There are 17 figures in my new @CUP_PoliSci Element, but this is the one I keep thinking about because I think it can say a lot about what we've seen happen in reaction to Trump's expressions of prejudice over the past four years.
Many have noted that Ds in particular appear to be trending toward giving more progressive responses to questions regarding racial stereotypes (@dhopkins1776) or racial resentment (@_amengel) or other measures of xenophobia (@johnmsides, Tesler, @vavreck).
This movement -- termed "the Great Awokening" by @mattyglesias, has received a lot of attention, even while others have been worried about a "Trump effect" which leads Trump supporters to express *more* prejudice.
vox.com/2019/3/22/1825…
In this experiment, we can see partisan motives intersecting with underlying prejudice/resentment. Sexist Ds react to sexist remarks just like sexist Rs do when they are not attributed to Trump. But when Trump is the source, you see vastly different responses.
What does this mean? Sexist Ds in the Trump condition are just like sexist Ds in the acquaintance condition (they both give, on avg, sexist responses to items from the hostile sexism scale), but they appear to be more motivated to suppress their sexism when Trump is the source.
In fact, when the sexist quotes are attributed to Trump, sexist Ds express just as much discomfort with them as non-sexist Ds. The partisan motives by connecting the quotes to Trump essentially erase the differences between sexist and non-sexist Ds.
For sexist Rs, when the sexist quotes are attributed to Trump, they express even more tolerance for the remarks than they did in the acquaintance condition. The connection to Trump is motivating them to express even more sexism than they would otherwise!
This fits with the broader trends we've seen in surveys. A big part of Trump's brand is the frequent and explicit expression of prejudice. This pushes prejudiced Ds to express more "woke" views while encouraging some Rs to express even more prejudice than they would otherwise.
This is obviously a worrisome pattern. While it does mean a rise in "wokeness" -- whether genuine or expressive -- among some Americans, it also appears to be further fueling identity-based polarization identified by @LilyMasonPhD (& others), with quite troubling consequences.
The full short book is freely available from @CUP_PoliSci for the next 11 days, so access it here if you are interested in reading more: cambridge.org/core/elements/…

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More from @b_schaffner

19 Oct
Happy to announce that my new @CUP_PoliSci Elements book was published today.

I explore how Trump's rhetoric encourages some Americans to express more prejudice than they would otherwise. You can access it online for free until Nov 2 & here's a thread...
cambridge.org/core/elements/…
First, an important point to make about what is happening is that there are countervailing trends in reaction to Trump's rhetoric. As @dhopkins1776 and Washington have demonstrated, many have reacted to Trump by expressing *less* prejudice in surveys.
academic.oup.com/poq/article-ab…
But not everyone has reacted this way. As I argue, more prejudiced Republicans are not necessarily becoming even more prejudiced, but Trump's rhetoric may make them more likely to express that prejudice to others. Image
Read 12 tweets
23 May 19
I worked on a couple of projects for #AAPOR that focused on the increasingly strong relationship between sexism and partisan divisions and I thought I’d do a little thread to highlight some major points. Shout out to @scluks who co-authored one of the papers with me. 1/10
First, the work I’ve done in this area uses a subset of items from the hostile sexism battery. Basically, a person’s level of hostile sexism is determined by how much they agree or disagree with statements like these. 2/10
This plot shows the distribution of sexism by party and gender. Note that Republican men and women express very similar levels of sexism, but Democratic men are more sexist than Democratic women. 3/10
Read 10 tweets
16 May 19
How extreme do you have to be to want to ban abortions in all circumstances?
(all data from the 2018 CCES)
- 69% of those who strongly approve of Trump oppose a total ban
- 71% of those who voted in a Republican primary in 2018 oppose a total ban
1/4
- 73% of those who think we need to make it easier to carry concealed weapons oppose a total ban
- 69% who strongly agree that women typically complain about discrimination when they lose to men in a fair competition oppose a total ban
2/4
- 56% of those who identify as "very conservative" oppose a total ban
- 69% who strongly agree that women typically complain about discrimination when they lose to men in a fair competition oppose a total ban
3/4
Read 4 tweets
23 Aug 17
Want to elaborate a bit on the analysis of Bernie -> Trump voters that I tweeted out yesterday to respond to various inquiries. 1/n
Some asked for more detail on how Sanders primary voters behaved in general. This graphic shows this, including small % who abstained 2/n
Others noted the importance of context from 2008. See this tweet for a study of that election. 3/n
Read 11 tweets

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