"People have already endured the pain of lockdowns once. They’re tired of the pandemic, and leaders in some cities and states are even fighting back against federally imposed measures."

vox.com/21514530/europ…
What's happening in Europe?

UK: hospitals "will run out of capacity in weeks"

PM announced a second (4-week) lockdown to prevent a "medical and moral disaster" + "the furlough system paying 80% of employee wages will be extended through November."

bbc.com/news/uk-547639…
France: ">half of the country's intensive care beds are already filled with Covid-19 patients"

Germany: "(Merkel) had wanted to act sooner but had faced opposition from.., regional leaders. “If we wait until the ICUs are full, then it will be too late“"

nbcnews.com/news/world/fra…
Belgium: "tough restrictions were failing to work.. deaths were doubling every six days" + "the highest number of coronavirus infections per 100,000... in Europe"

Also, Greece, Spain, Italy implement strict curfews in response to record rise in cases.

theguardian.com/world/2020/oct…
What about Asia?

Japan: "managed to avoid “explosive” infections as in Europe and the U.S. without enforcing lockdowns.. likely thanks to the common use of face masks and disinfectant.. common preventive measures including social distancing."

apnews.com/article/intern…
South Korea: highest no. of new daily cases in a month = 155 new cases (pop 51.6 million)

Germany: highest no. of new daily cases in a month = 11,000 new cases (pop 83 million)

cnn.com/world/live-new…
Before people start telling me that Asian people are immune to SARS2 because of exposure to bats... I don't know what your imagination is, but people in most Asian (non-Chinese) cities don't get exposed to SARS bats, just like people in most Western cities.
I can't understand people who pin the low COVID case counts in some asian countries on miraculous immunity to SARS (there are asian countries that are suffering major outbreaks + even Wuhan had a massive outbreak initially) instead of their super strong public health measures.
Your hypothesis is that the low COVID count in Asia is not due to the strong public health measures, but instead due to an amazing situation where Asian people across multiple countries have been exposed to coronaviruses that have decided not to spread to Western countries.

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More from @Ayjchan

2 Nov
“there is still no transparent, independent investigation into the source of the virus. Notoriously allergic to outside scrutiny, China has impeded the effort, while leaders of the ⁦@WHO⁩ , if privately frustrated, have largely ceded control” nytimes.com/2020/11/02/wor…
On the “powerful evidence” suggesting that SARS2 transmitted naturally from animals into humans...
Regarding the closest bat virus genome to SARS2...
Read 5 tweets
31 Oct
Quote: WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus told a virtual press briefing on Friday that the UN agency was continuing "to establish the origins of the virus to prevent future outbreaks." straitstimes.com/world/europe/f…
"Scientists believe the killer virus jumped from animals to humans, possibly from a market in the city of Wuhan selling exotic animals for meat."

Unclear where this statement came from. @WHO ? But it's in a few articles - no person or organization identified as the source.
It could be helpful for the @WHO to publish the collective affiliations of the international experts it has engaged to conduct the independent investigations into SARS-CoV-2 origins who.int/director-gener…
Read 13 tweets
29 Oct
Not sure if I'm reading this document right, but it looks like there are many things we should be investigating to see if SARS-CoV-2 has natural or lab origins. nonproliferation.org/op-49-a-guide-…
Let's apply the Investigation Methodology shown in Fig 2 to the current pandemic. A natural origin has not been confirmed; no animal samples from the market or Hubei province have tested positive despite a scattering of pangolin CoV papers from Guangdong and GuangXi province. Image
Despite the lack of evidence for a natural origin, many experts have come out as saying that it is clear that SARS2 has completely natural origins and that lab-based scenarios are implausible. The independent investigation of lab is led by long time funder+collaborator of WIV.
Read 4 tweets
29 Oct
If schools, restaurants, shops, bars are to reopen and stay open, we need to widely implement informed measures to reduce the risk of indoor virus transmission - especially during the winter when outdoor options are reduced. english.elpais.com/society/2020-1…
Starting to see people asking "What about Sweden?"

Why not try it out in the USA. Compare covid transmission in schools that comply with these measures vs. schools that have decided not to. After that, calibrate public health measures accordingly.
It's important to note that few people are actually calling for 100% lockdowns.

Many want to re-open with safety measures "regular testing, to contact tracing to identify the source of outbreaks, to reporting school-associated cases publicly, regularly"

npr.org/2020/10/21/925…
Read 4 tweets
26 Oct
@AlexBerenson This is a question I've been asking as well. Where was RaTG13's data stored since 2018? Not in a public or password-restricted national database because even other Chinese groups only noticed the 99% match between SARS2 and the btCoV/4991 short sequence published in 2016 on NCBI.
@AlexBerenson Even scientists from the State Key Lab of Virology, Wuhan didn't have access to RaTG13 data (collected 2017-2018). In their Feb 5 paper, they lamented: "the BtCoV/4991 sequence was only partial and thus no comparisons can be made for the rest of genomes." tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…
@AlexBerenson Although the WIV publication that first named RaTG13 was put on bioRxiv on Jan 23, the raw data and genome sequence for RaTG13 were only deposited on a public database on Feb 13 and Mar 24, respectively. ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/nuccore/MN9965…
Read 4 tweets
25 Oct
Get ready. This is going to be an important thread. Election season will be over soon and hopefully more people will devote some attention to this...

I'm going to walk through a timeline of SARS2-related virus data published in the months after the outbreak. (1/30)
Since the outbreak in late 2019, events have been unfolding at such a fast pace that it is difficult to keep track of what happened and in what order.

I use visualizations of the timeline to follow key events relating to the search for the animal host of SARS2. (2/30) Image
Even today, I still hear people saying that SARS-CoV-2 came from pangolins and a Seafood market in Wuhan. I hope this analysis will help to clear things up. It will refresh us on significant early pandemic events and major publications discussing the origins of the virus (3/30). Image
Read 36 tweets

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