MONDAY #COVID19Colorado update

Headline: "Believe whatever you want as to why... but this state has turned... and the numbers are all going up"

HOSPITALIZATIONS
(covid+ ONLY)
Today: 381 (+ 33 from yesterday)
Last week: 288

No sign of us anywhere near a crest.

#9news
POSITIVITY

Sustained time in above 5%

Today: 5.45% (7 day)

(We're nearing the peak we saw in July)
CASES

We are now close to averaging 1K cases a day

960 today (7 day)

(look at how we are blowing past first and second wave)
INCIDENCE RATE

Wasn't that long ago only 4-5 counties were considered "very high" in their incidence rates.

we're now at 22
What's it all mean?

I'm going to talk a lot in the days to come about evidence of a crest. A sign that we're topping off (and ideally headed back down)

We are NOT seeing any sign of a crest right now, and that's the concern.

Cases, positivity and hospitalizations are all UP
You'd first expect to see signs of a crest in cases or positivity.

Even when those crest, hospitalizations will likely continue to climb (based upon the lag)

But, again, no sign of that right now
Bottom line...

we're nearing territory we don't want to be in, folks.

this will impact you... whether you want to believe it or not.

I'm not panicking. We know a lot more about this virus than we did in April...

BUT

you should watch these numbers closely.

I will be.

• • •

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More from @chrisvanderveen

16 Oct
FRIDAY #COVID19Colorado update

Headline: "We haven't had a week like this in months. Pay attention. Please."

HOSPITALIZATIONS
(COVID+ only)
Today: 352 (+ 23 since yesterday)
Last week: 268

(Y'all... this is a big deal... that 1 week jump is statistically significant)

#9news Image
POSITIVITY
(*we are now officially above 5% in the 7 day)

Today: 5.02%

(three day is 5.13% -- and has actually gone down a little bit) Image
CASES

(another 1,000 cases in the books...so we got that)

And, yes, I know... imperfect metric (because testing is so high right now)...

but we are going into new territory here.

And brief crest appears to have been a blip. Image
Read 6 tweets
14 Oct
WEDNESDAY #COVID19Colorado update

Headline: "Pay attention to the trends. The trends are critical."

HOSPITALIZATIONS
(COVID+ only)

Today: 317 (up 27 from yesterday)
Last week: 244

(this is not great news folks. BIG ...increase today... relatively speaking)

#9news
Again... (and I can't stress this enough)

it's not where we are now that's the most concerning... 317 patients is VERY manageable

But look at the trend... it continues to go up.

this is making people who will make decisions on restrictions nervous...

whether u like it or not
POSITIVITY

(Again... look at the trend in the red line... not skyrocketing... but still going up)

Today: 4.47 (*7 day average)

(3 day average is 5.33%)
Read 11 tweets
13 Oct
TUESDAY #COVID19Colorado data update

Headline: "Can't sugarcoat this. The time to start paying attention to the numbers is now"

HOSPITALIZATIONS
(COVID+ ONLY)

Today: 290 (+2 from yesterday)
Last week: 246

(is rate of growth slowing? At least for one day? Yes)

#9news Image
(as will be customary on COVID updates... if I follow u, you can comment... DM me for a follow request)

(sorry... it's necessary right now)
Ideally, this would be the start of a turn to slower increase...

but you know what I say about one-day's-worth of data... it's not terribly insightful

but, at least for now, we can hope. Image
Read 11 tweets
13 Oct
"We need to get this under control now," says @GovofCO as he talks about growing #COVID19 numbers in Colorado.

Says we are seeing "an alarming trend"

#9news
says state has officially gotten above 5% in positivity.
As will be the case in COVID updates... I am limiting comments to those I follow.

If you want me to follow... request via DM...

thanks.
Read 4 tweets
12 Oct
MONDAY #COVID19Colorado data release:

Headline: "With hospitalizations continuing to rise, positivity goes above 4%"

HOSPITALIZATIONS:
(COVID+ ONLY)

Today: 288
Last week: 233
#9News Image
POSITIVITY

For the first time since first week of August, the 7-day average is above 4%

(remember, 5% is really the line we really don't want to cross) Image
CASES

We're now over 700 (7 day)
(that's the most since the start)

(*We are testing a lot more too... so that explains some of it) Image
Read 5 tweets
9 Oct
🤓THREAD

I wanna walk you through a big shift that's coming to the world of the drug #Remdesivir

@AnushaRoy9News will have more on this on @nexton9news today

In the meantime, let's talk about the drug. CO hospitals have, for weeks, been using supplies given to them by US govt
Basically, in a fairly large study, the drug shortened recovery time for #COVID19 by four days.

Colorado hospitals started receiving the drug in relatively large numbers back in May

statnews.com/2020/06/29/gil…
In June, the state reported more distribution.

Here's what the hospitals got:

(one patient often received 5 vials) Image
Read 10 tweets

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