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GOP Gangsta Rap Coalition Chair Balding 大老板 Profile picture
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22 Oct, 4 tweets, 1 min read
This is a good question and they're are two ways to approach this. First, we actually have pretty good hard data. In reality, Trump overseas business interests are pretty minimal. His business model for the most part is brand licensing which may or may not be a good thing 1/n
Going forward. From the information we have his income from foreign sources is actually relatively minimal and predates his time as President. Philippines, UAE, India others. Specifically in China, it's not large and he holds no assets I'm aware of. If I'm wrong let me know 3/n
Biden holds a 10% stake in a $6.5b fund turning out $130m a year in fee revenue. That one comparison makes Biden significantly more leveraged in China than Trump. Second, if we turn to potential embarrassing info that China might have on either very difficult to say 4/n
Really the only thing we can say is Trump by all records had minimal interaction with China prior to becoming President. We do know Hunter traveled their regularly from 2008-2019 and he is not shall we say an upstanding citizen. Beyond that it is speculation.

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More from @BaldingsWorld

GOP Gangsta Rap Coalition Chair Balding 大老板 Profile picture
22 Oct
I had really not wanted to do this but roughly 2 months ago I was handed a report about Biden activities in China the press has simply refused to cover. I want to strongly emphasize I did not write the report but I know who did. Key points are this: baldingsworld.com/2020/10/22/rep…
Hunter Biden is partnered with the Chinese state. Entire investment partnership is Chinese state money from social security fund to China Development Bank. It is actually a subsidiary of the Bank of China. This is not remotely anything less than a Chinese state funded play 2/n
Though the entire size of the fund cannot be reconstructed, the Taiwanese cofounder who is now detained in China, reports it to be NOT $1-1.5 billion but $6.5 billion. This would make Hunters stake worth at a minimum at least $50 million if he was to sell it. 3/n
Read 9 tweets
GOP Gangsta Rap Coalition Chair Balding 大老板 Profile picture
20 Oct
This fine report falls victim to one of the most common problems of reports from DC think tanks. Let me start by saying, the recommendations are clear, reasonable, and understandable. Where it fails, like many similar reports, is its lack of realism 1/n cnas.org/publications/r…
Just to take one example from the report, point #2 says "Aim for Coordinated, if Not Common, Policies" with Europe with regards to China. This is a perfectly reasonable and valid position if we are not focused on the reality we must grapple with. So in a way 2/n
I am not critiquing the position at all on the other hand I am saying it is entirely unrealistic. It is only maybe since the beginning of 2020 that Europe has started to take China seriously despite Trump administration efforts across a range of policy domains. Additionally 3/n
Read 7 tweets
GOP Gangsta Rap Coalition Chair Balding 大老板 Profile picture
18 Oct
I had a non- American non Trump friend message me with this graphic a few days ago. They asked: why does everyone think this is a Biden landslide? Just on polling, this looks almost identical to 2016 leaving aside all those complications.

They are totally right. 1/n
It is easy to conceive of scenarios Biden and Trump both approach 400 EC votes and just as easy to see scenarios it comes down to one state like 2000. I think there are factors that are not being considered but for many reasons they all could mean something or nothing. 2/n
Add in the 2020 complications and real data outliers, advisable to significantly expand variance expectations. Think I'm wrong? Each party is behaving like I'm right. The Biden campaign doesn't enlist Obama, one of their two real campaign planks (other is he is not Trump) 3/n
Read 4 tweets
GOP Gangsta Rap Coalition Chair Balding 大老板 Profile picture
7 Oct
China academic Twitter: I have some China data I would like to put in the right hands. If you are interested, reply under here with some interests or expertise in the replies
When you say it out loud, it sounds completely absurd. However, that is the goal and that is what is slowly happening. Proof is being provided the reality of what China is doing is being revealed. Whether it is universities accepting laundered corrupt proceed funds, 2/n
China monitoring foreigners by the million, or all kinds of other things people don't believe until you confront them with the evidence the tide is turning on China globally though we have a long way to go. Lots of great people from the halls of power are turning this into 3/n
Read 4 tweets
GOP Gangsta Rap Coalition Chair Balding 大老板 Profile picture
6 Oct
One of the unique aspects of doing work on China is how ready everyone is to claim the "China exclusion". Let me give you two examples. People will argue it is nationalist, racist, and all kinds of other -isms to say Chinese companies should be blocked from listing in 1/n
In the United States. The plain fact of the matter is that Chinese companies with help from China are absolutely refusing to follow black letter law about securities offering requirements. People arguing that we should allow Chinese companies to list are literally arguing 2/n
We should ignore US securities law almost exclusively for Chinese companies. The "China exclusion". Let me give you another example. Universities and political science professors will talk at length about foreign interference and disinformation and rightfully so. 3/n
Read 6 tweets
GOP Gangsta Rap Coalition Chair Balding 大老板 Profile picture
3 Oct
Before:
Few hours to go:
About to eat. One rack actually broke in two the meat is so fall apart tender
Read 4 tweets

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