On failure to reach a deal from GM perspective: Govt set the limit at £60m because then the extra GM funding wld be equivalent to that of Lancashire (based on population). PM said he most he could do was £60m despite Burnham being clear £65m was absolute minimum he’d need 1/
GM leaders calculated that to provide 80% furlough scheme & 80% self employed support until end of financial year, they’d need £90m (£15m/month). That was the ask. Came down to £75m. But calculated £65m was absolute minimum required & anything less would leave GM underfunded. 2/
On the talks. PM offered £60m and asked Burnham to put that to the rest of the GM leaders. Explained position and the GM leaders supported Burnham position. The second phone call between PM & Burnham didn’t happen 3/
Burnham office stresses there was ‘cross-party’ support for proposals put to No 10 & GM leaders based funding deal on ‘what they thought people needed in order not to harm their mental health’
GM leaders still prepared to do deal, but Burnham Office says ‘govt has walked away’
One GM figure to me. “It’s grim. When did the govt change from we’ll do whatever it takes to accept whatever we give you. It’s a massive turnaround since start of year when they’re asking people to do really hard things. They’re trying to take regional action on cheap”
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EU-UK talks from UK perspective. 1/ On the process: EU clearly stated today it wants to ‘intensify’ negotiations and work on legal texts - something UK has been pressing for for weeks.This is ‘not unhelpful’ 1/
On the substance. UK view is that EU think any compromise just come from UK, that it is the ‘minor partner’. But this a negotiation and compromise must come from both sides. And refusal to budge on outstanding issues (state aid/fishing) is not basis for talks 2/
As for details of talks
- State Aid: Had movement on both sides. Agreed to principle of independent authority to adjudicate rules. EU rowing back on that *but is landing zone*
- Fishing: “Still acres apart” says govt fig close to talks. Macron ‘leading charge & pretty robust’ 4/
I was surprised when Vallance spoke of 8,000 new infections-a-day in the context of PM’s remarks on lifting lockdown, given that the lower the rate of new cases, the more effective track & trace
I asked Hancock & Vallace about track/trace & whether govt wanted to drive down cases or allow tolerable level of transmission in community on Apr 23. Vallance said gives govt advice on what rate of new cases needed for track/trace to work. But didn’t disclose it
And this is what Hancock said on track and trace in context of new cases. (Full transcript of press conference if you want to read in full rev.com/blog/transcrip…)
NEW: Told that deputy chief whip Stuart Andrew had a Zoom call with new intake today. Told scores of MPs attended. Told MPs critical of No 10’s handling of the Cummings affair. Call last over an hour 1/
Told by an MP who was on call that colleagues has made it clear to DCW if anything else came out or something was wrong in statement Cummings made on Monday, he would have to go or be sacked 2/
But also told that there were “very few” MPs who called for him to go. MP (who very unhappy) told me there’s a feeling now that the damage is already done. @tamcohen reported on Sat that 2019 intake were “absolutely livid” but only 2 have publicly since called for DC to resign 3/
Great scoop by @PippaCrerar. Defence of Cummings begins. Went to parents as he & wife ill & needed help w son. Colleagues point to quote from Dep CMO Harries (Apr 10) where she spoke of accessing family support in ‘exceptional circs’ of parent illness. No 10 fronting this out 1/2
But there is also this. March 18 (day govt took decision to close schools, PM said “I also need to remind parents that, as we have already advised, children should not be left with older grandparents, or older relatives...” (full quote in transcript) gov.uk/government/spe…
Labour. “If accurate, PM’s chief adviser appears to have breached lockdown rules. Govt guidance very clear: stay at home & no non-essential travel. People do not expect there to be one rule for them & another for Mr Cummings. No 10 needs to provide a very swift explanation”
Govt 50-page “Covid-19 Recovery Strategy”
- It sets out “plan to rebuild UK for a world with Covid-19. It’s not a quick return to ‘normality’. Nor does it lay out an easy answers. And, inevitably, parts of this plan will adapt as we learn more about this virus” Thread 1/
It clear only LT-term solution is vaccine or drug-based treatment
- “While we hope for a breakthru, hope is not a plan”. Vaccine/treatment could be yr away
- In a “worst case scenario, we may never find a vaccine”
- We must countenance situation where we’re in for long haul 2/
PM: Current arrangements don’t provide enduring solution - the price is too heavy to our way of life, society, econ, LT public health.
- This plan seeks to return to life to as close to normal as poss, for as may people as poss, as fairly as poss, in a way that protects NHS 3/
Daily data (April 8) via @IslaGlaister
- So grim. 938 people died. Total deaths 7,097
- Growth rate slowed for 6 days now. Days for deaths double 4.4 days (was 2.7 on March 23 -day PM ordered lockdown)
- Sadly we still not at peak & likely to see higher numbers in coming days 1/
Also are people dying of other causes because not accessing hospitals?
I noticed how NHS’s Powis urged people to go to hospital if non-Covid emergency at presser y’day
Data from Scotland (via @IslaGlaister) shows deaths from all causes in wk to April 5 60% higher than 5-yr av 2/
Daily data (via @IslaGlaister)
- 83% new deaths in England
- Balance shifting. London accounted for over a fifth of UK daily total. Wk ago it was a third
- Two trusts in Midlands reported highest number. New Nightingale hospital opens in Birm Fri. 500 beds, up to 2k capacity 3/