An all Wales two week firebreak is a start but it seems too short. Put the army on the streets, deliver food and basics to people's homes, suspend all transactions, close it down for eight weeks ->
X : Army on the streets?
Me : See China, Army was delivering food and consumables to homes. You need to stop the transmission of this disease. Still, two weeks firebreak is better than no weeks. Not enough though and this would just be the reset.
X : Reset?
Me : Yep, that's the beginning and I doubt two weeks is anywhere near enough. Wales will still need track and trace (see Ireland for an open source system), use of masks (precautionary), testing and border control (see Nunavut) even after a reset.
X : Border control?
Me : Force isolation hubs for at least weeks for anyone entering. Look up Nunavut.
X : From England?
Me : Definitely. And then you'll have to deal with trade / contamaination by other means.

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More from @swardley

20 Oct
Apparently the "technical reasons" that Denmark and Cyprus alluded to were "“You’re all a load of useless bloody loonies!” ... getting this dreadful feeling that UK is going to come up with a "British Cloud for British People" ... please don't ->
... I suspect behind these wrong headed ideas are concepts of "digital sovereignty" which is amusing because key to "physical sovereignty" are maps (borders etc). In this digital world I suspect we've replaced maps with stories and bonanza time for managment consultants ...
... it's up there with spending huge piles of cash on a satellite company (OneWeb) because we need "satellites" for GPS without ever realising that not all satellites or orbits (in this case LEO) are the same. Slap a haddock in the face time ...
Read 6 tweets
18 Oct
X : Do you know anyone impacted by COVID?
Me : Everyone? But if you're talking impacted directly then numerous friends have had COVID, a couple have been hospitalised (including family members) and then I have good friends who work in healthcare and I've seen their trauma ...
... if you're talking death, then just one in a very extended circle. We've been lucky so far, it's a vicious disease.
X : Yourself?
Me : Well, I look for the positives even in a crisis. At the very least I try to be a rock - more time with family, more social interaction due to less travel. Hell, I've even lost weight but I feel a constant pressure towards that dreaded phone call.
Read 7 tweets
17 Oct
X : Suggestions for thriving in this post truth world?
Me : Tough one. The most common pattern I see is ... do bad things, become rich, write book about people doing bad things, become richer, produce a film saying how bad you feel, run out of space to store the bags of cash.
X : Is this a new thing?
Me : Oh no. The "road to Damascus" is a common ploy in economics ... you "liberalise" a market like Russia, causing a catastrophe and then build a new career on why liberalisation was a bad idea and how you have the answers etc.
X : Can't we learn from our mistakes?
Me : Of course but the mistakes in such cases are generally believing that your past dogma was right which is then followed up by a solution that involves believing your new dogma is right. Some people are just more wrong than they are right.
Read 4 tweets
17 Oct
X : #Serverless seems quiet these days.
Me : Everyone is in the "too busy doing stuff" phase.
X : Lol, what's after?
Me : The old "oh my god, how big is this" phase.
X : And then?
Me : The rapid scramble by consultants to claim they've been doing it for ages.
X : Any advice?
Me : It's probably not a good time to write articles or publish papers saying #serverless is a flash in the pan or just for startups or not for enterprises.
X : Will people do that?
Me : Oh yes. They always do.
X : Other hints?
Me : Battle for serverless is pretty much over. In the West AWS won, MSFT 2nd, Goog 3rd and then a long drop off the cliff to everyone else.
X : Oracle?
Me : Good point. Three years after the battle has ended and everyone has gone home is when Oracle turns up ...
Read 4 tweets
16 Oct
X : Have you seen the scientific disagreements on herd immunity?
Me : What disagreements?
X : Great Barrington declaration?
Me : I haven't been involved in scientific fields (genetics, environmental etc) for 25+ years but no-one I know in the fields agrees with that nonsense.
... as far as I am concerned, that declaration only exists so that some can say "Look, we could have been more wrong". The people behind it and its supporters should be investigated on grounds of public health and national security.
X : A bit authoritarian?
Me : What? Investigating people for proposing a declaration that if followed might leave 300k dead in the UK by Spring is "authoritarian"? I'd want to know who is funding it, who is proposing it, what ties to other nations / organisations they have.
Read 5 tweets
16 Oct
X : How do you determine where to use the right methods?
Me : I use map.
X : No, I mean how do you know what fits where?
Me : You mean like this?
X : No, I mean what charactersitics. If I want to use Agile, what should it look like?
Me : Ah. Well, use the map to allow others to challenge (because often we have bias) but you can use the cheat sheet for characteristics.
Read 7 tweets

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