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Marc Caputo Profile picture
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31 Oct, 4 tweets, 2 min read
🚨If you live in Florida & believe your absentee ballot has been lost in the mail or it seems late arriving, YOU CAN STILL VOTE IN PERSON

1) at an early vote station this weekend

2) on Election Day

Your AB will be auto-canceled if it arrives after you vote in person
PSA
More PSA

And more PSA

Might be 42 ballots

bit.ly/3jHmJ0N

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More from @MarcACaputo

Marc Caputo Profile picture
2 Nov
Tweet 1 of 3

Democrats stopped the bleeding on the last day of early voting, gaining a new 13k early ballots on Republicans. Dem margin: 108,123, which should grow as more ABs come in

Total votes: 9m
Rep: 3.4m (38%)
Dem: 3.5m (39%)
Ind: 2.1m (23%)

politi.co/3mBC1Ga Image
Tweet 2/3

Today's 10k foot view story of what we're looking at is here
politi.co/3mBC1Ga
Tweet 3/3

Background threads on how we got here, the differences between counting ballots vs. tabulating votes, independents etc.

Read 4 tweets
Marc Caputo Profile picture
2 Nov
Tweet 1 of 9

Drawing from our reporters with residency or roots in or around the nation’s biggest battlegrounds, @politico profiled the 8 key states where the presidential election will be decided

AZ, FL, GA, MI, MN, NC, PA & WI

Take a tour below 👇
2) Arizona

There’s a reason Biden has spent more on TV in the Phoenix media market than in any other in the nation

The once-crimson state is changing fast

And there’s a Senate seat in play

via @lbarronlopez

politi.co/381LAdj
2) Florida

Republicans are relying on their numerous high-propensity voters to carry the day; the Democrats need a more-complicated coalition

via me

politi.co/3mBC1Ga
Read 10 tweets
Marc Caputo Profile picture
1 Nov
The use of Jumbotron video messages in the midst of Trump rallies —in the case of the Dubuque event, he’s showing a mashup of Biden NAFTA, trade & gaffes — is an innovative technique other campaigns will make standard in the future
The rally is being broadcast live on Fox, which is showing the rally showing people watching clips from Fox played on the Jumbotron
If memory serves, Nixon invented the technique of airport rallies and his campaign might be associated with the first use of the term "photo op"
Read 4 tweets
Marc Caputo Profile picture
28 Oct
1/4
Another record day on both sides in FL: Republicans took a huge chunk (56,370) out of the Dems early/absentee vote margin but the Dem lead is still huge & historic (245,912)

The race is tightening.

So how does it compare to 2016?
2/4 In 2016, Rs & Ds were about tied at this point, w/Ds gaining in EVAB.

On Election Day, Dems had a 90k lead in EVAB ballots over GOP

When those votes were tabulated, Clinton won them w/a 247k margin

But Trump won Election Day with 361k more votes & carried the state by 113k
3/4
 This is a reminder that all D votes don't=Biden nor R votes=Trump but they *sort of* cancel each other out. Indies lean Biden in most polls, but by how much?

Lots of voting left.
Read 4 tweets
Marc Caputo Profile picture
27 Oct
According to Ad Analytics, the suggestion that Trump is going dark on his TV buys in FL is false

The campaign switched payee to the RNC. Ads are still running.

The election is in a week.
2/7 Since this is getting some attention, a little background here: Trump’s campaign has had a very active ad-buying strategy that looks almost erratic to everyone else. As a result, when I saw he was allegedly going dark, it made 0 sense (unless it was an intentional head fake)
3/7
But my Twitter avatar is Doubting Thomas for a reason and I know that guesses are a bad way to conduct reporting. So I asked Ad Analytics and this was the response
Read 9 tweets
Marc Caputo Profile picture
27 Oct
Tweet 1 of 4
FL GOP had a big day in the Early Vote & Absentee Ballot wars when they reduced the Democrats' margin by the biggest amount yet, 52,373

Ds still have a huge & historic margin as of this am's report: 302,282

Sat. story told you it was coming
politi.co/31VOE7d
2/4
In all, 6.4m have voted in FL of 14.4m registereds.

If turnout=75%, then 60% of the total vote is in

If 75% of the electorate votes EVAB, then 79% of EVAB is in.

Here's what's been happening to the Ds margin now that Rs are heading to EV
politi.co/31VOE7d
3/4
Here's Saturday's story (again) where we get into some of the complexities about counted ballots v. tabulated votes & independents
politi.co/31VOE7d

Here's a prior Twitter thread as well.

Read 4 tweets

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