For the 14 day average change to >double in only 3 days means that the actual current change is much more than 15% (to pull a 14-day change that far up in only 3 days means the past three days have seen remarkably large increases).
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This is not some fear tactic. This is peoples lives. This is the proper functioning of our healthcare system (already stretched to the brim at baseline).
We are only at the beginning of this “spike” and it could continue accelerating up for months!
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This is for a saliva based PCR test. The test actually likely costs <$10.
Add overhead for staff and the lab. Maybe - MAYBE - get to $25. But $130. This is extortion in my opinion.
#SalivaDirect on the other hand (as one example) has made a strong concerted (and so far successful) effort to drop prices and raise awareness that these exorbitant prices need not exist
Not surprising - they are not-for-profit and doing what’s right
This happened faster than I expected, and I’ve been anticipating major upswings. We’re unfortunately just at the beginning
Going into fall w 60k cases/d means winter may well dwarf the spring and summer peaks
It’s up to us to change the course. But won’t w/out proper leadership
I’m referring to the fact that we are right back to our summertime peak. So early into this long winter.
This makes me mad as hell and really really sad. Not just for the ppl who will die (1000/d right now) but for the stores that will close, the families that will lose jobs, the health effects due to COVID and as important as anything else, the mental health effects that will occur
This figure depicts one persons different B cells (x axis) across 3 different weeks in time, and how they react to SARS2 spike (y axis - broad categories) and how the secreted antibodies from those B cells reacts with other seasonal coronaviruses (y axis - smaller categories)
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What is remarkable is the change over time from day 9 to day 16 in the binding of antibodies to the seasonal coronavirus OC43 by B cells elicited by exposure to the SARS-CoV-2 Spike ectodomain (S ecto).
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NEW! research shows rapid antigen tests can work in a real world setting - with asymptomatic and symptomatic people. The rapid "paper-strip" antigen test called the BinaxNOW detected >90% of people with high viral loads who are likely to be infectious nytimes.com/2020/10/15/hea…
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I've written about the BinaxNOW from @abbottnews before and why these types of tests can be 'game changers' for our ability to combat this virus
The authors evaluated a number of different tests against PCR positive and culture positive specimens. (Culture positive is generally appreciated as representing likely transmissible virus).
They find a large disparity across different tests...
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Against culturable virus, they find that the Abbott PanBio Test and the SD Biosensor (Neither available in the US right now) perform very well. An additional 3 tests were evaluated 2, also looked quoted good but the rapigen performed quite poorly.
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