NEW—Largest CDC study on mortality to date pegs #COVID19 associated excess deaths at 285k. But that is not all. There are huge % excesses deaths, especially in young adults 25-44 and in Hispanic, Black, Asian, Native American minorities. Whites less so.🧵…
2) Here is the excess Covid mortality by age groups. Young adults 25-44 had the largest excess mortality overall - hitting 50% in mid July. The first March-April wave’s 1st peak hit elderly the hardest. But 2nd peak hit young adults more. #COVID19
3) As for minorities, Hispanic & Black and Asian minorities all exceeded 100% increase over baseline in March and April. Non-Hispanic whites was under 40%. In the second peak in summer 2020, Hispanics were hit the hardest. But black, Asian & Native American suffered 50% excess.
5) “Overall, an estimated 299,028 excess deaths occurred from late January through October 3, 2020, with 198,081 (66%) excess deaths attributed to COVID-19. The largest percentage increases were seen among adults aged 25–44 years and among Hispanic or Latino persons.”
6) Nota bene: even though ~1/3 of the excess deaths were not directly coded as from COVID19–A) there is a lot of underdiagnosis and B) a lot of spillover mortality from overwhelmed hospital that can’t treat other chronic and emergency illness also are indirect #COVID19 deaths.
7) this study confirms the other earlier study from VCU.

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More from @DrEricDing

21 Oct
⚠️YOUNG ADULTS TRIGGERING OUTBREAKS—“Young people packing downtown bars in Sept, crowded closely and often unmasked. Over a month later, a devastating spike in #COVID19 cases in the student-age population, spread throughout the community & killed elderly”.…
2) “For most of 2020, La Crosse’s nursing homes had lost no one to covid-19. In recent weeks, the county has recorded 19 deaths, most of them in long-term care facilities. Everyone who died was over 60. Fifteen of the victims were 80 or older.”
3) “The spike offers a vivid illustration of the perils of pushing a herd-immunity strategy, as infections among younger people can fuel broader community outbreaks that ultimately kill some of the most vulnerable residents.”
Read 4 tweets
21 Oct
JUST IN—CDC is changes how “close contact” is defined. Instead of previously defining “close contact” as >=15 *consecutive* minutes w/in 6 feet of #COVID19 case, it’s now w/in 6 feet of an infected case for >=15 minutes cumulatively over 24-hours. Huge. 🧵…
2) “The change by The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is likely to have its biggest impact in schools, workplaces and other group settings where people are in contact with others for long periods of time.”
3) “The updated guidance is based on new evidence: CDC and Vermont health officials discovered infection of a 20-year-old prison employee who interacted with individuals who later tested positive for the virus after 22 interactions totaling 17 minutes during an 8-hour shift.”
Read 8 tweets
20 Oct
⚠️BREAKING—Huge CDC study says #COVID19 not only caused 285,000 excess deaths— but CDC also found, surprisingly, that it has struck 25-44-year-olds very hard: Their “excess death” rate is up 26.5% over previous years, the largest change for any age group!…
2) ““The number of people dying from this pandemic is higher than we think,” said Steven Woolf at Virginia Commonwealth University, who has conducted independent analyses of excess mortality. “This study shows it. Others have as well.”
3) “The data cover the period Feb. 1 to Sept. 16, meaning that excess deaths have almost certainly reached 300,000. Woolf said they are likely to hit 400,000 by the end of the year. The numbers were assembled by the National Center for Health Statistics, a unit of the CDC.”
Read 9 tweets
20 Oct
⚠️DIED ON THE TARMAC—A woman in her 30s died of #COVID19 while she was on a plane about to take off. Before the woman died, she had trouble breathing and was given oxygen. Died suddenly literally while on tarmac. COVID is no joke, even for 30 year olds.…
2) yes she had some underlying risk factor. But you know, 1/3 of America has one too — it’s called obesity. Tons more have diabetes, high blood pressure, high cholesterol, heart disease, and more. Many of them present in young people.
3) “Jenkins said that the woman's death was a "reminder that there is no age restriction in COVID."

"I would strongly encourage people to not think they’re invincible from COVID because they don’t think they’re in a high-risk category," he said.
Read 4 tweets
19 Oct

How the US is doing on #COVID19 in 4 simple figures. A thread 🧵:

1) "Uncontrolled Spread" is now the predominant classification of most states.
2) Cases are surging in upper plains, upper Rockies, and Midwest and Tennessee and New Mexico.
3) Yet remember that the new cases incidence still remains high throughout the country outside of NE and pacific west. #COVID19
Read 4 tweets
18 Oct
FOLKS—we found who created the epic “Wear a Mask” Beauty & the Beast video!

Created and sung by Noah Lindquist @noahlindquist96 and Ashley Young @singerinkansas.

Thank you Noah and Ashley from public health advocates everywhere! #COVID19 #WearAMask 🧵
2) Do masks really work? Heck yes!!! I’m going to walk folks thru a thread 🧵 of evidence.

➡️ MASKS do work!!

Association Between Universal Masking in a Health Care System and SARS-CoV-2 Positivity Among Health Care Workers…
3) A big scientific evidence review study on face masks.

“We recommend that public officials and governments strongly encourage the use of widespread face masks in public, including the use of appropriate regulation.” #COVID19…
Read 15 tweets

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