Texas Early Voting Perspective through Day 15

8,149,296 votes cast
48.06% of registered voters have voted

Early 2016 turnout % (46.08%) exceeded yesterday.

819k from the TOTAL vote count from 2016 with 3 days to go on the Early #Vote
9 Texas Counties have seen their Early #Vote exceed their TOTAL 2016 vote, and another 12 counties are within 5% of hitting 2016. (table on bottom right of image)
After 15 days of the Early #Vote in Texas:

- Top 10 counties are 60.2% of the vote
- Top 20 are 73.5%
- Top 30 are 80.6%
And which counties are turning out at the highest rate?

The 29 counties with greater than 100k registered voters have turned out at 94.1% of the 2016 total turnout. They also moved 4.9% toward Dems in 2018.

174 with less than 25k? 68.6% of 2016. They went 0.7% toward Dems.

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More from @cjtackett

29 Oct
It is amazing to me how candidates for the Texas House on the GOP side of things STILL don't seem to have any meaningful grassroots support flowing into their campaign.

Is there a lot of money coming in? Yeah, but it's coming from the massive donors and PACs, not regular people.
Let's run through an example. Here is Jeff Leach in House District 67. He took in $1,708,915 from 09/25 - 10/24. You would think he must be getting lots of love from "the people". Nope, that all came from 188 donors. 9 of them gave 90+% of his total. Image
Look closely at the list of donors to Jeff Leach (HD67). 9 of 10 are PACs, + the gov.

Texans for Lawsuit Reform was 1, giving a whopping $749k (after giving $130k on the 30 day report).

Lots of Texans must want lawsuit reform in order to be able to give that much, right? Image
Read 20 tweets
28 Oct
Christian nationalists have taken over the Texas GOP
The "free, fact based" voter guides are nothing but Christian nationalist dog whistles. I wrote about my trip down the rabbit hole, trying to find out who was behind the Million Voices voter guide a few weeks back.

medium.com/@cjtackett/the…
If you did click the link in the text above, you get taken to the Million Voices for Texas page, where beyond the "voter guides", you see podcasts from Lt Col Allen West, Ken Starr, and mega Christian nationalist / 7 mountains advocate Lance Wallnau
Read 5 tweets
27 Oct
Quick cuts on the funds raised from 09/25 - 10/24/20 by Dems for the 17 Texas House races won by Republicans by less than 10 points in 2018:
HD26 - Sarah DeMerchant $450k
HD28 - Eliz Markowitz $179k
HD54 - Keke Williams $429k
HD64 - Angela Brewer $444k
#txlege #Vote
Quick cuts on the funds raised from 09/25 - 10/24/20 by Dems for the 17 Texas House races won by Republicans by less than 10 points in 2018:
HD66 - Sharon Hirsch $470k
HD67 - Lorenzo Sanchez $1.2m
HD92 - Jeff Whitfield $461k
HD93 - Lydia Bean $644k
#txlege #Vote
Quick cuts on the funds raised from 09/25 - 10/24/20 by Dems for the 17 Texas House races won by Republicans by less than 10 points in 2018:
HD94 - Alisa Simmons $451k
HD96 - Joe Drago - $566k
HD97 - Elizabeth Beck $921k
HD108 - Joanna Cattanach $515k
#txlege #Vote
Read 11 tweets
12 Oct
I need the #txed folks listening intently. If you are a public ed advocate, you need to realize where dollars attempting to privatize education are coming from and who is getting them. This election and this next session are going to be battles, and public education is a focus.
We will start with the American Federation for Children. AFC is a national advocacy organization promoting school choice, with a specific focus on advocating for school vouchers and scholarship tax credit programs.
federationforchildren.org/school-choice-…
American Federation for Children was founded by Betsy DeVos, who ran the org until 2016 when she became Secretary of Education. She handed off the reigns to William Oberndorf. AFC has created Texas Federation for Children and given money to the Charter Schools Now PAC.
Read 14 tweets
24 Jul
I track State level campaign finance in Texas. Over the past three years, I've captured pretty much all of it, in every race (right from the TEC site). There is definitely something going on in 17 Texas House districts. #txlege
HD26
2018 - 1 Dem candidate with 176 contributors, raising $10,210

2020- 4 Dem candidates with 489 contributors, raising $367,874 (Sarah Demerchant is the November candidate @sarah_dem26)
HD28
2018 - 1 Dem candidate with 103 contributors, raising $18,970

2020 - (special and primary) 1 Dem candidate with 9,907 contributors, raising $1,014,028 (Eliz Markowitz is the November candidate @ElizMarkowitz )
Read 22 tweets
13 Jul
Jon Francis and Ted Cruz had a get out the vote event today in Granbury. Purportedly 250-300 people at the event. Based on this picture, not any visible masks and not really any social distancing, all at an indoor event.
.@covid19riskUSA pegs it at an 89% risk that gatherings of 100 people in Hood County will have at least one person in attendance who is COVID positive (and may not know it). Gathering of 500 is 99% risk. This event is in between. Constituents beware.🤔
Here are a few more pictures from the GOTV event in Granbury yesterday. 250+ people, indoors, no masks.

Ted Cruz were there, trying to help get Farris Wilks son-in-law Jon Francis elected to a Texas House seat.
Read 5 tweets

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