Watching Dr. Fauci speak at @GairdnerAwards Global Perspectives Panel. "Emerging and Re-Emerging Infectious Diseases: From AIDS to COVID-19"
Map of emerging infectious diseases. When Dr. Fauci started, this map had one dot: HIV in Africa.
In 2015, Dr. Fauci's number one concern was a novel respiratory pathogen.
Fauci argues that the US locked down less strictly than EU (represented by Italy and Spain), which is why EU had low cases during summer whereas the US did not. However, EU now experiencing huge resurgence. Cases also increasing in US but from a much higher baseline.
Fauci describes lingering symptoms from #COVID19: "Post-COVID syndrome".
Fauci "cautiously optimistic" about monoclonal antibodies.
11 major vaccine candidates. US is supporting 6 of them. Much attention has been paid to harmonizing trial protocols/outcomes.
Fauci highlights "disturbing" polling data around vaccine hesitancy, especially among populations at highest risk of severe outcomes.
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❗ONTARIO, STOP REACTING TO THE DAILY COVID CASE COUNTS❗
(1/48) Why daily #COVID19 case counts are not the most relevant number and what #Ontario should be paying attention to instead. Mega-thread below. 👇🧵🚨
(2/48) Let’s begin by recapping what daily reported case counts are supposed to represent. When we look at them, we get a picture of what the epidemic looked like 1–2 weeks ago, so any change in the trajectory of the epidemic will take some time to show up in the daily counts.
(3/48) Why? Because it takes ~5 days from time of infection to begin showing symptoms, and then further days to seek testing, get tested, and finally process the test and report the results. This lag is affected by a number of factors, such as the size of the testing backlog.
🚨 #Ontario made the call today to re-implement modified stage 2 restrictions in #Ottawa, #Toronto, and #Peel due to the resurgence in #COVID19 cases and hospitalizations. 📈
(1/20) Some thoughts on where COVID-19 is going in the province. Thread.🧵⬇️
(2/20) This should not be a surprise to anyone. It has been apparent that COVID-19 is once again on an exponential trajectory in Ontario for at least several weeks.
(3/20) A confluence of recent events—the testing backlog, the transition to appointment-based testing, the suspension of contact tracing—have made daily case numbers in the province less reliable, especially in hard-hit areas like Toronto.
(1/42) What it means and what you can do. Mega-thread below.🧵 🚨
(2/42) We are now well into the second wave of COVID-19 in Canada. 🌊
Geographically, recent cases have been concentrated in Canada’s four largest provinces, particularly in and around #Montreal and the #GTA. But cases have been growing at an alarming rate across the country.
(3/42) % change in 7-day rolling average of cases compared to one week ago:
MB: +95.6% 📈 (22.7/day ➡️ 44.4/day)
QC: +57.8% 📈 (409.4/day ➡️ 646.1/day)
ON: +37.2% 📈 (357.6/day ➡️ 490.7/day)
What does the #COVID19 resurgence in #Montreal look like? Heavily concentrated in the city's central and eastern neighbourhoods. A visual aid for @Aaron_Derfel's excellent analysis.👇
I've been working on a series of neighbourhood-level #COVID19#Canada visualizations to track the incidence of the virus in some of Canada’s largest cities. @CoulSim has #Montreal covered, so I started with #Toronto. My progress so far. Thread🧵⬇️
By now, we are all aware of the exponential growth of cases in #Ontario in the last few weeks. This is not restricted to #Toronto, but the city certainly led the pack.
Percent change in 7-day rolling average of cases compared to one week ago: