1. Domestic Business slow but Vietnam unit very strong performance. (Consolidated Numbers good) 2. Large US order gives visibility for the full year in Vietnam unit 3. 9k-10K Mt could be the total volumes from Vietnam for the year.
4. Capacity utilization: Spray-dried-80%, Freeze-dried: 65% (mainly due to 2 months of plant shut down). 5. Margin profile Spray-dried: Freeze dried= 1: 2-2.5 6. Domestic Branded business did very well (Rev 60 Cr in H1) (70% growth YoY). Still in a minor loss.
7. Hoping to cross 100 Cr revenue in domestic branded business in FY21 8. European Supermarket business order for next year also secured which gives visibility. 9. Small packing business plant to be fully operational by the next financial year.
10. Institutional business has slowly started picking up towards the end of the quarter. 11. Swiss facility & Vietnam facility has taken short term WC loan (cost of funds 1.5%). 12. Disturbance still continues during the pandemic but off-take has improved substantially.
13. Volume growth both in India and Vietnam this year will be from Spray-dried more than the freeze-dried. 14. MEIS benefit capped at 2 Cr for Q3, 8.5 Cr realized in Q2. If restrictions get lifted in Q4, 10-12 can be received given the current turnover run rate.
15. Around 40 Cr of MEIS benefits are generally availed every yr. 16. New capacity in Vietnam will be commenced by March 2021. 17. Coffee brands all over the country are niche in nature but not generating enough volumes to threaten the traditional market of instant coffee yet.
18. Volume growth target for the yr- 10%.
19.Branded business distribution: the last yr was 65000 outlets, today it is 75k, by year-end- 1 lac. 20. By end of the year expect to touch all 10 lac plus towns. 21. 4-5% Mkt share in the top 10% of the retail outlet.
22. Because of substantial inventory from the March quarter, despite the 2 months shut down of the freeze-dried unit, the domestic revenue was about 70%. 23. Growth in branded business has come from all channels: e-com, modern trade & Kirana store
24.Demand -supply dynamics remain stable as per the management. 25. No reduction in demand, but there has been some postponement of orders from clients.
We might have missed a few imp points which we will cover in our blog post soon.
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Whenever thinking is a byproduct of an activity (like observing, seeing, reading, writing, listening, talking, etc) it yields far better results than when thinking is your main activity.
Let’s look at the field of investment from this angle.
A thread
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When you come across any investment idea, your monkey mind jumps to conclusions by thinking instantly without doing the work.
This initial bias has a lot of influence over your analysis from thereon.
That is the time you should tell yourself.
Do more think less.
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The next question which pops up is. Do what?
Slow Down. Don’t think if the idea is good or bad.
Just Observe.
Start with observing the environment.
Qns worth asking
~Is it the right industry to be in?
~Can I understand the business?
~Does it look sustainable?
Scam 1992- The Harshad Mehta Story is trending for a while.
Some snippets from the book, The Scam, by Madam @suchetadalal & Sir Debashish (@Moneylifers) that probably needs more attention from investors’ point of view than the emotional chords the series touched.
A thread
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Valuation Principle
“The cornerstone of Harshad’s philosophy was his pet Replacement Cost Theory, under which existing companies ought to be valued at the much higher cost of replacing them and not at the much lower historical cost as per conventional accounting methods.”
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Modus Operandi
"Traders earning 2.5 cr salary; 1-yr-old finance companies buying & selling shares worth Rs 7000 cr; blank bank documents (bank receipts or BRs) stacked in brokers’ offices; crores of rupees sent by one bank to another, but deposited in individual accounts."
In a book titled 'Reimagining India: Unlocking The Potential of Asia's Next Superpower', Schultz wrote an essay.
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In the essay, he mentioned this incident at the celebratory dinner, the night of Tata Starbucks' first store's opening in Mumbai. Ratan Tata offered a toast which moved Schultz.
He writes in the book,
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"A few weeks after returning from the opening of our Mumbai store, we held one of our big open forum meetings where we get the entire company together. And as I tried to describe that moment for everyone, something came over me. I started to cry. ..
Before moving further, look at this video (4-6 mins) to see how uniquely the MD & CEO Sandipan Chattopadhyay defines AI.
Thread follows
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~Started in 2015- 24 people
~IPO in 2019
~End-to-end IT service provider
~Product Dev, Data Science & Analytics
~Next Gen Tech: Al & ML
~Core theme: HEAL (Health, Edu, Agri & Livelihood)
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A unique business of providing tech solutions in exchange for equity.
Did you know that Tata’s foray into the beverage space goes back as early as May, 1963 when Tata-Finlay Ltd, Tata Group's tea, coffee, and spices business, was established as a joint venture with James Finlay and Company, a Scottish firm?
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Since then the Tata group has grown organically and inorganically in the food beverage space. However, their holding structure with the group companies was very complex.
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In 2017, when N Chandra took over the charge of Tata Sons and adopted a strategy to disentangle cross-holdings and simplify structures, the seeds of transformation in Tata Consumer products (erstwhile Tata Global Beverages) were sown.
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A multi-cloud, multi-service business architecture, with composable tiles that together deliver the working applications and processes needed in an enterprise