1/ #ZanzibariLivesMatter:As someone who has closely followed/wrote about the #Zanzibar Question in #Tanzania for 10+ years,I would say the seeds of what is happening now were watered in 2015 after a failure of fully implementing the Zanzibar Accord that worked a bit okay in 2010.
2/ #ZanzibariLivesMatter:At the heart of the #Zanzibar Accord was the realization that ‘Winners Take it All’ is not feasible for such a polarized #polity-it thus enshrined in the #Constitution some sort of a power sharing agreement that somewhat worked in 2010 but failed in 2015.
3/ #ZanzibariLivesMatter:From 2015 virtually all keen #observers of-and key #players in-#Zanzibar knew that 2020 is a ticking bomb,but differed in how to diffuse or preempt it;the ruling party,#CCM,opted to do so by clipping the wings of the then main opposition party there-#CUF.
4/ #ZanzibariLivesMatter:#CUF,the then main opposition party in #Zanzibar spent most of post-2015 ‘weathering #CCM’s storm as it attempted to survive’,a breather only came after its core faction found refuge in a fledgling party known as #ACT-Wazalendo setting the stage for 2020.
5/ #ZanzibariLivesMatter:Between 2015-2020 gone were the days when Chief Emeka Anyaoku et al. spent nearly half a decade brokering a political settlement for the #Zanzibar impasse-it was all about #CCM figuring out how to cling to power and #CUF/#ACT trying to survive as a party.
6/ #ZanzibariLivesMatter:Yes,gone where the days when as astute a diplomat as former President @jmkikwete would commission a study on how to resolve the seemingly eternal #Zanzibar Question in #Tanzania or the late President Mkapa would facilitate dialogue to stop a 2000 de jávù.
7/ #ZanzibariLivesMatter:In sum,2015-2020 was a lost opportunity to consolidate power #sharing in #Zanzibar,a dismal failure of #diplomacy in #Tanzania,a country that boast of its role in brokering #peace agreements elsewhere-the ball now is on the court of President @MagufuliJP.
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