The sheer shock of actions actually having consequences for members of the political class.
There is, I suppose, a question of the precise grounds on which he has been suspended, and whether they can form grounds for a more permanent severance.

After all, Starmer would look ridiculous if he had to back down. Having alienated the left, he’d just alienate everyone else.
As @jamesjohnson252 says, this will define Starmer in the eyes of the public, mostly favourably (‘strong’, ‘decisive’).

You’d have to think there’ll be a left wing breakaway party. But the history of the Socialist Labour Party and Respect bodes very badly for it.
And given a new party’s prospects, you’d have to question how many MPs - and trade unions - would back it. Older corbynite MPs, perhaps - don’t let the door hit you on the way out, Lavery. But younger ones, and the unions, will be thinking of actually influencing a government.
As for the decision to suspend - well, it’s long past time Labour did something big to lance the boil of anti-semitism and make it clear things had changed.

So, as a matter of principle: good. As went Woolas, so goes Corbyn.
And as for Corbyn’s statement, I can only say with some weariness that they were the words of a man I once mistakenly though humble, but who proved to be vain and arrogant over time. No hint of reflection in them.
I think, in the end, Corbyn just did not think he had the capacity to be wrong, or that his opponents had the capacity to be right.

And most things seemed to come down to that in his eyes - him against his opponents. And if they didn’t, like over Brexit, he just washed his hands
Oh and I probably shouldn’t but
I’ll be honest, there’ll be ppl quitting Lab who I respect, and who‘ll be a loss to the party - they provide it with its extra-parliamentary campaigning force, politics and conscience. I totally disagree with their grounds for quitting but they’ll be a loss

But sod the outriders

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More from @cjayanetti

28 Oct
"Labour is making ground where it needs to. The Tories are losing ground where they can't afford to."

I looked under the bonnet of the polling data, and found growing doubts about the government among Tory voters. politics.co.uk/comment-analys…
What you see in headline polling data is the views of those saying they would vote for a particular party.

But to get a fuller picture of public opinion, look at the figures for people who don't know who they'd vote for.

That's what I did.

politics.co.uk/comment-analys…
This is the overall picture over the course of this year, from the Opinium polling series - YouGov and other pollsters have similar.

The big Tory lead opens up further and then slams shut post-Cummingsgate

You know this already.

politics.co.uk/comment-analys…
Read 8 tweets
7 Jun
I've been thinking through how a Corbyn government would have handled the coronavirus pandemic, and whether he would have done a better job of it than Boris Johnson.

TLDR: Almost certainly yes - but with caveats /1
First, it's important to consider the circumstances of a Corbyn government after GE19 - almost certainly a minority government, with some loose arrangement with the SNP and/or LDs, and with a great deal of wariness from many Labour MPs.

That imposes certain constraints /2
In addition, much of the right wing press would remain completely hostile, and other sections of the media would remain suspicious. There would be outright communists likely occupying positions of power as advisors. This would not be quietly accepted b opponents /3
Read 33 tweets
25 May
The government’s problem so far in its handling of Cummings - apart from the obvious refusal to sack him - is they still think their Brexit ‘culture war’ strategy is operative. It isn’t. It hasn’t been at any stage in this pandemic. This, is, not, America.
First, this isn’t Brexit, which has happened anyway. Brexit itself has been detoxified somewhat - hence many Leavers say they’d accept an extension. Leavers’ trust in Boris has kept his ratings afloat during corona BUT that bond of trust isn’t as strong as Trump and the Trumpists
The American culture wars are founded heavily on religious fundamentalism and a view of ‘freedom’ that is deep rooted and frankly bonkers (gun nuts). Abortion, gay rights, seen as murder and hellfire. And Fox News making the Sun look like the Encyclopaedia Britannica.
Read 5 tweets

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