, 11 tweets, 4 min read Read on Twitter
Want to elaborate a bit on the analysis of Bernie -> Trump voters that I tweeted out yesterday to respond to various inquiries. 1/n
Some asked for more detail on how Sanders primary voters behaved in general. This graphic shows this, including small % who abstained 2/n
Others noted the importance of context from 2008. See this tweet for a study of that election. 3/n
One note on '08: Data suggests 9% of Obama voters defected that year. In \16, 97% of Clinton prim voters also voted for her in general. 4/n
Some asked about whether this is exacerbated by open primaries. When I limit to only registered D's I get the same defection rate 5/n
However, also worth noting partisanship of these voters. This chart shows Bernie -> Trump voters are much less likely to be Dems 6/n
It is also the case that the defectors are not fans of Obama, as this chart shows. 7/n
For those suggesting this is about trade, note that opposition to TPP is not dramatically different among defectors. 8/n
But there does appear to be a racial component to this, as defectors are much more likely to disagree that whites are advantaged in US 9/n
No time to answer every request for more info, but data are here: dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtml?…
And my code here: dropbox.com/s/jqd1lm4tfu91…
10/10
Addendum, if you still want to know more, I'd recommend these two articles:
washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-ca…

vox.com/policy-and-pol…
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