Joe Biden will comfortably win the Presidency of the United States, earning between 325 and 375 Electoral College votes, matching Barack Obama’s results in 2008 and 2012.
In the age of polarization—and in light of Trump’s tremendous popularity among conservatives—Biden’s victory will be viewed as a “landslide” and a national denunciation of Trumpism, leading to demoralization, confusion, and infighting among the Republican Party faithful.
In addition, Democrats will take control of the Senate, with a tight majority of 51 to 49. More than one long-time Republican stalwart and Trump ally will be sent packing.
In the House, Democrats will maintain dominance. The “wave” election already occurred in 2018, and, to a lesser extent, in 2016. 2020 will be marked by consolidation, not conquest.
By January 2021, the Democrats will stand in roughly the same position as the Republicans four years earlier. They’ll enjoy a House majority in the realm of 235-250, and a narrower margin in the Senate.
But this victory will paper over strong divisions within the Democratic coalition—divisions that will lead to an unsuccessful and unhappy presidency.
Biden might experience a fate similar to LBJ's. After winning the presidency in a landslide—supposedly holding back the forces of "extremism" and "fascism"—he will be undermined by forces within his own party, and ultimately cast aside.
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