some skepticism, and to be informed what you are putting in your body. But that is not the same as homeopathy. Look it up
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Homeopathy
OK, I love homeopath math so here is an example. 1C dilution dilutes an ingredient 1:100, usually in water. Most homeopathic recipes call for much higher ratios. At 12C, the dilution is 1:1x10^24 or higher than Avogadro's number. Thus this is 1 molecule per about 18mL of water
But dilution ratios can go as high as 30C or even 300C, meaning we quickly get to ratios higher than 1 molecule diluted in a body of water the size of the Atlantic Ocean

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More from @Coyoteblog

18 Oct
It appears that the tools of panic-exaggeration developed over 20 years in the climate movement have been fully deployed to justify limitless government authority during COVID. Note the map below -- the scale has been chosen to push nearly everything into the most extreme red
To describe us now as almost completely in the worst possibly condition when things are clearly much better in terms of deaths and hospital utilization than 60-90 days ago begs the question of why such an uninformative scale was chosen where everything is always at the max
The reason cannot be scientific -- scientists would never choose a scale where 90+% of the data consistently exceeds the upper bounds. It has to be a political choice, to try to scare people and develop a constituency for authoritarianism.
Read 10 tweets
16 Oct
What I tell people every election about my choices:

R: OK on fiscal & business, warmongers, suck on civil rights
D: OK on civil rights, bringing awful CA biz environment to rest of US
L: Brave, reasonable soul who has no chance of getting elected in 2-party system
What my choices actually are:

R: fiscal mess, mixed bag on regulation, suck on some civil rights, sometimes warmongers
D: fiscal bigger mess, awful on regulation, suck on other civil rights, sometimes warmongers
L: Weird dude last seen shouting at pigeons in a skate park
Read 11 tweets
14 Oct
When it comes to creating fear, one of the media's preferred techniques is to bring attention to tail-of-the-distribution events, even those down to the 6-sigma level, and portray them as somehow characterizing the mean.
I have years of immunity built up to this technique from following the climate debate. I have seen all-too-many occasions when the media extrapolates from a single data point, like a hurricane, into implied trends in mean behavior.
This works on a couple of levels--first, most media consumers cannot differentiate between the frequency of media coverage of a certain event & the underlying frequency of the event itself. Increased coverage of, say, hurricanes creates a perception that hurricanes are increasing
Read 9 tweets
7 Oct
The State of California has created a state-run Roth IRA called CalSavers that all employers must offer to their employees in the state if they do not otherwise have a 401k or similar plan.
It is an opt-out program, meaning that the employee will automatically have 5-8% of their pay deducted and sent to the state for safe-keeping unless they explicitly call or write to the state to opt out.
I'm not going to comment on whether it's a good idea for workers to entrust their savings to an entity that can't stop itself from grabbing everyone's wealth, in part because once I'm an employer in the program it's illegal for me to opine on whether employees should participate
Read 14 tweets
29 Sep
I know zero about the details of Trump's taxes. But it is perfectly possible to use the tax code exactly as Congress intended & pay little or no tax for years on strong cash income. One common reason is reinvesting profits with accelerated depreciation
coyoteblog.com/coyote_blog/20…
"This is what everyone is calling a "loophole" but I think that is a misnomer. "Loophole" implies people are taking advantage of some drafting error or unanticipated use of an IRS rule. That happens all the time, but our example is not an unanticipated use. "
"In our example we are using IRS rules exactly as Congress intended -- the company is being rewarded by Congress for the investment it made in new equipment with a multi-year tax deferral."
Read 4 tweets
24 Sep
Your late night climate test: Which is the following numbers is closest to the actual current concentration of CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere. (many of my readers will get it right, but forward it to friends and most will get it wrong)
Please do not mock those who are very wrong. Years ago Steve Martin had a routine where he suggested how funny it would be to teach your kids to speak wrong. They would show up the first day at school and say "Mumbo dogface in the banana patch?"
Most Americans, including a lot of blue check marks like our new friend @warrenleightTV are like little children purposely taught wrong or islanders struggling for meaning using a cargo cult.
Read 6 tweets

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