BREAK: Serious warning from scientists in new dump of SAGE docs.
From 14 Oct:
-In England, infection & hospital admission levels breaching Reasonable Worst Case planning scenario.
-Daily deaths now at Reasonable Worst Case levels & 'highly likely' to exceed them within 2 weeks
More from SAGE:
-Evidence that individuals haven't changed behaviour and are meeting same number of contacts as in past 2 months.
-US studies suggest restaurants and bars are particularly risky environments.
-Current outlook is 'concerning', if no 'decisive interventions'.
/2
Significant warning from govt scientific advisers on household mixing:
-'The frequency of interhousehold contacts needs to be reduced to curtail transmission, whereas limiting group size alone has only a marginal effect'.
/3
SAGE say flaws in Test & Trace affect their work:
-'Recent operational issues' with T&T 'have exacerbated the level of uncertainty' in estimates.
-Testing demand 'not being met' & testing delays make it 'difficult to interpret trends' & add uncertainty to modelling.
/4
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-Decision to suspend Jeremy Corbyn was ‘wrong’ and ‘unjust’.
-‘We’ve been knocked off the rails’ by his suspension.
-Hope we can resolve this and move on.
-Message to members: ‘stay in the party’.
NEW: 'It seems we are drifting towards a hell of a row'.
“In light of his comments made today and his failure to retract them subsequently, the Labour Party has suspended Jeremy Corbyn pending investigation. He has also had the whip removed from the Parliamentary Labour Party.”
NEW: I understand @JeremyCorbyn’s reaction to being suspended from Labour was complete shock: ‘What?!’
NEW: I have just interviewed @jeremycorbyn (again). This time in response to his suspension from Labour.
Full broadcast pool interview on BBC/ITV soon. And on @skynews here:
-Supports fines for people breaking self-isolation rules.
-COVID testing 'is barely serviceable' and 'a major problem'.
-Reporting neighbours to police 'depends on the circumstances'.
-Govt has 'lost control of testing' so unsure where the virus is.
-PM should apologise.
-PM should restart daily briefings.
-Children should be prioritised for tests.
-'I cannot believe we did not scenario plan' for kids returning to school and getting ill.
-Big difference between him at Corbyn: need to listen to those who didn't vote Labour or never have.
Boris Johnson's press conference now live on @SkyNews.
Says 32,065 deaths across all settings.
Q. Scott in Devon asks PM if we can see friends and family in the park if following social distancing?
A. You can go to park to:
-Exercise on your own.
-Or with members of own household.
-But if you want to meet others it should just be you and 1 person from another household.
Q. Simon in Essex asks: will schools start to accept kids when their parents are from sectors now being encouraged to return to work?
PM doesn't really answer the question, but sounds like a no. Not until June at earliest for nursery, reception and primary years 1 & 6.